We have 15 games on the docket and what appears to be a clear weather night. That’s a rarity. We also have Coors Field on the slate, and while the Rockies have the highest implied-team total today at 5.9 runs, we have eight other teams with implied totals at or above 4.7, so the ‘Fade Coors’ crowd has plenty of ammo by which to do so. Any questions about the slate, feel free to hit me up on Twitter, @RyNoonan. Let’s dig in.
Max Scherzer – WSH vs. MIL – $13,900 – This is the perfect storm of strikeout upside, but you need to figure out if using nearly 28% of your $50,000 budget on one player is a smart move. The Brewers’ 25.9% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching is the highest mark in the league, and we know that is Scherzer’s bread and butter. I’m not sure that we have enough viable cheap bats to make this a reality though.
Aaron Sanchez – TOR vs. CWS – $11,400 – There’s no doubt that Aaron Sanchez is overpriced at $11,400, but I like him from a pure matchup standpoint. He has some serious splits, but that works in his favor against the right-handed heavy White Sox. Sanchez has been dominant against righties dating back to the start of 2015, holding them to a .241 wOBA in 91 innings.
Jameson Taillon – PIT vs. LAD – $7,500 – The Dodgers have been a disappointment offensively this season, really struggling against right-handers with .305 wOBA and 92 wRC+ which are both among the bottom third in all of baseball. Taillon has shown flashes of excellence in his first three starts, and he is priced well enough to consider on Friday.
Jordan Zimmermann – DET vs. CLE – $7,100 – Truth be told, I’m not much of a Jordan Zimmermann fan. At least not for DFS purposes. His floor is low because he doesn’t miss many bats, at least not consistently, but he’s easier to fade when he’s in the $9K range. At $7,100 he’s worth a look in cash games.
David Ortiz (1B) – BOS vs. TEX – $5,600 – Rangers’ starter Nick Martinez has pitched fairly well against lefties in his career, but let’s not pretend he’s someone that we need to avoid. Big Papi has a .394 ISO (!!!) against right-handed pitching this season, and that’ll play well in a humid night in Texas.
Josh Donaldson (3B) – TOR vs. CWS – $5,500 – Thou shall roster Josh Donaldson against a lefty. It’s one of the most popular DFS commandments, and is very much in play today. Donaldson’s current form is 10 fire emojis, and Rodon has allowed right-handers to rack up a .354 wOBA since the beginning of 2015.
Paul Goldschmidt (1B) – ARZ vs. COL – $5,500 – There’s no doubt that the Rockies and Diamondbacks will be the chalk of the day, and rightfully so. The Diamondbacks’ .357 wOBA and 206 ISO as a team against left-handed pitching are both tops in all of baseball, and Rockies’ southpaw Tyler Anderson should help them add to those totals.
Carlos Gonzalez (OF) – COL vs. ARI – $5,400 – Carlos Gonzalez may not be that elite top-10 fantasy asset that he’s been for much of the last decade, but he’s still elite at home against a league-average or below righty. Archie Bradley is showing signs of improvement, but he still gives up a ton of hard-hit contact.
Wil Myers (1B) – SD vs. CIN – $5,200 – Wil Myers has been spending May and June officially making ‘The Leap’. The former top prospect has bounced around and struggled with injuries, but his 2016 coming out party is not something that we should be surprised by. He has a .383 wOBA against lefties this season, and he’s slugging .512 over the past month. This is a great spot for him in GPP’s with Goldschmidt and Ortiz likely to eat up a sizable chunk of ownership.
Michael Saunders (OF) – TOR vs. CWS – $4,700 – A lefty who mashes lefties is fun in DFS, typically because he’s often forgotten when people start building lineups. Michael Saunders has a 175 wRC+ against them this season, one of the best marks in the league, and needs to be a part of your Blue Jays stack if that’s what you’re considering on Friday.
Stephen Piscotty (OF) – STL vs. SEA – $4,600 – While I already mentioned the Josh Donaldson commandment, I think we need to consider adding Stephen Piscotty’s name right next to it. In fact, his 2016 numbers against lefties are even better than Donaldson’s. His .511 wOBA and 230 wRC+ against lefties are video game numbers.
Peter O’Brien (OF) – ARZ vs. COL – $4,300 – We don’t have a ton of major league data on Peter O’Brien but he showed tremendous power in the minors, particularly against lefties, and that’s continued in his short stint in majors so far. I’ll want him in any Diamondbacks stack that I use.
Melvin Upton (OF) – SD vs. CIN – $3,600 – Melvin is turning back the clock to his early B.J. Upton days. He’s crushing lefties, swiping bags, shaking hands, kissing babies…the whole nine yards. This is a great spot for the entire Padres team since they’re third in the league against left-handed bats this season (116 wRC+).
Yangervis Solarte (2B/3B) – SD vs. CIN – $3,200 – See above. Yangervis Solarte is a great tournament option because he’s never popular and will hit in the middle of the Padres lineup. It’s also worth noting that this is a significant park shift in San Diego’s favor.
Robinson Cano (2B) – SEA vs. STL – $4,000 – The entire Mariners lineup is under priced today. While Cardinals’ starter Carlos Martinez has been solid against right-handed bats throughout his career, he’s been hit well by lefties. Only David Ortiz has been better against right-handed pitching this season than Cano’s .438 wOBA and 185 wRC+.
Eric Hosmer (1B) – KC vs. HOU – $3,500 – The Royals are priced as if they’re facing lefty Dallas Keuchel so their left-handed bats are values today. Hosmer is my favorite of the group because he’s been so good against right-handed pitching (.389 wOBA).
Nelson Cruz (OF) – SEA vs. STL – $3,400 – Under no circumstance should Nelson Cruz be $3,400. None. Yes, Carlos Martinez has been strong against right-handed bats and Cruz is better against lefties, but he still has too much pop to be $3,400. He should be popular at this price.
Ryan Rua (1B/OF) – TEX vs. BOS – $3,400 – Believe it or not, Ryan Rua has been a top-10 bat against lefties this season. He has huge power upside and makes for a great tournament flier against David Price in Texas.