WATCH: PITCHER TO WATCH – ROBBIE RAY
Thursday night brings us a short, five-game slate. Let’s dive right into all the information, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
UPDATE: Jacob deGrom WILL NOT start tonight. Rafael Montero will take the mound for the Mets.
Jacob deGrom – NYM vs. SD – $12,100 – This game is worth watching due to weather, but if they can squeeze it in, deGrom is in a terrific spot against the Padres. He has been his best at home this season, averaging 25.1 FPPG with a .280 wOBA and a K/9 of 13.1. As we’ve stated many, many times before, the Padres are very prone to strikeouts and own a 24.4 K%, which ranks the second highest in the league. If the rain holds off, deGrom has the most favorable matchup on the night by far.
Other Options – Kenta Maeda ($8,800)
Robbie Ray – ARI vs. MIL – $8,600 – Ray is arguably on the cheaper side of pitchers tonight when you consider the $12,100 salary of deGrom. He’s been near-lights-out on the road this year, averaging 28.4 FPPG with a .218 wOBA and a K/9 of 11.6. Like deGrom, Ray has great strikeout potential in this game, taking on a Brewers club that owns a 25.2 K% against lefties, which is the second highest in the league.
Other Options – Michael Wacha ($8,200)
Jonathan Lucroy – TEX vs. BOS – $4,100 – Lucroy was struggling at the plate to begin the season, but he’s turned that around as of late. He’s averaging 7.5 FPPG over his last 10 games and has a favorable matchup against Drew Pomeranz tonight. Against lefties on the road, Lucroy owns a .348 wOBA with a .522 SLG.
Other Options Yasmani Grandal ($3,800)
Sandy Leon – BOS vs. TEX – $3,400 – Leon is another catcher that was struggling at the plate to start the season but has since started to turn that around. I like him tonight as he’ll likely be low-owned but has exhibited power at Fenway Park in the past. Facing Nick Martinez, who’s allowed five of his seven home runs on the road this season, Leon is very capable of blasting one at Fenway.
Other Options – Alex Avila ($3,400)
Miguel Cabrera – DET vs. HOU – $4,500 – With Mike Fiers allowing as many home runs as he has, it’s hard not to like Cabrera here. Fiers will enter this start having allowed 17 in eight starts. Pitching in Houston certainly diminishes that number a bit, but he’s still allowed six in three home starts. Cabrera checks in with a .320 wOBA against righties with a .426 SLG thus far.
Other Options – Jay Bruce ($4,700)
Victor Martinez – DET vs. HOU – $3,800 – After showcasing Miguel Cabrera, I go and talk about Victor Martinez? What gives? Well, if you’re doing a GPP stack of the Tigers tonight (great idea) Martinez is a nice way to mix it up, as people will naturally gravitate toward Cabrera. Martinez possesses some power himself and owns a modest .313 wOBA against righties. With that being said, he’s almost always low-owned, and he could be a nice way to boost that stack.
Other Options – T.J. Rivera ($2,900)
Jose Altuve – HOU vs. DET – $4,800 – You usually don’t see many hitters being recommended against Justin Verlander, but his road numbers beg to differ. Verlander hasn’t looked like himself, averaging just 11.9 fantasy points in five road starts with five of his six home runs allowed. Altuve continues to be an on-base machine and owns a .367 wOBA against righties this season.
Other Options – Dustin Pedroia ($4,200)
Chase Utley – LAD vs. STL – $3,200 – Utley is cheap enough to consider, and could be a decent punt play at second base. Michael Wacha has had some issues with lefties on the road, posting a .359 wOBA with a .449 SLG.
Other Options – Neil Walker ($3,400)
Jake Lamb – ARI vs. MIL – $5,300 – Zach Davies has REALLY struggled at home this season and is facing the wrong team to be having that issue. At Miller Park against lefties, Davies has allowed .366 wOBA with a .533 SLG with three of his eight total home runs allowed. Of course, Lamb has been destroying right-handed pitching, posting a .537 wOBA with a .854 SLG with five of his 13 home runs.
Other Options – Jose Reyes ($3,900)
Hernan Perez – MIL vs. ARI – $3,600 – I most certainly like Robbie Ray tonight, but this one is for the people who aren’t on board with that notion. Perez is one of the Brewers’ hitters that doesn’t get the praise that Eric Thames or Ryan Braun do. Perez is posting a .344 wOBA against lefties with a .486 SLG. He’ll likely be a low-owned option to choose from tonight.
Other Options – Marwin Gonzalez ($3,600)
Corey Seager – LAD vs. STL – $4,500 – Seager is in the same boat as Utley, trying to pounce on the struggles Wacha has had against lefties. As I mentioned, Wacha has allowed a .359 wOBA with a .409 SLG against lefties on the road. Seager, meanwhile, is sporting a .337 wOBA against righties at home with a .384 OBP.
Other Options – Xander Bogaerts ($4,800)
Elvis Andrus – TEX vs. BOS – $3,800 – Andrus has been hitting fairly well as of late, averaging 7.4 FPPG over his last 10 games. He’ll face off against Drew Pomeranz tonight, who has allowed a .323 wOBA at home thus far. I like Andrus as a sneaky play at shortstop who owns a .347 wOBA against lefties on the road with a .529 SLG.
Other Options – Nick Ahmed ($3,400)
Mookie Betts – BOS vs. TEX – $4,900 – Betts has seen a price drop recently, as this is his first time under $5,000 in quite some time. Taking on Nick Martinez, who is prone to allowing home runs on the road, Betts batting leadoff is always an option on any slate. He’s yet to hit a home run against a right-handed pitcher at home, but he’s sporting a .308 wOBA with a .358 OBP. His early season struggles seem to be in the past, as Betts is averaging 10.7 FPPG over his last 10 games.
Other Options – Michael Conforto ($5,100), J.D. Martinez ($4,600)
Tyler Collins – DET vs. HOU – ($2,700) – Collins is dirt cheap tonight and is in line for that stellar matchup against Fiers. We’ve talked about Fiers struggles against righties, but lefties haven’t exactly been a cakewalk for him either. Fiers is posting a .332 wOBA against them with six home runs allowed. If you need to save some salary, Collins could come into play.
Other Options – George Springer ($3,700), Kiké Hernandez ($2,900)
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