Tournament Plays are written to help find high-risk, high-reward players and team stacks that can help you catapult up the leader board each day. Plays will range from sleepers who might be able to steal a few bases at a low price point to against-the-grain stars who might not be the popular play of the day on DraftKings.
Carlos Martinez vs. Los Angeles Dodgers ($9,100) – Martinez will head to Southern California to put his 21 scoreless inning streak on the line versus the Los Angeles Dodgers this evening. The 23 year old flamethrower just baffled this Dodgers lineup at Busch Stadium in his last start (seven shutout innings while allowing just one hit and racking up eight strikeouts) and brings a rock solid 5-2 record and 3.13 ERA into tonight’s game. Los Angeles’ success at Dodger Stadium and MLB best .344 team wOBA will undoubtedly scare many users away, but considering his extremely high upside, this only makes him a more appealing GPP play.
Jake Odorizzi vs. Seattle Mariners ($8,600) – He may have picked up his fifth loss of the season when he squared off against this Mariners team last season, but Odorizzi really kept this Seattle team off balance as he allowed just one earned run over 7.0 innings of work and fanned seven batters. The matchup tonight in the spacious Safeco Park against a Mariners team that owns just a .293 wOBA against right-handed pitching ( as well as an ugly 23.5 K%) is ripe for the picking and Odorizzi has flashed elite strikeout potential in the past (9.32 K/9 last season).
Jose Quintana vs. Texas Rangers ($8,100) – Quintana has had an up-and-down season thus far, but the White Sox lefty posted a solid 3.05 ERA and 9.18 K/9 over 38.1 innings during the month of May. Tonight’s matchup against a Detroit team that punished left-handed pitching removes him from cash game consideration for me, but being destroyed by the Tigers in their first meeting this season, Quintana responded with a very solid outing against them in their last meeting. The scary matchup will keep his ownership rate low but his terrific strikeout potential shouldn’t be ignored.
Jose Abreu vs Kyle Ryan, Detroit Tigers ($5,500) – Abreu’s lofty price-tag will likely hold down his ownership tonight, making him an ideal GPP play against the unproven Kyle Ryan. Abreu destroyed left-handed pitching during his rookie season last year, posting a ridiculous .462 wOBA and .309 ISO against southpaws. Right-handed batters are hitting .295 off of Ryan at the AAA level this season, and Abreu looms as the biggest roadblock for Ryan in this White Sox lineup.
Dee Gordon vs Eddie Butler, Colorado Rockies ($5,300) – Gordon picked up a pair of hits in his last game and is thriving as the Marlins leadoff man this season as he owns a .368 average through the first 51 games. He owns an .855 OPS (with 17 stolen bases) off of right-handed pitching this season and lefties have posted a .418 wOBA off of Eddie Butler. He’s not cheap, but the matchup in Coors Field is ideal.
Charlie Blackmon Vs Tom Koehler, Miami Marlins ($4,700) – Tom Koehler was knocked around in his last start and enters tonight’s game owning the 5th highest hard hit percentage among qualified pitchers this season. Simply put, that doesn’t bode well for him at Coors Field. Blackmon owns a .388 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season and has had success off of Koehler in their brief past. Factor in the fact that lefties have pounded Koehler to the tune of a .379 wOBA this season and Blackmon looks well worth his big-ticket asking price.
Dustin Pedroia vs. Scott Kazmir, Oakland Athletics ($4,200) – Pedroia has always swung the bat well against left-handed pitching, but there may not be another pitcher in baseball who he’s hit harder than Scott Kazmir during his career. In 50 plate appearances against the lefty, Pedroia has posted a .580 OBP and is 19 for 40 with five doubles, a triple and a pair of homeruns (with 10 BBs).
Jhonny Peralta vs. Brett Anderson, Los Angeles Dodgers ($4,100) – Peralta took Anderson deep when these two squared off last week in St. Louis and, dating back to this date last season, has quietly posted the most HR’s (20), RBI’s (82) and highest WAR (5.4) among MLB shortstops. Peralta owns a .392 wOBA against left-handed pitching this season and is locked into a run producing spot in this Cardinals lineup.
Joey Gallo vs. Edinson Volquez, Kansas City Royals ($4,000) – The highly touted rookie has come up to the big leagues and promptly picked up hits in each of his first three games (including a homerun in his debut). After facing a pair of lefties in the last two games (Sale and Rodon), he’s finally met with a favorable match tonight against Volquez. The slugger blasted nine homeruns in 34 games at the AA level to begin the season and .336 average and 1.143 OPS against right-handed pitching.
Stack Em Up
Stacks below are based on most likely lineups. Be sure to check the MLB Lineups feed from any DraftKings draft screen throughout the afternoon to make sure players are in the lineup.
Colorado Rockies vs Tom Koehler, Miami Marlins – As mentioned above, Tom Koehler’s hard-hit average is concerning and a trip to Coors Field is unlikely to be the time when he turns things around. Left-handers have smacked Koehler around for a .873 OPS this season, and the right-hander owns an unsightly 7.50 ERA on the road. Tulo and Arenado are beasts at home and the rest of the Colorado lefties all look to be in very nice spots tonight as well.
Minnesota Twins vs Kyle Lohse, Milwaukee Brewers – Lohse has been one of the worst starting pitchers in the league this season (3-6 record with a 6.50 ERA), and this Twins lineup has been rather surprisingly effective. Lohse has already served up 13 homeruns on the young season and has allowed right-handed hitters to post a .336 average and .942 OPS against him. The Twins own MLB’s 5th highest team wOBA at home and saw their bats come alive last night in Fenway Park.
New York Mets vs Jeremy Hellickson, Arizona Diamondbacks – Hellickson drew an extra day of rest as his schedule start was pushed back from yesterday until today, but it’s unlikely to help him much. He’ll enter tonight’s game sporting an ugly 5.08 ERA and 1.41 WHIP on the season and will square off tonight against a suddenly streaking Mets lineup at the very hitter friendly Chase Field. Left-handed batters own an absurd .348 average and 1.002 OPS off of “Hell-Boy” this season, so fire up Lucas Duda, Curtis Granderson and Daniel Murphy with confidence.
Good Luck today!
JMBWngFn (@JBritt2 on Twitter)