Today we have a rich variety of pitching, top offenses and sketchy matchups that are just waiting to be exploited. This second to last weekend of summer should be a lot of fun!
Noah Syndergaard – NYM vs PHI – $12,300 – This is a rich price tag; however, there are enough recommended discount bats below that can allow us to work in the pitcher fondly known as Thor. When he faced the Phillies earlier this season, he certainly brought the hammer with seven strong innings allowing just one earned run on seven baserunners with eight strikeouts. Current Philadelphia hitters have accumulated a .176/.222/.314 slash line with just three extra base hits and a 35.2% strikeout rate. This is my top option in all formats on Saturday night.
David Price – BOS vs KCR – $10,000 – For Price, it is all about going deep into games and racking up strikeouts, even when he struggles in the early innings. In his career against hitters on the Royals active roster, he has been excellent, allowing a mere six extra base hits over 124 at bats with a .250/.268/.347 slash line. The Royals do not strike out too often, so I think Price is best used as a steady option with a solid floor.
Jose Urena – MIA vs SDP – $4,500 – Tournaments only for this choice in my opinion. The flexibility provided by a near minimum priced pitcher should not be taken lightly. In this matchup against LHP Clayton Richard, Urena and the Marlins are solid favorites to garner the win and the victory is worth a solid four bonus points for the winning pitcher on DraftKings. As long as Urena reaches double digit fantasy points, he will have his backers smiling on Saturday night.
Jake Peavy – SFG vs ATL – $6,000 – Pitching in AT&T Park is a major advantage as it is one of the best run-suppressing home field advantages in all of Major League Baseball. This season the Braves have an 82 wRC+ (weighted runs created plus is an advanced metric that neutralizes ball park factors and creates a league-wide scoring efficiency baseline of 100) which is the second lowest in the league and means that Atlanta scores 18% less efficiently than the league average against right-handed hurlers. Current Bravos batsmen have managed just one double and two home runs in 114 at bats against Peavy for a minuscule .228/.270/.289 slash line. Giddyup!
Brandon Moss (1B/OF) – STL vs OAK – $5,000 – Let’s have some fun tonight and pick on rookie RHP Zach Neal who has a 5.49 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP through 39 1/3 innings tonight and will be in a tough road matchup against a veteran team. Moss is a solid home run power option with his .343 wOBA and .240 ISO in lefty/righty matchups over the last two plus seasons.
Joey Votto (1B) – CIN at ARZ – $5,100 – Votto gets a fine matchup in the thin desert air on Saturday night against RHP Zack Godley who has been solid against left-handed hitters, but has not faced many as talented as Votto who is sporting a .310 average, a .951 OPS and 20 taters.
Jose Altuve (2B) – HOU vs TBR – $5,000 – LHP Blake Snell has had his moments, but Altuve has taken his game to a whole new level this season against lefties with a .459 wOBA and a .238 ISO over 145 plate appearances. Not too shabby for someone who is 5’6” and 165 lbs in his cleats and holding a bat.
Martin Prado (3B) – MIA vs SDP – $4,500 – Prado is not the most sexy play: however, he is very steady and that is exactly what we are looking for in our H2H lineups. Over his last 335 at bats against left-handed pitching he has produced a .414 wOBA and a .970 OPS with 37 total extra-base hits.
Francisco Lindor (SS) – CLE at TEX – $4,400 – This is a very fair price for Lindor’s services as he is a sneaky option against right-handed pitching with a .348 wOBA and a .810 OPS over his career. He is a switch-hitter as well, so once RHP A.J. Griffin is out of the game, he will have the platoon advantage regardless of who is coming out of the bullpen.
Tommy Pham (OF) – STL vs OAK – $4,300 – Even if he is in the bottom third of the Redbirds order, Pham will still be a producer against RHP Zach Neal. Over his last 226 plate appearances against right-handed hurlers he has posted a .358 wOBA and a .250 ISO. We can also add Matt Carpenter (2B/3B) – $5,200 along with Brandon Moss to create a synergistic trio of Cardinals batsmen.
Evan Gattis (CATCH) – HOU vs TBR – $4,500 – El Oso Blanco is a fine backstop play against LHP Blake Snell as most gamers will blanche at this lofty price tag. Often times we can be “contrarian” by spending at a position where most gamers will be trying to save a little salary.
Tim Anderson (SS) – CHW vs SEA – $4,200 – Anderson will be squaring off against fellow rookie LHP Ariel Miranda on Saturday night and he has been productive through 51 plate appearances in righty/lefty matchups with a .372 wOBA and he should be in near the top of the ChiSox order.
Nelson Cruz (OF) – SEA at CHW – $4,500 – Cruz is a noted lefty-crusher and he has 32 total home runs so far this season. In his career, he has seen LHP Jose Quintana well going 6 for 17 which is a .353 average with a home run and just two strikeouts.
Franklin Gutierrez (OF) – SEA at CHW – $3,100 – When we like Cruz, we of course are thrilled to take the discount with Gutierrez who has tallied a .383 wOBA and a .260 ISO over his last 283 plate appearances against southpaws. Like his teammate, he has had success against Quintana with two hits in nine at bats, both for extra bases.
A.J. Pollock (OF) – ARZ vs CIN – $3,300 – Fresh off the 60-day disabled list, Pollock should be ready to make some noise back in The Show and he has a favorable matchup against RHP Anthony Desclafani, particularly at this near punt price point.
Jonathan Lucroy (CATCH) – TEX vs CLE – $3,900 – With most gamers shying away from the matchup against RHP Carlos Carrasco, we can get the under-utilized Lucroy who can be a difference-maker in tournaments with his ability against same-handed pitching. Since the beginning of the 2014 season he has compiled a .357 wOBA against righties.
Stephen Vogt (CATCH) – OAK at STL – $3,200 – If you need savings at catcher, then my vote is for Vogt as he should be in the heart of the order for the Athletics and will have the platoon advantage against rookie RHP Alex Reyes.
Scooter Gennett (2B) – MIL vs PIT – $2,900 – Never flashy, but always solid, Scoots McGoots is in play as a value option against RHP Jameson Taillon with his steady points and deeply discounted price for someone who should be well positioned in the batting order for Milwaukee.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is emac) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.