We are back to a “regular” main game slate start time of 7:05pm ET and have a bonus game with the Tampa Bay Rays and the Baltimore Orioles playing a day/night double header. The preferred pitching options are expensive today; however, the recommendations below will give us a chance to work them into our lineups for tonight.
Madison Bumgarner – SFG vs PHI – $14,000 – This is a hefty premium. However, the Giants are big favorites to garner the victory at home with the Philadelphia projected to plate just 2.4 runs. On the season the Phillies have an anemic 61 wRC+ (weighted runs created plus is an advanced metric that neutralizes ball park factors and creates a league-wide scoring efficiency baseline of 100) which means that they are scoring 39% less efficiently than the average team against southpaws.
Jacob deGrom – NYM at ATL – $11,400 – Jake deGreat has been more average than anything else over his last ten starts. This will be the third time he has faced the Braves, and while he has lasted just 11 2/3 innings allowing 14 baserunners, four earned runs and just nine strikeouts, he is still one of the best options in the evening game set. On the season the Bravos have a 79 wRC+ which is the worst in the league against right-handed pitching, and they really have no power to speak of as evidenced by their .108 ISO. Heck, they have only managed 20 home runs against righties so far this season which is 16 and 19 LESS than the next two worst teams.
Dillon Overton – OAK at LAA – $4,400 – Overton is getting the call up to The Show for a start against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. He has been lights out at AAA Nashville and has not allowed an earned run in his last three starts. At this price point, we have a lot of margin for error, and if he can manage double digit points, his supporters will be thrilled beyond belief!
David Ortiz (1B) – BOS at TEX – $5,600 – The Farewell Tour continues for Big Papi who has been simply the best designated hitter this season. He gets an excellent matchup against RHP A.J. Griffin who has been on the shelf with an injury for the last six weeks. Since the beginning of 2014, Ortiz has posted a .410 wOBA and a .310 ISO in lefty/righty matchups.
Robinson Cano (2B) – SEA vs STL – $4,500 – Cano has a favorable scenario tonight against RHP Mike Leake. Over his last 1,000+ plate appearances against right-handed pitching, Cano has a .379 wOBA and a .200 ISO, and he is always a threat for multi-extra base hits.
Mike Trout (OF) – LAA at PIT – $5,500 – LHP Jeff Locke did have a scoreless outing against San Francisco in his last start; however, even with that, over his last three he has lasted just 15 1/3 innings with only eight strikeouts and a whopping 10.6 ERA. Trout is one of the top five hitters in the world on any given day, and even at this high-end price point, we can look to him in all formats.
Nelson Cruz (OF) – SEA vs STL – $4,200 – Since the beginning of 2013, Cruz has 129 home runs and 93 have been against right-handed pitchers. RHP Mike Leake has had issues with home runs in the past, and at this price point Cruz is a fine option.
Corey Seager (SS) – LAD at PIT – $5,200 – LHP Jeff Locke struggles against all batters, and it will be surprising if he makes it beyond the fifth inning. The Pirates bullpen is not one that is particularly fearsome, and Seager is a nice contrarian play with his premium price tag.
Adam Lind (1B) – SEA vs STL – $3,700 – Lind does have multi-extra base hit upside, and RHP Mike Leake is the caliber of pitcher that can help Lind reach his potential.
Michael Conforto (OF) – NYM at ATL – $2,900 – Conforto has been slumping, but it has really pushed down his price point and we need to consider him in all formats on Saturday. Over his last 330 at bats against right-handed pitching, he has compiled a .366 wOBA and a .260 ISO. RHP Julio Teheran is a great pitcher against right-handed hitters with a .243 wOBA over his last 48 starts; however, in that same stretch he is allowing a .358 wOBA to hitters swinging the stick from the left-side of the plate. We can also consider teammates Curtis Granderson (OF) – $3,200, Neil Walker (2B) – $2,800 and (OF) Alejandro De Aza – $2,900 tonight.
Kiké Hernandez (OF) – LAD at PIT – $3,500 – We should see Hernandez with a premium lineup spot with the Dodgers facing a weak left-handed pitcher. There is a decent chance that Scott Van Slyke (1B/OF) – $3,400 is also in the lineup, and while he is a strong risk to be lifted for a pinch hitter or as part of a double switch when a righty comes in from the Pittsburgh bullpen, he just needs one swing of the bat to pay off this salary.
Nomar Mazara (OF) – TEX vs BOS – $2,700 – After a hot star, Mazara has really cooled off over the last two weeks. Though that just means his price tag is that much more appealing. While he does not have a lot of experience against knuckleball pitchers, he is a fantastic salary relief option with upside.
Seth Smith (OF) – SEA vs STL – $3,400 – Smith and Leonys Martin (OF) – $3,600 are options as stand-alone plays or as part of a Mariners synergy strategy against RHP Mike Leake.
Jung Ho Kang (3B) – PIT vs LAD – $3,800 – Kang is going to be an All-Star in the very near future. In the meantime, enjoy using him in daily fantasy sports as someone who is often overlooked. He is always in the mix whenever the Pirates are doing something exciting on offense, and with so many of the Pirates dinged up, they will be counting on him.