The day after the MLB trade deadline we have a full fifteen game schedule and with several aces, games in both Coors Field and Chase Field along with several sketchy pitchers. Let’s dig in to this terrific tournament game set.
Jacob deGrom – NYM vs NYY – $11,500 – Outside of a dud two starts ago where he was not able to complete the fourth inning, deGrom has been deGroovy averaging 25 DraftKings points over his other eight most recent appearances. Carlos Beltran is with the Rangers now and Alex Rodriguez has played half a dozen games in the field since the beginning of 2015, so it is unlikely we see him in the starting lineup. The Yankees are projected to plate just 3.1 runs tonight, so if you are willing to spend and can’t quite get to Madison Bumgarner, deGrom is your guy.
Madison Bumgarner – SFG at PHI – $13,000 – This is a pretty prohibitive price; however, based on everything else, MadBum is the top pitching option on Tuesday. The Phillies are one of the worst teams against southpaws, have an implied run total of 2.9 and the Giants are favorites to garner the win which is worth four DraftKings points.
Luis Perdomo – SDP vs MIL – $4,700 – Perdomo is the exact opposite of Madison Bumgarner on the pricing spectrum, but from a projected points per dollar standpoint, it is much, much closer. The Brew Crew have the highest strikeout rate against right-handed pitching in the League this season at 26.7%, and they have a bottom five offense from a scoring efficiency perspective and are now without Jonathan Lucroy, and Ryan Braun is dealing with injuries. If you make a lineup with Perdomo, tell me you won’t be in love with all the top-end hitters you are able to select.
David Price – BOS at SEA – $9,600 – Through 22 starts this season, Price has allowed five or more runs six times. On the flipside, he has allowed two or less in eleven starts. I do like some of the Mariners’ bats tonight (as listed below), but I can’t rule out a David Price gem at Safeco Field.
Miguel Cabrera (1B) – DET vs HOU – $5,200 – If anyone has taken Miggy against a southpaw this season, they have been sorely disappointed with his .227 average and five lonely extra base hits. Since a lot of gamers focus on batters in opposite handed matchups, there is likely a strong “never again” crowd with the former Triple Crown winner, and this price point is going to keep The Masses at bay. What we need to know is that opposing pitcher RHP James Shields has allowed 20 home runs this season in 123 innings, and Cabrera has a terrific history against him with a .367/.424/.667 slash line and a dozen extra base hits in 60 career at bats versus Shields.
Carlos Gonzalez (OF) – COL vs LAD – $5,200 – The Rockies are back home in Coors Field. Now is the time to target the Colorado lefties, and both Cargo and Charlie Blackmon (OF) – $5,000 are in play as individuals or as part of a synergy strategy in tournaments since these prices will keep a lot of gamers away. Just know that the Dodgers do have one of the best bullpens this season, so once again, I am classifying this as a tournament-only recommendation.
Carlos Correa (SS) – HOU vs TOR – $5,300 – With knuckleballer RHP R.A. Dickey on the bump for Toronto, Correa will have a bit of a challenge since he has never faced Dickey. However, he is one of the best young hitters in the game and is adept against both lefties and righties, so if he just get one mistake pitch, he could pay off handsomely.
Nelson Cruz (OF) – SEA vs BOS – $4,700 – The name recognition with LHP David Price will suppress the popularity of Cruz who has been simply amazing against southpaws with a .439 wOBA and a .310 ISO over his last 492 plate appearances. Price has allowed 16 home runs this season, with twelve of them going to right-handed batters.
Jurickson Profar (2B/3B) – TEX at BAL – $4,200 – It will be interesting to see how the Rangers lineup shakes out with their recent acquisitions, though we should see Profar at the top of the order against RHP Dylan Bundy who is just getting stretched out as a starter.
Jake Lamb (3B) – ARZ vs WAS – $4,700 – Lamb has been excellent since the beginning of 2014 with a .357 wOBA and a .210 ISO. He possesses multi-home run upside in lefty/righty matchups. And while RHP Tanner Roark does a pretty good job of limiting opposing hitters, this is a major ball park shift and a good time to look at some D’Backs.
Adam Eaton (OF) – CHW at DET – $4,300 – This is a great matchup for the ChiSox as RHP Anibal Sanchez is lucky to still be in the League with the way he has been pitching (6.56 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP). Over his last ten games, Eaton has been locked in with three home runs, seven RBIs and seven runs scored. He is a sneaky source of power that continually is overlooked by the more casual gamers.
Jett Bandy (CATCH) – LAA vs OAK – $2,700 – Bandy and fellow catcher Carlos Perez have been trading off backstop duties, and with Perez going getting the last start, we can pencil in Bandy as getting a shot against LHP Sean Manea on Tuesday night. Though it is a VERY small sample size, he has pounded southpaws with three home runs and two doubles in just 28 at bats.
Jayson Werth (OF) – WAS at ARZ – $3,900 – Werth still can get it going against lefties and over his last 343 plate appearances he has tallied a .398 wOBA and a .230 ISO. Oh, and he has gotten on base in thirty-four straight games.
Franklin Gutierrez (OF) – SEA vs BOS – $3,200 – The Mariners have been on a run facing quite a few lefties, and we love Gutierrez against southpaws with his .395 wOBA and .270 ISO accumulated since the beginning of 2014.
Trea Turner (2B/OF) – WAS at ARZ – $3,400 – Turner has the green light when he gets on base, and he has not disappointed with four stolen bases in his last seven starts. Though he is looking for his first home run, he has two doubles and three triples in 57 July at bats. Switch-hitting teammate Danny Espinosa (SS) – $3,400 is also in play as a tournament option with his tremendous power upside against LHP Robbie Ray who has allowed 15 home runs this season.
Dae-Ho Lee (1B) – SEA vs BOS – $2,800 – Yes, the third and final Mariner making the recommended plays group for Tuesday. The price savings is tremendous, and when we consider the upside with seven home runs and two doubles through 107 at bats this season against lefties, this play really makes a lot of sense when combined with the upgrade we can give our pitchers with the salary cap savings.
Bryce Brentz (OF) – BOS at SEA – $2,600 – Brentz will likely be at the bottom of the batting order for Boston as they face LHP Wade LeBlanc, but considering his price and upside, he is a fine discount dandy on Tuesday.
Ryan Schimpf (2B) – SDP vs MIL – $3,400 – Schimpf has some nice power upside, and he has been getting most of his action from the middle of the Padres order now that they have traded away most of their veteran talent. He also does a pretty good job of getting on base, and he has nine walks in his last eleven games.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is emac) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.