We’ve got a short seven-game slate for Monday night, which is offering limited options at starting pitcher. With few elite options, it may be a good call to pay down for a SP to save cash and invest more cap in, say, an Astros stack. Houston’s offense has been out of control. Poor Ian Kennedy.
Carlos Martinez — STL vs. CIN — $12,500 – I’m well aware that Martinez is likely to be popular tonight. But I also don’t care because he’s the SP with the best shot at throwing up 30-plus DKFP. Martinez has tossed seven straight quality starts and has at least seven Ks in four of his last five. Over the past seven days, the Reds have struck out at a 26.5% clip, much higher than their season mark.
Other Options: Gio Gonzalez ($8,000), Junior Guerra ($7,600)
Bartolo Colon — ATL vs. PHI — $5,700 – Before you start internally screaming over this pick, take a deep breath and remember the good times you and the big man used to have. Colon was roughed up in his previous start, mostly because of poor defense, and I’m banking on a bounce-back performance vs. the Phillies. He’s going to be fresh after only 66 pitches in his last start and is an extreme contrarian play in GPPs.
Other Options: J.A. Happ ($7,300), Eddie Butler ($5,400)
Evan Gattis — HOU vs. KC — $4,100 – Chances are the Astros offense will be too much for Royals SP Ian Kennedy to handle. Kennedy has allowed at least four ER in four straight starts, and Houston has scored 60 runs in the past week. Gattis isn’t a guarantee to start, but if he does he’d provide a strong ceiling with appealing splits (four HR, 16 RBI on the road).
Other Options: Tyler Flowers ($3,700), Brian McCann ($3,600)
Matt Wieters — WAS vs. LAD — $3,100 – Dodgers LHP Hyun-Jin Ryu will force Wieters to bat righty, which has helped out prospective DFS owners. In limited ABs vs. lefties this season, Wieters is batting .364 with two HRs, five RBI and a 1.053 OPS. Wieters will have a solid chance of extending his hitting streak to six games tonight.
Other Options: Salvador Perez ($2,900), Devin Mesoraco ($2,800)
Eric Thames — MIL vs. SF — $4,700 – I’m not exactly crazy about the top options at 1B, so I’ll be banking on Thames crushing another HR tonight. The chances are high vs. Giants SP Jeff Samardzija, who has allowed eight HRs over six starts on the road this season. Thames has been a lot of boom-bust lately, which could stunt his ownership percentage slightly.
Other Options: Ryan Zimmerman ($5,200), Anthony Rizzo ($4,300)
Matt Adams — ATL vs. PHI — $3,700 – If the weather holds up in Atlanta, I’m looking strong at Adams, who has three HRs and six RBI over the past two games. He’s averaging 9.2 DKFP in his last 10, slugging at a .558 clip in that span. Phillies SP Nick Pivetta has struggled in limited action in the majors, posting a 5.12 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in four starts.
Other Options: Yuli Gurriel ($3,300), Adrian Gonzalez ($3,100)
Whit Merrifield — KC vs. HOU — $4,300 – Death, taxes and Mike Fiers giving up home runs. The Royals enigmatic offense should look more like the one from two seasons ago tonight vs. the Astros. Merrifield isn’t exactly known for his power but has a .528 OBP while averaging 10.6 DKFP in his last 10 games. He’s a strong candidate to return value in most formats.
Other Options: Dee Gordon ($4,100), Jed Lowrie ($3,800)
Darwin Barney — TOR vs. OAK — $2,000 – I’m not going to sugarcoat this pick. Barney isn’t very good at baseball. But the fact is Devon Travis could be out tonight after leaving Sunday’s game and Barney would be in line for a start at basement pricing. If Barney doesn’t get the nod, expect Toronto to insert Ryan Goins ($2,600) in at 2B. Either player would make for a decent punt play for GPPs.
Other Options: Arismendy Alcantara ($3,200), Eric Sogard ($3,100)
Josh Donaldson — TOR vs. OAK — $4,400 – Since returning from his DL stint, Donaldson has gone 8-for-32 with four HRs and six RBI in eight games. He’s tied for the lead for Monday’s slate with 9.2 DKFP per game, though that has come in limited action this season. Donaldson’s price is intriguing and I’m willing to roll with him despite a tough matchup vs. LHP Sean Manaea.
Other Options: Kris Bryant ($4,500), Mike Moustakas ($4,100)
Maikel Franco — PHI vs. ATL — $3,200 – Again, issuing another weather warning for this pick. If Braves-Phillies is a go, Franco should also be a go vs. Colon (regardless of me instilling confidence in the big guy). Franco has a nice little four-game hitting streak going (6-for-16) and we’ve all seen how Colon can implode.
Other Options: Paul DeJong ($3,200)
Carlos Correa — HOU vs. KC — $5,500 – You’ve got to pay a pretty penny for Correa, but he’s well worth it. The price difference between Correa and the rest of the pack at SS suggests he’s far-and-away the best option. Also, his stats over the last 10 games are stupid: .455 BA, five HRs, 15 RBI and a 1.341 OPS. Correa is averaging nearly 2.0 more DKFP per game on the road, as well.
Other Options: Trea Turner ($4,900)
Aledmys Diaz — STL vs. CIN — $3,000 – There’s a lot to like about Diaz tonight. He’s hit the ball well vs. the Reds this season, with two HRs and four RBI in five games (9.4 DKFP per contest). Diaz also has solid road splits (.301 BA, 2 HR, 10 RBI for 7.3 DKFP per game).
Other Options: Orlando Arcia ($2,900)
George Springer — HOU vs. KC — $5,700 – I can’t help but think that playing a lot of Astros on this slate may be a wise decision. If you thought Correa was hot, take a look at what Springer brings to the table. He’s batting .435 with seven HRs, 13 RBI and a 1.393 OPS in his last 10 games. Paying down for pitching and up for Houston batters may be the way to go tonight.
Other Options: Matt Kemp ($5,300), Domingo Santana ($4,500)
Khris Davis — OAK vs. TOR — $3,300 – It’s always nice when you can pay this low a price for the second-leading HR hitter in the MLB right now. Chances are Blue Jays SP J.A. Happ won’t last very long in this game and Toronto’s bullpen has struggled this season. Davis has hit better at home, posting a .265 BA (nearly .40 points higher than his season average).
Other Options: Jason Heyward ($3,200), Magneuris Sierra ($3,000)
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