We have a huge slate of games today! Here are some guys I think you should at least consider, at every position and price range. Good luck!
Masahiro Tanaka vs. Houston Astros ($10600) – Tanaka has quite possibly the best matchup a right-handed pitcher can have. The Astros have the highest K% in the league at 25.9% against right-handed pitching. They also have the fourth lowest batting average at .239. Tanaka is a -120 favorite in a game with a run line of 7.5. The drawback is he has not been great lately. In his last two starts, he has gone 12 innings with 19 hits and 7 earned runs allowed. Still, Tanaka is a high strikeout guy with 51 K’s in 48 IP. He had a string of four really solid starts before his recent slide and is still sitting at a 3.17 ERA and a WHIP of 1.03. Despite the perception that he has not been good this year, those are elite level numbers.
Michael Lorenzen vs. New York Mets ($4500) – This is really cheap for a guy who has been better and has a great matchup. The Mets have the ninth most strikeouts in the league against right-handed pitching. They have a K-rate of 20.7% and the third worst batting average to go along with it. Those numbers are actually lower over the last few weeks, so it does not even outline how bad they have been. Lorenzen had 12 and 20 fantasy points in his last two against better offenses, so he has a big chance to reach and exceed value off his dirt cheap price. I would not expect him to be the top scorer on the day, but he will be plenty useful if he repeats either of his last two performances at this price.
Stephen Vogt ($4200) – Vogt has started to heat back up. After coming out on fire and hitting a little bit of a lull, he now has 79 fantasy points over his last five games for a 16 point per game average. He has a .299 average and 12 homers in 164 at-bats against right-handed pitching in 2015. He hit .291 with 8 homers in 230 at-bats in 2014, so this is a strong trend to ride. Chris Young has not been sharp lately and has struggled more with left-handers over his career. Vogt should be back in the meat of the order again for the As and has upside and safety based off his recent performances in this matchup.
Fransisco Cervelli ($3100) – Cervelli has been the cheap guy that daily players have been riding for a few weeks now. He is hitting .282 against right-handers this year, but has driven in 20 runs already as well. He faces Julio Teheran, who is a shell of the guy who was dominant last season. Cervelli tends to bat sixth in the Pittsburgh order, so he is in a solid RBI spot for a team that has been scoring some runs. At only $3100, he does not need to do much to make value. It’s tough to look anywhere else for salary savings with the way he has played lately.
Miguel Cabrera ($5500) – Miggy is a former triple crown winner, MVP, and stud hitter. Danks has been atrocious to right-handed bats throughout his career and struggles with the long ball. Miggy is hitting .333 with 4 homeruns in 51 at-bats against southpaws. This matchup is too good to pass up and the Tigers are expected to get a bunch of runs. Miggy has 22 hits in his last 41 at-bats, which includes 4 doubles and 2 homeruns. He is as hot as any hitter in baseball right now and facing a pitcher who is serving up runs and hits to everyone. He is not cheap, but his elite level production lately still makes him a solid value guy.
Adrian Gonzalez ($4000) -↓↓ The price on Gonzalez has really dropped. He was a guy well over $5K at one point in the season, but is now down 20% from that high. He is a quality left-handed bat that hits for average, power, and drives in runs. He has a .306 batting average with 12 homers in 206 at-bats against right-handers in 2015. He faces a guy in Koehler who struggles with homers to left-handed bats and should see a ton of them in this Dodgers lineup. In his last four starts, A-Gonz has averaged over 10 fantasy points per contest. Those numbers would make for excellent value o him today at the price.
Justin Turner ($3900) – Turner is smoking hot right now. He has 99 fantasy points in his last 6 starts. That breaks down to a whopping 16.5 per game. He is the best hitter on the Dodgers currently vs. right-handed pitching. He has a .365 average with 10 homeruns in 137 at-bats. Second base is a tough position to get huge upside from, but Turner is definitely a guy who can and has provided it. He is also batting third lately for the Dodgers, so he will have ample chances to be in the middle of all the action in this one.
Logan Forsythe ($3300) – The cleanup hitter for the lowly rays continues to get no respect. The pricing on this guy is cheap everyday and he just continues to produce. He had 99 points over his last ten games heading into last night and picked up another multi-hit game with an RBI. He is now averaging over 10 points per contest in his last eleven, bats in the meat of the order, plays a tough to fill position, and is still only $3300. I’m not sure why more people do not roster this guy, but he has been a great GPP option for upside and salary savings lately.
Alex Rodriguez ($4500) – A Rod has 120 fantasy points over his last nine games. that breaks down to 13.6 during that time frame. He gets a good splits matchup against a weak pitcher in a great hitter’s park for this one. Oberholtzer struggles with homeruns and right handed bats. A Rod has more of those as a righty then any other active player. He should be in the three hole again here and surrounded by other solid right-handed sticks, which bodes well for his chances to continue his high level of play.
Mikael Franco ($4200) – He is a little pricey for a value play, but when you look at his production it makes a lot more sense. He has scored 125 points in his last nine games. That breaks down to about 14 per contest. He already has 4 homers in 30 at-bats against left-handed pitching and gets a lefty in his homer friendly home park for this one. Franco flashed his elite upside with a coming out party in the Bronx last week. He has enormous upside because of his power and will be slotted in the middle of that Phillies order. This kid has a very high ceiling and should be a tough out for Gio Gonzalez here.
Troy Tulowitzki ($4700) – Tulo has 11 hits in his last 26 at-bats, which includes 4 multi hit games in his last six starts. He faces Tim Lincecum, who he is 8 for 22 against since the 2012 season. The other shortstops today all lack elite upside. The way Tulo has played, he is started to be worthy of that pricetag again. He has flashed the upside we all love from him, and has a nine game hitting streak going to solidify his floor. The Slump is over and it’s safe to roll Tulo out in cash and tournament play again.
Alexei Ramirez ($3500) – Ramirez has always hit lefties well. This year he has a .286 average against them. He has been moved up into the two hole as well, so he should score a few more runs with the big bats like Abreu, Laroche, Melky and Garcia hitting behind him. He faces the rookie Kyle Ryan who is not a high K guy and has been knocked around lately. Overall, he makes a great salary saver in a good matchup with safety and upside.
JD Martinez ($5200) – Martinez has 163 points in his last 11 games. That is about a 15 fantasy point per game average. He faces John Danks in this one who has served up a ton of homers and struggles with right-handed bats. He has now hit 6 homeruns in his last five games and is absolutely mashing the ball. He has 7 homers in 57n at-bats against left-handers in 2015, so the upside for him here is huge, even at the inflated price.
Lorenzo Cain ($4300) – Cain owns lefties, with a .321 batting average and a OBP over .400. He tends to bat second or third in the order against southpaws, and that is where I expect to see him against Kazmir. Kaz is a solid pitcher, but he has a tough matchup here against a team with the lowest K rate and third highest batting average. Cain is a big reason for both of those stats, and should be able to do some damage against the lefty, as he has done all season long.
Josh Reddick ($3700) – He is still really cheap and still getting little respect. He currently hits fifth or sixth for the As, and has been awesome against righties. He has a .337 batting average and 9 homers in 190 at-bats. Reddick has always hit right-hander well, so it is no surprise. Chris Young is a solid option for KC, but he does struggle with the long ball, so it might not be the perfect situation, but it’s pretty close. Reddick hits for power and average, so when he is this cheap, steal him while you still can for under $4K.
Chris Young ($3300) – As of two days ago, Young had the fourth highest WOBA in all of baseball vs. left-handed pitching. That is an amazing stat. He homered and did some other damage Friday, so those numbers may be even higher. Young has been finding himself in the two hole against left-handed pitching. He is currently batting .379 with 4 homeruns in only 66 plate appearances. He gets a good matchup in a great hitters park (Houston) against a weak lefty in Oberholtzer who struggles with right handed bats with power. Young has been a great addition for the Yank’s. I’m looking forward to using him tomorrow as he has elite upside at a very cheap price.