We got a full 15 game slate tonight for MLB DFS and everybody’s playing their Aces. Kershaw, Scherzer, Price, Cueto and Keuchel are all on the mound. With the good, we also have some poor pitchers taking the mound tonight, and you will notice a lot of the top bats will be facing those guys. Let’s take a look at some of the top plays at each position.
- Cervelli had a .375 wOBA with a .148 ISO score last year against left-handed pitching. He faces a weak lefty in Jorge De La Rosa in a great hitter’s park at Coors Field. He is priced up, but it is justified given the matchup.
- Mike Pelfrey was really bad against left-handed bats in 2015. They hit .312 against him. Stephen Vogt is well priced at $3,400 and will be in the middle of that Oakland order. He has always been dangerous against weak right-handed pitching.
- Brian McCann and the rest of the Yankee left-handed bats should make it a tough day for A.J. Griffin. Griffin has a tougher time with left-handed bats, and the Yankees will throw a bunch of them at him in Gardner, Ellsbury, Beltran, Teixeira and McCann. He should get up with a few runners on this game and does have home run upside.
|1||Jose Abreu||White Sox||Blue Jays||$4,000|
- Jose Abreu hits well in righty on righty matchups. He gets a park bump with the game in Toronto, and he is 4 for 9 in his career against Dickey with 3 home runs.
- Jimmy Nelson allowed a .302 batting average to left-handed bats in 2015. Anthony Rizzo has a .394 wOBA with a .278 ISO score since the start of 2015. He is already 4/13 against Nelson with 3 extra base hits over his career, so he profiles well and has produced against him.
- Rich Hill has been striking a lot of guys out, but he has also given up a ton of baserunners. Right-handed bats have done better against him and Miguel Cabrera has a .408 wOBA with a .198 ISO against lefties since the start of 2015. He also went yard twice yesterday, so he is seeing the ball well right now.
- Jason Kipnis has a great matchup against Ricky Nolasco. Nolasco struggles with left-handed bats, and Kipnis has a .393 wOBA with a .166 ISO score against left-handed pitching since 2015.
- Joe Panik and the rest of the Giants left-handed bats are in a good spot against James Shields. Shields allowed left-handed bats to hit .279 with a 1.65 WHIP and 23 homers allowed in 95 innings of work. Panik is 5 for 10 lifetime against him, as well.
- The Brewers do not have many left-handed bats to attack Kyle Hendricks, but Scooter is one of them. He should be up in the 2-hole today and faces a guy who allowed a .267 batting average with a 1.32 WHIP to left-handed batters and a home run every 6 innings.
|Pitchers||Top 5's||Cheat Sheet|
|2||Travis Shaw||Red Sox||Braves||$3,400|
- Shelby Miller has a blister problem, which is causing a control problem, that is leading to a getting pulled early problem. He has always struggled against left-handed bats and Matt Carpenter has always hit right-handed pitching well. Miller has looked bad and so has the bullpen. Either way it is a soft spot.
- Travis Shaw is off to a hot start with a .333 batting average so far in 2016. With the game in a national league park, the Red Sox lose the DH and Shaw may slide into the cleanup spot vacated by David Ortiz again in this one. He faces Matt Wisler who was one of the worst pitchers against left-handed bats in 2015, so this is a great spot and an outstanding price.
- Justin Turner is another cheap option in a good spot. He owns a .380 wOBA and a .199 ISO score against right-handed pitching since the start of 2015 and is already 5 for 9 lifetime with a home run off Koehler.
|4||Jimmy Rollins||White Sox||Blue Jays||$3,300|
- Machado owns a .400 wOBA with a .252 ISO score since 2015. He faces a pitcher in Odorizzi who has reverse splits and struggles more with right-handed bats. Machado is 7 for 19 lifetime against him with 2 home runs including the one he hit in the first matchup between these two teams on April 10th.
- Carlos Correa is a talented young hitter. Even in righty/righty matchups he owns a .362 wOBA with a .212 ISO score. Both are near the top at his position. He went 2 for 3 against Karns last year with a home run, so his profile is backed up by his performance so far.
- Corey Seager is starting to pick it up after a dreadful slump. He still owns a .383 wOBA and a .195 ISO score against right-handed pitching in the bigs and faces a guy in Koehler who allowed left-handed bats to hit .258 with a 1.43 WHIP and 16 homers in 94 innings of work.
|8||Melky Cabrera||White Sox||Blue Jays||$3,200|
- Bryce Harper is amazing. I know that is not analysis, but it is true. If you want analysis, he has a .478 wOBA with a .373 ISO score against right-handed pitching since the start of 2015. He has 9 homers in only 62 at-bats to start the season. Do I need to go on?
- Nelson Cruz is going to be low owned, cheap and he’ll likely score a ton of fantasy points tonight. He faces a struggling Dallas Keuchel and owns a monster .459 wOBA with a .332 ISO since the beginning of 2015. And for all you BvP fans, he is also 7 for 14 lifetime against Keuchel with two home runs.
- Andrew McCutchen plays in Coors Field against a weak lefty in Jorge De La Rosa. Cutch owns a .383 wOBA and a .185 ISO score against lefties since 2015 and is 6 for 19 lifetime against De La Rosa.
- Denard Span is way too cheap for his matchup. He will be leading off against James Shields. Shields allowed a .279 batting average to left-handed bats in 2015. I expect this San Fran offense to explode against Shields with Span at the top setting the table.
- At only $3,200 I think Melky Cabrera deserves some attention today. Hitting a knuckleball is an art unto itself, and Melky is 6 for 18 lifetime against Dickey with a home run, so he qualifies as an artist tonight.