We have a full 15-game main slate tonight, so let’s not waste any time. The best place for last minute info, other than DK Live of course, is Twitter. Find me there @RyNoonan. Let’ dig in.
Max Scherzer – WAS vs. PHI – $13,300 – It’s never easy spending this much on one position, but few players in the game have both the floor and ceiling of Max Scherzer. The challenge today is we don’t have a great ‘cheap’ value SP2 to pair with him, so that’ll likely drive his ownership down, making him an elite tournament play today.
Other Options – Yu Darvish ($11,500), Patrick Corbin ($9,500)
Mike Clevinger – CLE vs. BAL – $7,800 – We know strikeouts are king on DraftKings, so Mike Clevinger and his 10.23 K/9 deserves a long look at this price. He’s been anything but consistent over the past 6 weeks but he’s shown the ability to deliver big games in good spots. There’s a lot of swing-and-miss in this Orioles lineup, and their 5% walk rate over the past month is the lowest in the league.
Other Options – Jimmy Nelson ($8,700), Drew Pomeranz ($7,700)
Gary Sanchez – NYY @ TEX – $4,500 – The price of pitching is going to make it difficult to spend up on a lot of offensive positions today, but Gary Sanchez is worth noting tonight. His Yankees are in Texas and have an implied-team total of 5.7 runs against Martin Perez and the Rangers. Sanchez has shown elite power against left-handed pitching this season, with a .338 ISO and .602 SLG.
John Hicks – DET @ TOR – $3,300 – The lineup that Detroit is rolling out daily is quite different than what it looked like back in April, but one beneficiary of that is John Hicks. He has both first base and catcher eligibility and will likely be hitting cleanup for the Tigers tonight. I don’t expect a lot of offensive fire power from the Tigers here, but the lineup spot raises his floor a bit.
Other Options – Alex Avila ($3,300)
Paul Goldschmidt – ARI vs. SD – $5,300 – The Diamondbacks are red-hot, and look to continue their run at home against the Padres this weekend. The Diamondbacks have the highest implied-team total on the slate at 5.9 runs, and Goldy has been destroying baseballs of late. He enters play with a hard-hit contact rate of 50% over the past two weeks.
Other Options – Joey Votto ($5,200), Anthony Rizzo ($4,700)
Jose Abreu – CWS vs. SFG – $3,500 – The White Sox face flyball-heavy Matt Moore at home tonight, and offer a ton of salary relief while sacrificing very little upside compared to other top offenses. Moore doesn’t miss many bats and Abreu sees a nearly 100 point spike in both wOBA and ISO when facing a left-hander.
Other Options – Wil Myers ($3,700)
Jose Ramirez – CLE vs. DET – $5,400 – Jose Ramirez’s 2017 season has been outstanding, and his ability to crush both left and right-handed pitching makes him a great play on DraftKings because he’s not as susceptible to platoon splits as most of his peers. You can play him at second or third, and he has enough upside for tournaments while being a high floor guy for cash games. I love him here against Wade Miley.
Other Options – Jose Altuve ($4,700)
Ozzie Albies – ATL vs. MIA – $2,900 – The Braves’ young second baseman continues to hit second in the lineup, and that alone makes him worth a look at his sub-$3k price tag. Hitting in front of Freddie Freeman doesn’t hurt either. Albies is more of a cash game play for me based on his skill set, but he’s viable in tournaments if paired with Freeman.
Freddie Freeman – ATL vs. MIA – $4,800 – Oh, hey Freddie. We were just talking about you. It was all good stuff, of course. Like how you rake at home and that your current form is pure, with a 47% hard-hit rate over the past two weeks. It’s also sweet that we can play you at either first or third base, but I really want to use either Goldschmidt or Abreu tonight, so I’m penciling you in at third.
Other Options – Josh Donaldson ($5,200), Jake Lamb ($4,600)
Mike Moustakas – KC vs. MIN – $3,600 – Mike Moustakas has been cold lately, hence the price, but he has massive power upside in this matchup and is just too cheap to ignore. He’s more of a one-off play because I’m not on the Royals here at all, but few bats on the slate can mash like Moose at $3,600. His .273 ISO against right-handed pitching is one of the best in the game at his position.
Francisco Lindor – CLE vs. BAL – $5,300 – The Indians’ leadoff man is fairly split neutral, but has shown slightly more power when facing a lefty on the season. It’s a good spot for the entire Indians offense, at home against Wade Miley with a healthy 5.1 implied-team total.
Other Options – Carlos Correa ($4,700), Trey Turner ($5,300)
Tim Anderson – CWS vs. SFG – $3,500 – Tim Anderson will leadoff for the White Sox tonight against the aforementioned Matt Moore, setting the table for Jose Abreu and company. Anderson, like most of his teammates, fares significantly better against left-handed pitching, where Anderson has shown a wOBA 60 points higher compared to his rate against right-handers.
Other Options – Jose Reyes ($3,700)
Mike Trout – LAA @ SEA – $5,600 – I’m going out on a limb here, recommending the best player in the game, but I like targeting Trout when he’s facing a low strikeout right-hander like Seattle’s Mike Leake. The lack of platoon splits and high price tag could keep Trout’s ownership down, which would be a mistake due to his exceptional wOBA, ISO, and SLG against right-handers.
Other Options – Austin Jackson ($4,300), J.D. Martinez ($5,500)
Nelson Cruz – SEA vs. LAA – $4,000 – Yes, Nelson Cruz has been ice cold for weeks now, but I’ll take my chances here for just $4,000. He’s still hitting the ball hard, and he’s facing a flyball pitcher tonight in Ricky Nolasco, who he’s fared well against in many of their previous matchups. I love Nelly in tournaments.
Other Options – David Peralta ($3,800), Avisail Garcia ($3,800)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is RyanFix) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.