Portland Trail Blazers v Sacramento Kings

Tuesday’s NBA slate is just four games, but some big-name injuries offer us some premium value to target. Here’s your cheat sheet by position:

Point Guard

Target worth paying up for: Ja Morant ($6,700) vs. GSW (22nd)

Morant has been much better at home to begin his career, averaging more than 36 DKFP when playing in Memphis. He remains affordable with a terrific matchup against the Warriors. On a short slate, he’s easily affordable.

Best value: Anfernee Simons ($4,400) at NO (20th)

Damian Lillard (back) has been ruled out, which opens up this slate in a big way. Obviously, we’ll be taking a lot of value from the Trail Blazers, especially in a matchup against one of the worst defenses and fastest-paced teams in the NBA. Simons could be the best value on this slate with Lillard out.

Positional Strategy 

Unless you’re rostering LeBron James ($11,100) at PG, you’re going to want to target value here. It’s worth noting that Draymond Green ($6,200), who was PF/C eligible, is now PG/SF eligible. He could change some roster builds with his new eligibility.


Shooting Guard

Target worth paying up for: C.J. McCollum ($7,800) at NO (20th)

No reason to overcomplicate this one. With Lillard out, McCollum’s the go-to guy in a spectacular matchup against the Pelicans. McCollum already easily has exceeded 5x value in consecutive games with Lillard on the floor.

Best value: Alec Burks ($5,000) at MEM (24th)

The Warriors have a lengthy injury list, and now D’Angelo Russel’s missing extended time. That’s allowed Burks to play 30 minutes in consecutive games, a role we can expect to see him stay in. Memphis is a much better matchup than it has been in years past.

Positional Strategy

SG is another deep position for value. While most lineups will drop down to this value, McCollum should be one of the highest owned players on the slate. Lineups likely are going to be guard heavy, since the two biggest absences are Lillard and Russell.


Small Forward

Target worth paying up for: LeBron James ($11,100) vs. OKC (1st)

LeBron’s a little overpriced, but he’s also the only high-priced stud that’s playing well on this slate. I’d fade him in tournaments, but you probably can’t get away from paying for him in cash games. His game log tells the story.

Best value: Dillon Brooks ($4,500) vs. GSW (22nd)

Brooks is coming off a dud against the Nuggets, but it helped his salary come down $600 for a much better matchup. Brooks was averaging more than 31 minutes and 31 DKFP over his three previous games. He has 6-7x upside in this spot.

Positional Strategy 

All of the top plays at SF are either PF eligible or guard eligible. That creates tons of flexibility. Even trying to play a guard in the SF spot could be the way to go on this slate.


Power Forward

Target worth paying up for: Brandon Ingram ($7,200) vs. POR (6th)

Ingram’s questionable to return from a four-game absence due to a knee injury. If he winds up sitting out, Anthony Davis ($9,800) is underpriced. But there should be some concern about AD returning from injury, especially coming off two busts.

Best value: Nassir Little ($3,500) at NO (17th)

Little has seen his role expand over the past three games, and his fantasy output has gone up in each game since. He’d be must-play on this slate if it weren’t for Carmelo Anthony’s ($3,900) team debut, which could limit his upside.

Positional Strategy 

PF is the thinnest position on this slate. While AD and Ingram are options to pay up for, neither is healthy. This could be a position to punt on, which makes a cheap play like Little valuable.


Center

Target worth paying up for: Hassan Whiteside ($6,300) at NO (9th)

Whiteside’s been covered on plenty of slates this season. He probably should be priced around $7,000 as a baseline, but now his salary goes down $400 with Lillard out. The Pelicans are missing a lot of their size in the frontcourt, giving Whiteside even more upside.

Best value: Steven Adams ($4,900) at LAL (1st)

Adam’s continues putting up solid numbers, generally in the 25-30 DKFP range. Yet his salary continues to fall. It’s not a great matchup against the Lakers, but consider taking advantage of the discount.

Positional Strategy 

The center position is loaded on this slate, and the majority of them are only eligible at one position. Like many slates, consider using the UTIL slot on a center. But the guard value is so good, it might prevent you from doubling down on centers.


Key news to monitor on DK Live:

QUESTIONABLE

Brandon Ingram (knee)
Ricky Rubio (back)
Lonzo Ball (hip)
Frank Jackson (neck)
Hamidou Diallo (knee)

PROBABLE

Anthony Davis (shoulder)
Trevor Ariza (groin)

DOUBTFUL

Jahlil Okafor (ankle)

OUT

Damian Lillard (back)
D’Angelo Russell (thumb)
Derrick Favors (back)
Josh Hart (knee)
Damion Lee (hand)
Avery Bradley (leg)

Get all the news and analysis up to the minute on DK Live.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.