Toronto Raptors v Portland Trail Blazers

Monday’s nine-game NBA main slate has a lot of big names carrying questionable tags, so be ready to adjust your lineups leading up to lock. In the meantime, here’s your cheat sheet by position:

Point Guard

Target worth paying up for: Luka Doncic ($9,800) vs. SA (11th)

Doncic has continued to be spectacular and pretty consistently is giving you 6x value for a huge chunk of salary. For some reason, he moves back under $10,000 on this slate, making him a play regardless of matchup.

Best value: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ($6,300) at LAC (23rd)

We covered SGA on Friday when he dipped from $7,000 to $5,900, and he bounced back strong. He went for 34.5 DKFP in 40 minutes against Philly and remains underpriced entering a revenge matchup in Los Angeles. The Clippers traded SGA away as part of the Paul George package over the summer.

Positional Strategy 

It’s a pretty pricey slate for PG plays, so it’s probably worth paying for the mid-priced plays and up. We can differentiate with value elsewhere. Another play worth mentioning is Eric Bledsoe ($7,200), who has stepped up since Khris Middleton went down with a thigh injury. Bledsoe went for 49.5 DKFP in this matchup against the Bulls on Thursday.


Shooting Guard

Target worth paying up for: James Harden ($12,000) vs. POR (22nd)

Early in the season, it looked like there was a chance Russell Westbrook ($8,300) and Harden could be close to equal fantasy options. We’ve passed that point, and Harden’s sitting at his usual $12,000. Having gone for 62-plus DKFP in seven straight, Harden’s the safest play on the slate. Portland’s defense also has taken a step backwards this season.

Best value: Aaron Holiday ($5,500) at BKN (27th)

Holiday’s been putting up some inflated numbers in recent games, averaging more than 28 DKFP in his past three. Malcolm Brogdon (back) missed all of Indiana’s most recent game, which resulted in a season-high 34 minutes for Holiday. He’s in a terrific spot here, with a great matchup against the Nets, with plenty of minutes available.

Positional Strategy

All of the top plays at SG are PG/SG eligible, so roster construction shouldn’t be an issue. The biggest slate-changing news at guard is Kyrie Irving (shoulder) out again. With him out, Spencer Dinwiddie ($6,000) becomes a must-play. With all the injuries in Cleveland, we can go to the Cavs for deeper value on this slate.


Small Forward

Target worth paying up for: Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,300) at CHI (30th)

Giannis is a very similar play to Harden. What he saves you in salary ($700), you risk in floor. The Bucks have more blowout potential, which can lead to fewer minutes. At the same time, we just saw Giannis top 70 DKFP in this matchup Thursday.

Best value: Danuel House ($3,700) vs. POR (22nd)

House is probable to return for Houston and should jump into a significant role on the perimeter. House already was playing well over 30 minutes per game when he went down, but now his salary is $1,600 cheaper than when he sustained the injury.

Positional Strategy 

Like SG, you either are paying up for the Harden/Giannis play, or searching for value. The Cavs news offers us the majority of the value, but I still think House is my favorite individual value of the bunch.


Power Forward

Target worth paying up for: Domantas Sabonis ($7,300) at BKN (13th)

Reports indicate Sabonis will play, but you’ll want to get confirmation on DK Live. Once we have that, Sabonis has the makings of an elite play on this slate. Indy has a ton of injuries, which should mean Sabonis is featured against a horrible Brooklyn defense. The $1,200 drop in salary makes no sense here.

Best value: Nassir Little ($3,300) at HOU (25th)

Little’s seen a huge increase in his role recently, playing 55 total minutes in his past two games. He gets a solid matchup against the Rockets, and his salary still hasn’t adjusted to being a starter. He’s shot terribly since being given the opportunity (5-of-18), so once he knocks some shots down, a big game should be around the corner.

Positional Strategy 

PF should be a value position on this slate. If you roster Giannis, I’d slot him in at SF. Sabonis is an expensive play, but underpriced, then House, Little and more plays from CLE and IND are on the board.


Center

Target worth paying up for: Hassan Whiteside ($6,700) at HOU (16th)

New slate, same story with Whiteside. He just continues to be underpriced for a player that consistently can go for more than 40 DKFP. His minutes have been a problem in the past, but Whiteside’s played at least 30 minutes in four of his past five and has a great matchup.

Best value: Tristan Thompson ($5,600) at NYK (2nd)

The big-name frontcourt injuries for the Cavs make Thompson one of the safest mid-priced played on this slate. Already having scored 35 DKFP in two of his past three, TT should see all the minutes he can handle against the Knicks.

Positional Strategy 

This slate is pretty loaded with center plays, but all of them are $6,700 of cheaper. I almost certainly would double down on center plays, and save some salary while doing so.


Key news to monitor on DK Live:

QUESTIONABLE

Kawhi Leonard (knee)
Serge Ibaka (ankle)
Patrick Beverley (calf)
Josh Okogie (knee)
Hamidou Diallo (knee)
Landry Shamet (ankle)

PROBABLE

Clint Capela (concussion)
Danuel House (back)

DOUBTFUL

Andrew Wiggins (illness)
Shabazz Napier (hamstring)

OUT

Kyrie Irving (shoulder)
Kevin Love (back)
Larry Nance Jr. (thumb)
Malcolm Brogdon (back)
Jeremy Lamb (ankle)
Carmelo Anthony (coach’s decision)

Get all the news and analysis up to the minute on DK Live.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.