With a full slate of 15 games on tap, we have a huge amount of targets you can consider. This article will cover games for the entire day so let’s get into all the information. As always, you can get at me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Clayton Kershaw – LAD vs. NYM – $13,900 – Kershaw comes into this start averaging 23.6 FPPG on the road in five starts, owning a 1.50 ERA with a 0.87 WHIP and a K/9 of 10.2. He’s the most expensive pitcher on the day, coming in at $13,900, which is $900 more than Chris Sale. Kershaw is coming off a complete game against the Reds where he allowed no runs on two hits with a 7:1 K:BB ratio. He’s the most dominate pitcher in the game and should have no problem racking up the strikeouts against a Mets team that ranks second in K% against lefties at 27.2%.
Archie Bradley – ARZ vs. SDP – $6,600 – Bradley has been fantastic down in the minor leagues. Before being called up this season, Bradley made seven starts in Triple-A, owning a 1.99 ERA with a 1.08 WHIP and a 10.4 K/9. While these numbers haven’t fully come over to the major leagues, Bradley could be a very sneaky option taking on the Padres today. With the Padres ranked 4th in the league in K% against righties at 24%, I have to imagine that Bradley should be able to grab some strikeouts in this matchup. I understand a lot of you will be skeptical of this start, but if you’re going big on one of the top priced pitchers today, Bradley could be a nice way to offset that huge salary hit.
Bryce Harper (OF) – WAS vs STL – $5,000 – Michael Wacha has really been struggling with lefties on the road this season, so could you think of a worse matchup for him than Bryce Harper? On the road this season, Wacha is allowing a .364 wOBA to opposing lefties with a .380 OBP. Walks have been another issue for Wacha, with a 4.22 BB/9 on the road. Even with Harper struggling a bit this season, he owns a .408 wOBA against righties at home with a .607 SLG. Paying up for Harper is something I most certainly will do.
Ryan Braun (OF) – MIL vs CIN – $5,200 – Braun has been hitting everything and anything this season and faces off with Brandon Finnegan today. While Finnegan has been fine this season, he’s been having issues with the home run ball. He’s allowed nine so far this season, with all of them coming against right-handed batters. Braun has been a force against lefties at home, owning a .421 wOBA with a .500 SLG and a 1.000 OPS. He’s expensive today, but when isn’t he at this point?
“Even more impressive, Ortiz has hit six of his 13 home runs on the road against righties”
David Ortiz (1B) – BOS vs. TOR – $5,400 – If you want to talk about expensive hitters, look no further than Ortiz. As the second most expensive hitter on the day, Ortiz has been just as good on the road as he has at home. He faces off against R.A. Dickey this afternoon with Ortiz coming into this start with a .387 wOBA on the road against righties with a .627 SLG and a .945 OPS. Even more impressive, Ortiz has hit six of his 13 home runs on the road against righties.
Jason Kipnis (2B) – CLE vs. BAL – $4,000 – Don’t get me wrong, Tillman has been fantastic this season, so overall this could end up being a tough matchup for Kipnis. However, when playing at Progressive Field against righties, Kipnis owns a .368 wOBA with a .177 ISO. In a position usually tough to fill, Kipnis could be a solid hitter in your lineup today.
Mark Trumbo (OF) – BAL vs CLE – $5,300 – Playing in any hitters park, it’s almost impossible to not have Trumbo in your lineup. Trumbo has been performing much better on the road than he has at home, hitting 10 of his 15 home runs away from Camden Yards. He faces off against Mike Clevinger, who is only making his third major league start, but has already allowed three home runs. Trumbo owns a .400 wOBA against righties with a .562 SLG% and a .240 ISO. If you can afford him, he should be worth it.
Jay Bruce (OF) – CIN vs MIL – $3,900 If you’ve read any of my work prior, you may or may not know that I’m a huge fan of BvP stats. I don’t live and die with them, but if I’m trying to decide between two players, that’s a great way to aid my decision making. Bruce is one of the guys with good BvP against Jimmy Nelson that I will be all over today. In their previous match ups, Bruce is 7-17 with three doubles, two home runs and six RBIs. It also doesn’t hurt that Bruce is starting to heat back up lately (in a way only Jay Bruce can), hitting two home runs in his last 10 games and averaging 6.8 FPPG.
Brian McCann © – NYY vs. TBR – $3,300 – Yup, I’m dropping back-to-back BvP stats on you. First and foremost, McCann is very cheap today at $3,300. He’s been struggling a bit as of late, averaging 5.5 FPPG over his last 10, however, he has really awesome BvP numbers against Jake Odorizzi. McCann is 12-20 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs and 10 RBIs against Odorizzi. If you can honestly ignore that, you’re a hero in my eyes.
Melky Cabrera (OF) – CHW vs KCR – $3,300 I love taking guys like Cabrera because he’s just always consistent. He doesn’t cost you a ton of money, but he gets on base and gets on base a lot. Owning a .360 OBP coming into today, Cabrera is averaging 8.8 FPPG over his last 10 games, as he’s 11-38 in that span with two doubles, a triple, two home runs, and 10 RBIs. Being a switch-hitter also brings up his value on a night-to-night basis. On a day where saving money will be key, Cabrera is a great option in the outfield to save some salary.
“…My mentality is that anything can happen at Coors Field”
Mark Reynolds (1B) – COL vs SFG – $3,400 – If you want to have some cheap exposure to Coors Field, look no further than Reynolds. He’s hitting a very uncharcteristic .315 on the season with two home runs, 16 RBIs, and an .818 OPS. While these numbers will be tough to sustain, Reynolds will most likely be very under owned with Johnny Cueto on the mound. However, my mentality is that anything can happen at Coors Field, so I’d be willing to take a chance to save some money with Reynolds. For what it’s worth, Reynolds owns a .399 wOBA at Coors this season with a .508 SLG and a .164 ISO.
Brad Miller (SS) – TBR vs NYY – $3,300 If you want to go cheap at shortstop, Brad Miller could be your guy. He’s a left-handed batter facing Nathan Eovaldi today, so that’s already a plus matchup. Eovaldi has struggled against lefties all season, owning a .370 wOBA against them with a .532 SLG%. While Miller isn’t going to win a batting title any time soon, he does have some pop against righties, owning a .190 ISO to go with a .318 wOBA. Believe me, you’ll need to save some money today, so Miller could be a nice punt play at shortstop.