Well, if you like offense, boy do we have a slate for you! Saturday night features 10 games, all which have some sort of appeal when it comes to the hitters. Pitching is going to be tough to decide on so let me help you try and weed through the bad and (hopefully) land on the right guys. As always, feel free to reach out on Twitter @SBuchanan24.
StudZack Greinke, ARI vs. MIL, $10,000 — Greinke, along with Luis Castillo ($11,200) are the two pitchers I like the most on this slate. I’d be fine with either guy, although Greinke does give you $1,200 discount. Greinke has yet to face the Brewers but he gets them at Chase Field, where he’s pitched some of his best baseball, as evidenced by his .259 wOBA and 3.36 xFIP. The Brewers also carry one of the highest K% in the league against righties at 23.7%. With so many high priced bats in consideration for tonight, Greinke gets the slight edge over Castillo, but it’s close for me.
Other Option — Luis Castillo ($11,200)
ValueJose Urquidy, HOU vs. TEX, $5,100 — We’re going wayyyyy down the list for Urquidy against the Rangers. This certainly doesn’t come without some risk, but the Rangers sport only a 4.5 run total on the evening. While that normally would be fairly high, it pales in comparison to the majority of the teams tonight who are hovering around five or more. The Astros are also massive favorites tonight as they face Ariel Jurado ($5,500). Urquidy hasn’t pitched much in the majors, but down in the minors he boasted a 35.2 K% through eight starts in Triple-A. The Rangers are one of the most strikeout prone teams against righties with a 25.7 K%, the third-highest in the league.
Other Option — Anibal Sanchez ($8,000)
StudMitch Garver, MIN vs. OAK, $5,300 — A lot of attention should be on the Twins as they’ll be facing the lefty Brett Anderson ($7,000). While Anderson hasn’t been bad on the road, the Twins are one of the best hitting clubs in the league against lefties, especially at home. Garver has some ridiculous numbers in these matchups, boasting a .492 wOBA with a .407 ISO through 65 plate appearances.
Other Option — Omar Narvaez ($4,400)
ValueCarson Kelly, ARI vs. MIL, $3,900 — I’m really hoping Kelly draws into the lineup tonight as he’s been a sneaky source of power against lefties. Gio Gonzalez ($8,300) is being activated off the injured list and making his first start since the end of May. When facing lefties, Kelly has a .498 wOBA with a .383 ISO with four of his 11 home runs.
Other Option — Jorge Alfaro ($3,100)
StudJosh Bell, PIT vs. PHI, $4,800 — Bell has been awfully quiet as of late, averaging just 4.8 DKFP over his past 10 games. While that’s not great, it does give him a drop in salary, as he’s been $5K or above for quite a while. Now he has a matchup against Zach Eflin ($7,300) who has been tortured by lefties. On the year, lefties have tagged him with a .357 wOBA, a 5.28 xFIP and 12 of the 18 home runs he’s allowed. Bell, along with the other Pirates lefties, are in a great spot here.
Other Option — Yuli Gurriel ($4,600)
ValueC.J. Cron, MIN vs. OAK, $3,900 — Just like with Garver, Cron has some stellar numbers against lefties this season and comes with a dirt-cheap salary. Entering this matchup, Cron sports a .434 wOBA with a .322 ISO with seven of his 18 home runs on the year against lefties. Those numbers alone should be enticing enough to get the Twins first baseman in your lineup and save some salary in the process.
Other Option — Joey Votto ($3,400)
StudKetel Marte, ARI vs. MIL, $4,800 —I’m pretty sure Marte is featured in every one of my articles and I have no regrets. Especially when he’s facing a left-handed pitcher, you want to make sure the D-Backs’ big bat is somewhere in your research. Again, Gonzalez is coming back from a long layoff and I can’t imagine he doesn’t get lit up here. At home against lefties, Marte has a .353 wOBA with a .245 ISO and three home runs.
Other Option — Jose Altuve ($4,300)
Editor’s Note: Altuve is not in the lineup for tonight’s game vs. the Rangers.
ValueJason Kipnis, CLE vs. KC, $3,500 — I’d expect Kipnis to move back up in the lineup tonight after facing lefties the past two nights. Most recently when a right-handed pitcher has been on the mound, Kipnis has been in either the cleanup spot or second. Either way, he’s simply too cheap to be hitting that high. The cherry on top is the matchup against Jakob Junis ($7,900), who the Indians have lit up this season for 16 runs on 23 hits through 23 innings this season. Against lefties, Junis has a .352 wOBA with a 4.39 xFIP and nine of his 21 home runs allowed.
Other Option — Ildemaro Vargas ($3,700)
StudHunter Dozier, KC vs. CLE, $4,800 — You’d never know it unless you’re a Royals fan but they’ve been hitting quite well since we’ve returned from the All-Star break. They enter this game averaging 6.1 runs per game since then and have a number of guys smashing the ball. Dozier is one of them and has posted double-digit fantasy points in four of his six games. He’ll face Adam Plutko ($6,000), who has a .420 wOBA and a 5.76 xFIP against righties at Progressive Field this season.
Other Option — Rafael Devers ($5,400)
ValueColin Moran, PIT vs. PHI, $3,800 — Another Pirates bat to consider against Eflin this evening. Moran sports a .416 wOBA and a .245 ISO against righties at PNC Park, which is some big-time production when you consider his salary. As I mentioned, I love stacking the lefties against Eflin and they aren’t all that expensive to do so. With the savings you’re getting here, Moran makes a lot of sense at the hot corner.
Other Option — Rio Ruiz ($3,200)
StudAlex Bregman, HOU vs. TEX, $5,100 — The Astros should smash Ariel Jurado ($5,500), so using someone like Bregman is ideal. He’s been hitting extremely well as of late but we now get an unfortunate bump in his salary, which is now the highest it’s been since July 3. Regardless, Jurado has a .360 wOBA and a 4.30 xFIP against righties with seven of the nine home runs he’s allowed. With Bregman averaging 13.2 DKFP over his last 10 games, he’s someone worth paying up for if you have the salary to spare (good luck with that).
Other Option — Kevin Newman ($4,200)
ValueNick Ahmed, ARI vs. MIL, $3,500 — This is a really solid play, in my opinion, for the salary you’ll be paying for Ahmed. The knock on him is that he’s not that great against righties but he IS good against lefties. Think of him as another Kike Hernandez. Because of that, we get a player who is $3,500 and has a .367 wOBA with a .209 ISO against Gonzalez. He’s come out of the ASB swinging, knocking in five runs through seven games. He’s a fantastic value if you need it.
Other Option — J.P. Crawford ($3,500)
StudJorge Soler, KC vs. CLE, $4,800 — Another Royals bat who you likely didn’t know is hitting well because who follows the Royals? Soler is averaging 10.6 DKFP over his past 10 games that include three home runs, three doubles and 10 RBI. I love his matchup against Plutko with the number of home runs he’s allowed and the favorable ballpark. A salary of $4,800 doesn’t feel like much to pay up for when you consider the high probability he has to go yard.
Other Options — Oscar Mercado ($4,600), Nelson Cruz ($4,500), Bryce Harper ($4,400)
ValueCorey Dickerson, PIT vs. PHI, $3,700 — Not sure if you knew this, but I’m really on the Pirates lefties. Dickerson is someone who should be higher in their order and thus can easily be left off stacks. However, you’re an intelligent person and you came here to get some knowledge. Against righties, Dickerson has a .352 wOBA with a .212 ISO. He’s a fantastic value in the outfield and one of my favorite plays to save that green.
Other Options — Jesse Winker ($3,600), Marwin Gonzalez ($3,600)
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