Let’s take a look at tonight’s five-game main slate on DraftKings. I won’t be discussing Arcade Mode or pricing, but if you haven’t played it yet, you should. It’s fun and DraftKings is offering a ton of contests at all types of buy-in levels. Give it a try. The best place for last-minute info, other than DK Live, of course, is Twitter. Find me there, @RyNoonan. Let’ dig in.
Jordan Montgomery – NYY vs. KC – $8,100 – This slate leaves a lot to be desired in terms of pitching options, but my preferred play is young Yankee lefty, Jordan Montgomery. He offers enough swing-and-miss stuff to be interesting, and he’s pitching in a friendly ballpark where the wind will be blowing in. It doesn’t hurt that the Royals have been abysmal against lefties so far this season, entering play with a .261 wOBA and 58 wRC+ in these situations.
Other Options – Marcus Stroman ($11,300), Julio Teheran ($8,800)
Sam Gaviglio – SEA vs. CWS – $5,100 – I think Mariners’ starter, Sam Gaviglio, is in play as your SP2 tonight. He’s dirt cheap, allowing you to open up a ton of salary to spend up on offense, and targeting the White Sox on the road isn’t a bad way to go about pitcher selection. They’re rather punchless outside of Chicago and while we don’t know how long Gaviglio’s leash will be in this game, he does profile as a ground ball pitcher which should help him get some easy outs.
Gary Sanchez – NYY vs. KC – $4,600 – This is a plus matchup for the Yankees’ backstop, hitting second on the road against a lefty with diminishing velocity. Sanchez has crushed left-handed pitching since making his Major League debut, and that .303 ISO should play well here.
J.T. Realmuto – MIA vs. LAD – $3,600 – I think Dodgers’ starter Hyun-jin Ryu will be one of the chalk plays tonight, so leveraging some Miami bats against him in tournaments makes a ton of sense. Let’s start with their catcher, Realmuto, who’s in a positive platoon split here and will likely hit near the top of the Marlins’ order.
Cody Bellinger (1B/OF) – LAD vs. MIA – $4,400 – This kid is damn good. Bellinger has come up and solidified his spot in the middle of the Dodgers’ lineup and it appears as though he won’t be giving it back to anyone. He’s hit both lefties and righties well so far but he’s shown massive power upside against right-handed pitching and his multi-position eligibility really helps.
Kendrys Morales – TOR vs. ATL – $4,100 – This is another attempt to leverage against what I think will be a popular pitcher today in Julio Teheran. The Braves’ starter has exploitable splits against left-handed bats, and the switch-hitting Morales could be an issue for Teheran in the middle of Toronto’s lineup.
Other Options – Matt Holliday ($4,100)
Starlin Castro – NYY vs. KC – $4,300 – Hitting cleanup for the Yankees is prime lineup real estate right now, and somehow Starlin Castro is managing to hold off on giving it up to Aaron Judge for the time being. Castro’s veteran presence in that lineup and his high contact rate have helped lengthen the potent New York lineup, and he’s in a position to deliver another solid performance tonight against Danny Duffy.
Taylor Motter (2B/SS) – SEA vs. CWS – $3,600 – Taylor Motter hasn’t been particularly good of late, but he’ll likely be hitting sixth in the lineup with the highest implied-team total on the slate, so he needs to be considered. He’s also eligible at shortstop of you’re struggling to find plays there which could very well be the case.
Other Options – Whit Merrifield ($3,600), Jed Lowrie ($3,600)
Kyle Seager – SEA vs. CWS – $4,200 – As you can see, all the Mariners’ bats are in play tonight against Dylan Covey. It also helps that Kyle Seager is hitting it well of late, entering play on Thursday with a 50% hard-hit rate over the past two weeks.
Justin Turner – LAD vs. MIA – $3,900 – We have season after season’s worth of data now stating that Justin Turner is significantly better against right-handed pitching, so it’s silly to ignore it. Marlins’ starter Edison Volquez is a fairly splits-neutral starter, but he’s not particularly good against either side of the plate. It’ll be hard to fade Kyle Seager, but a case can be made to stack the Dodgers here and you’ll want Turner in that stack.
Corey Seager – LAD vs. MIA – $4,500 – Oh hey, more Dodgers! The question is, are you stacking Dodgers or are you stacking Seager brothers?
Other Options – Jean Segura ($4,800)
Nelson Cruz – SEA vs. CWS – $5,000 – The best bat in the slate’s best-projected offense isn’t a bad way to go typically, so why not go after Nelson Cruz? There’s also a chance that his ownership is a tad lower than it should be simply because he’s not facing a lefty, but he crushes right-handers too and Dylan Covey has struggled against batters from both sides of the plate this season.
Other Options – Giancarlo Stanton ($4,400) Lorenzo Cain ($4,200)
Marcell Ozuna – MIA vs. LAD – $4,000 – Take a look at the Marlins’ power-hitting outfield bats in tournaments tonight. Obviously, Giancarlo Stanton is in play against a lefty, but his teammate, Marcell Ozuna, may be just as dangerous. Dating back to 2015, Ozuna carries a .393 wOBA and .233 ISO against left-handed pitching and could make the chalky Ryu a bust.
Other Options – Kris Davis ($4,000), Joc Pederson ($3,700)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is RyanFix) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.