Tyson Ross vs. ChC ($9,000) – Ross pitched well last time out, he’s at home in a decidedly favorable park for pitchers, and he is facing the team with the most strikeouts in the majors, which can only help his chances of racking up a good amount of fantasy points, win or lose. And with the way San Diego is hitting so far, the win is definitely within reach.
Bartolo Colon vs. StL ($7,700) – On a night without a bunch of elite options going on the mound, Colon is well within the top half of your available options, and for good reason. If you’re studying the stats and trying to figure out how this guy is still doing what he’s doing, one thing should jump out at you: he doesn’t walk anyone. He makes teams earn everything they get, and he conserves his pitches, and as a result, he piles up the innings. He’s pitched in eight games, he’s gone seven or more innings four times in his last five (with one complete game) and he’s had six or more innings in every start since his first. And he has one walk. One.
Wei-Yin Chen vs. SEA ($7,000) – He’s only got the one win, but he’s gone 6+ innings in all but two of his starts, and has piled up 34 K’s and has kept his WHIP to 1.080 despite averaging two walks per outing. In other words, people just are not hitting him.
Chase Anderson @ MIA ($6,100) – He’s given up one or zero runs in each of his last three starts, but doesn’t have a win. Against a weak hitting Marlins lineup, the runs could stay the same, and matched up against David Phelps, he might actually get the run support he needs to get the W. Long-term, he needs to start taking some lessons from Bartolo and throw a few more strikes.
Russell Martin vs. Jered Weaver ($4,400) – Catcher is a desolate wasteland. Of the seven highest priced catchers on the board, five are injured. Martin is one of the two left.
Buster Posey vs. Brett Anderson ($4,200) – And Posey is the other one. Over the last two weeks, he is slugging .475 and averaging almost 10 fantasy points per game, and the matchup with Anderson isn’t what you’d expect to throw him off his hot streak.
Salvador Perez vs. Jason Marquis ($3,800) – With Perez hitting almost .300, with power, at this position, he’s been the steal of your year-long draft, that’s for sure. And here, he is still a vazlue – compare his potential to that of the guys around him, and it’s almost no question with all the injured guys hurting your DFS lineup options.
Wilin Rosario vs. Severino Gonzalez ($3,600) – He’s playing right now because of Morneau’s stint on the 7-day concussion DL, but he should get another start tonight. He’s hit safely in five of his last eight, with three multi-hit games over that stretch.
Jose Abreu vs. Shaun Marcum ($5,500) – Shaun Marcum is being moved from the bullpen to make this start, and while he’s got good stuff, who knows what it will look like when he tries to go through a lineup for a second and third time. Well, I guess the hitters will know what it looks like. Lik Abreu, for instance – he’ll know. Yup.
Ryan Howard @ Eddie Butler ($4,600) – Listen, with a pitching matchup like this, in Colorado, it’s like shooting fish in a barrel. You don’t want to choose them because everyone is choosing them, but you do want to choose them because, well, just because. What if everyone else does, and you don’t, and you’re wrong? So here’s one tip: when you are focusing on hitters in Colorado, make sure they actually have power (like Mr. Howard and his 7 HRs). Thin air doesn’t help you hit singles. Now, if you want to focus on singles hitters because the pitchers are so bad, that’s a whole different story.
Mitch Moreland @ Joe Kelly ($3,800) – Moreland went 1-3 with a walk in the first game of this series with Boston, and will look to improve on those figures against Joe Kelly, who has given up five or more runs in four of his last five starts.
James Loney @ Williams Perez ($3,500) – Loney has been hitting over .350 with an OBP over .400 for the past couple of weeks, with ten total hits in his last six games.
Dustin Pedroia vs. Phil Klein ($4,200) – Who the hell is Phil Klein?
Chris Owings @ David Phelps ($4,100) – With Kipnis facing a lefty, and Dee Gordon facing a sizzling Chase Anderson, there are concerns with the very top of the second base choices, so if you can save some money and feel good about the guy you get, why not do it? Owings has slugged over .500 for his last ten games, with fifteen total hits over that span, including five mutli-hit games, and three games with 15 or more fantasy points. And against Phelps, you at least have a lot of hope that it continues.
Omar Infante vs. Jason Marquis ($3,700) – Marquis has a 6.63 ERA and a WHIP of 1.63, and over the past two starts, those numbers have only been getting worse. Infante isn’t exactly Robby Alomar at the plate, but he does have three extra base hits in his last five games, and his numbers across the board have been picking up over the past few weeks.
D.J. LeMahieu vs. Severino Gonzalez ($3,600) – He has been slipping recently, which might make him hard to trust, but this is a great matchup for the Rockies at home. He could be involved in one or more big innings in this one, with good potential for run production. It’s a risk that, at least, is justifiable.
Adrian Beltre @ Joe Kelly ($4,800) – Beltre should be comfortable enough in Boston – he’s certainly played enough games in Fenway. And he should definitely be comfortable against Kelly. And apprently, he’s been very comfortable in general as of late, as evidenced by the almost .600 slugging % he’s put together over the last ten games.
Jimmy Paredes vs. Roenis Elias ($4,400) – You see .346 average, 6 home runs, all the numbers in only 25 games and you think, he’s got to slow down sometime. And maybe that’s true, but right now, he is only gaining steam. In his last ten games, he’s maintaining a .555 slugging % and .935 OPS, and it is easy to see why: 5 runs scored, 5 extra base hits, 10 RBI. Who cares if he strikes out once every night when he raking like that in his other at-bats?
Yunel Escobar vs. Adam Warren ($3,700) – This is a good matchup for the Nationals offense, which makes you like Zimmerman’s chances in this one even though he’s facing a good lineup himself. But the Nats could come up big against Warren, who hadn’t gone six complete innings all year until his 7-inning start against TB last time through the rotation. For his part, Escobar is 7-for-16 in his last four games, averaging 11.25 fantasy points per game for that recent stretch.
Nick Castellanos vs. Kyle Lohse ($3,600) -I know Castellanos isn’t exciting, but neither is Lohse. And while you might favor starting Castellanos against lefties because his average is so much higher, his slugging % is actually higher against righties, showing that it’s more likely that when he does make contact, he can give it a ride and collect some extra base hits. Well, Lohse gives up contact.
Troy Tulowitzki vs. Severino Gonzalez ($4,600) – Maybe the easiest pick on the board today, Tulo is at home in the friendly confines (for hitters, anyway) of Coors Field, facing a guy making his third big league start. Yes, please.
Freddy Galvis @ Eddie Butler ($4,300) – I feel like Eddie Butler is getting off the hook a little bit here. At $4,200, he is the cheapest pitcher on the board – AGAINST THE PHILLIES! He’s gone six full innings only once all year, and last time out, he got through 2.2 before leaving with three runs already across. So when there is a good Phillies hitter available, pounce. On the plus side, they are probably all cheap.
Wilmer Flores vs. Carlos Martinez ($3,800) – With six home runs, including three in his last nine games, Flores has been a very unlikely source of power, but those home runs, and a sprinkling of doubles, have allowed him to maintain a slugging % well over .400 all season, and even rack up 14 RBI hitting in the 9-hole.
Jose Iglesias vs. Kyle Lohse ($3,300) – I mean, he costs $3,300, and he’s hitting .341. I say $10 per point of batting average is a steal.
Mike Trout @ Drew Hutchison ($5,700) – Trout hasn’t exactly been lighting the world on fire lately, but he still contributes with the occasional multi-hit game outburst, and Hutchison is just the guy to let that happen again.
Starling Marte vs. Mike Pelfrey ($5,100) – He has hit safely in eight of ten, with 13 total hits over that span, including 5 doubles. With at least five fantasy points in eight of his last nine, including 15 or more three times, he’s giving you that magic combo: consistency with upside.
Justin Upton vs. Tsuyoshi Wada ($4,600) – 3-3 with 2 HRs on Sunday, and then 0-4 with 3 K’s yesterday. Which will it be tonight? Based on what his season as a whole has looked like, and the way Wada is throwing the ball right now, I would expect something a bit closer to Saturday.
J.D. Martinez vs. Kyle Lohse ($4,400) – The way he’s been hitting lately makes me think of NBA Jam. You remember? “He’s on FIRE!” His slash line on the year: .260/.333/.479 – not terrible. Over the past ten days: .423/.510/.623. Enough said.
Ender Inciarte @ David Phelps ($4,000) – You have to love a cheap guy with speed, who hits for average and bats leadoff. His very presence opens up opportunities.
Adam Eaton vs. Shaun Marcum ($3,900) – Another guy looking to capitalize on the reliever turned starter-for-a-day. Despite his terrible season long averages, he has hit safely in nine of ten games, including a four hit performance and two other two-hits nights.
Angel Pagan vs. Brett Anderson ($3,800) – Pagan had to leave the game Saturday with back spasms, scary for a guy coming off off-season surgery, but he seemed to put that behind him with a 2-for-4 performance last night.
Odubel Herrera @ Eddie Butler ($3,700) – Eddie Butler! One more time. Hey, Herrera’s got 12 extra base hits. Maybe only one of them was a HR, but maybe the advantage at Coors Field for him will just be the Rockies pitcher and not the atmospheric conditions. Works for me.