We have a full fifteen game slate tonight with a nice assortment of options. There are question marks and hidden treasures all around, so let’s see what we can find!
Jake Arrieta – CHC at SDP – $12,500 – Even with the addition of their trio of young left-handed hitters (Travis Jankowski, Alex Dickerson and Ryan Schimpf), the Padres are still no match for top right-handed hurlers. San Diego has an implied run total of just 3.1 runs, and the Cubbies will very likely come away with the road victory on Tuesday night. There is a little concern after Arrieta allowed seven walks in 5 2/3 innings against the strikeout happy Brewers in his last start, but he is the top option of this game set in my opnion.
Madison Bumgarner – SFG at LAD – $13,100 – The spacious Dodger Stadium is a favorable pitching park for Bumgarner. While LA’s National League team has a good offense, they do most of their heavy lifting against right-handed pitching. It is an entirely different story when they face southpaws, and on the season they have an 80 wRC+ (weighted runs created plus is an advanced metric that neutralizes ballpark factors and creates a league-wide scoring efficiency baseline of 100) meaning that they score 20% less effectively than the average team. Through 258 at bats, the current Dodgers have compiled a .233/.281/.391 slash line with a 25.9% strikeout rate and just 25 extra-base hits… seven of which belong to Enrique “Kiké” Hernandez of all people.
Jon Gray – COL at MIL – $7,600 – This is a reasonable price point for Gray who has been solid though not spectacular this season when away from his home park Coors Field (65 innings, 7 home runs allowed, .229 batting average against with a 4.29 ERA). The Brew Crew has been a bottom five team this season against right-handed pitching with an 86 wRC+, and while they do have upside, I am willing to take the savings with Gray on Tuesday. We do need to be cognizant of the 18 earned runs he has allowed over his last 12 innings, so he too will be designated with my tournament only tag.
Anibal Sanchez – DET at MIN – $6,900 – Sanchez has two 30+ DraftKings point performances in his last three starts. On the downside, the other start was a -5 DraftKings fantasy point performance. This is strictly a tournament recommendation for when you need to find some savings to improve your hitting corps, but Sanchez does have some strikeout upside and over 133 at bats, current Twins have accumulated a .233/.290/.271 slash line. No, that is not a typo – they have two doubles and just one home run in those 133 at bats.
Stephen Piscotty (OF) – STL vs NYM – $5,300 – The lofty price tag and lack of name recognition should keep most gamers away from Piscotty. He has a nice matchup with LHP Jon Niese who is one bad outing away from being given his unconditional release. Also, through 206 career plate appearances, Piscotty has posted a .405 wOBA and a .250 ISO against southpaws.
Mike Trout (OF) – LAA at TOR – $5,200 – Trout has faced knuckleballer R.A. Dickey eleven times in his career and he has six hits including two doubles and a triple with just one solitary strikeout. Add in the major upgrade with this game in the hitters haven known as the Rodgers Centre, and we have a fine option in all formats.
Daniel Murphy (1B/2B) – WAS at BAL – $5,200 – Murphy has been phenomenal this season and is in the hunt for the National League batting title with a .345 average which puts him neck-and-neck with D.J. LeMahieu and a full twenty points higher than teammate Wilson Ramos who is in third place with a .320 average. RHP Kevin Gausman has actually been solid against hitters swinging the stick from the left-side of the plate, but at this point Murphy is nearly matchup proof.
Joey Votto (1B) – CIN vs TEX – $5,300 – The Rangers are heading to the Great American SMALLpark for a series and LHP Derek Holland will be making his first start after spending the last two months on the disabled list with a shoulder injury. Since the beginning of the 2014 season, Votto has accrued a .404 wOBA and a .210 ISO with a .930 OPS making him an excellent differentiation option in this lefty/lefty matchup.
Trea Turner (2B/OF) – WAS at BAL – $4,700 – Turner has been outstanding for the Nationals and is locked in as their leadoff hitter. Through 149 at bats this season across 35 games, he has 18 extra-base hits, 29 runs scored and 14 stolen bases. This is a favorable matchup with RHP Kevin Gausman who tends to struggle with same-handed hitters.
Nelson Cruz (OF) – SEA vs NYY – $4,700 – Nelson Cruz against LHP C.C. Sabathia, so you know the drill. Over his last 523 plate appearances Cruz has tallied a .431 wOBA with a .310 ISO and 36 home runs.
Gary Sanchez (CATCH) – NYY at SEA – $4,300 – It looks like RHP Taijuan Walker will be slotting into the rotation Tuesday night for the Mariners after spending most of the summer in Triple-A working on his form, strategy and desire. With regards to Sanchez, however, it does not seem to matter who he is facing and he knocked in two more home runs last night in Seattle giving him eight in just sixty-five MLB at-bats. The streak will end at some point in time, until then, enjoy!
Ben Zobrist (2B/OF) – CHC at SDP – $4,000 – The Zorilla is always in play when facing left-handed pitching, and he gets a fine matchup with LHP Christian Friedrich who has allowed a .338 wOBA and a 31.1% hard contact rate over the last 472 right-handed batters he has faced. While a home run is not likely, we could see a multi-extra base hit performance from Zobrist.
Franklin Gutierrez (OF) – SEA vs NYY – $3,100 – Gutierrez is destroying southpaws over the last two plus seasons with a .388 wOBA and a .260 ISO. Over his last ten games, LHP CC Sabathia is 2-6 with a 6.53 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP and a dozen home runs allowed. Mike Zunino (CATCH) – $2,900 is another discounted Seattle hitter we can look at, which will assist with working in the more expensive pitching options tonight.
Dexter Fowler (OF) – CHC at SDP – $3,900 – Fowler is a fine selection on Tuesday with the matchup against LHP Christian Friedrich. Over his last 395 plate appearances against left-handed pitching, the switch hitting Fowler has posted a .384 wOBA and a .880 OPS.
Maikel Franco (3B) – PHI at CHW – $3,400 – This season Franco has been solid against lefties with a .291/.345/.544 slash line and a dozen extra base hits over 103 at bats. LHP Carlos Rodon is a mercurial pitcher who has as many horrible outings as stellar ones. This is a nice price point for the power upside Franco has in this matchup.
Francisco Lindo (SS) – CLE at OAK – $3,700 – In his career, Lindor has posted a .359 wOBA and a .840 OPS against left-handed pitching in 318 plate appearances. Additionally one out of every three games he has played in this season have been of the multi-hit variety.
Mike Napoli (1B) – CLE at OAK – $3,900 – Staying with Cleveland in the matchup against LHP Sean Manaea, we can look to Napoli who has slipped below the $4K threshold. Since the beginning of the 2014 season, he has posted a .402 wOBA and a .240 ISO against left-handed pitching.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is emac) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.