Saturday offers us a 10-game slate of baseball starting at 7:05 p.m. ET. We have a really, really good selection of pitching to choose from, including an amazing matchup for Charlie Morton going up against the Mariners. Let’s get into all the information for tonight and as always, you can reach me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
StudCharlie Morton, TB vs. SEA, $11,900 — Morton is the most expensive pitcher on this slate but, man, it would be hard to pass on this matchup against the Mariners. This offense has really struggled as of late and over the past five games has averaged just 2.2 runs per game. They’ve also moved into sole possession of the highest K% in the league against righties at 26.8%. Sure, Morton hasn’t been as strong as we saw him in the first half of the season, but it feels like this is such a perfect bounce-back spot against a struggling and strikeout prone team. I’m fine with paying up the salary for Morton here.
Other Option — Noah Syndergaard ($10,500)
ValueAdam Wainwright, STL vs. PIT, $7,800 — Wainwright has been fantastic at Busch Stadium and that’s exactly where he pitches tonight against the Pirates. At home, Wainwright has a .292 wOBA with a 3.87 xFIP and just five of his 14 home runs allowed. His matchup is against a struggling Pirates lineup which has averaged only 3.4 runs over their past five games. Wainwright has struggled against lefties and this is a lineup full of them, but with the way the Pirates are “hitting” I’m good with Wainwright here.
Other Option — Aaron Sanchez ($6,900)
StudMitch Garver, MIN vs. CLE, $5,300 — The catcher position, as usual, is whatever. No one really stands out as a must-play, so if you have the salary to spend there’s nothing wrong with using Garver against Adam Plutko ($6,100). At home against righties, Pluto has a .337 wOBA with a 5.49 xFIP and seven of the 15 home runs he’s allowed on the season. I’m not trying to TRY and play Garver but he’s certainly the best option here.
Other Option — Yasmani Grandal ($4,100)
ValueWilson Ramos, NYM vs. WAS, $3,500 — Overall, paying down at catcher is where I want to target. Ramos is my favorite of the bunch against Patrick Corbin ($11,200) at Citi Field. After what felt like a month-long slump, Ramos is back to hitting again and is averaging 9.5 DKFP over his past 10 games. His best numbers have come against lefties where he sports a .341 wOBA and a .243 ISO against them at home. At $3,500, doesn’t feel like much to pay for.
Other Option — Tucker Barnhart ($3,300)
StudPeter Alonso, NYM vs. WAS, $4,400 — “Paying up” for Alonso this evening hardly feels like you need to at this $4,400 salary. All Alonso has done lately is homer in four straight games while knocking in six. A big reason I like the Mets so much is that on the road, Corbin has allowed 12 of his 15 home runs and has an overall .339 wOBA with a 4.26 xFIP away from Nationals Park. Give me Alonso all day at this price point.
Other Option — Yuli Gurriel ($5,300)
ValueJake Lamb, ARI vs. LAD, $3,600 — If you want to save even more at first base, Lamb could be your guy against Kenta Maeda ($7,500). Since returning to the rotation, Maeda has not pitched well and currently sports a .333 wOBA with four home runs and five doubles allowed through 19 2/3 innings. Maeda has struggled against lefties to begin with and Lamb is lower in the order, likely keeping him out of any D-Backs stacks. He’s been struggling at the plate but his 47% hard-hit rate in the second half tells me he’s due to break out soon.
Other Option — Daniel Murphy ($3,900)
StudJose Altuve, HOU vs. BAL, $5,400 — It’s going to be tough, but paying up for at least a couple of the Astros bats would be ideal. I mean, they only have the highest projected run total of the evening so that’s a good reason. But we also like that starter Aaron Brooks ($4,200) has a .339 wOBA, a 5.30 xFIP and six of his 15 home runs allowed to righties. Altuve is on absolute fire right now and is averaging 13.7 DKFP over his past 10 games with four home runs, nine RBI and a .457 OBP.
Other Option — Keston Hiura ($4,900)
ValueJason Kipnis, CLE vs. MIN, $4,100 — I’m not a big fan of this start for Jake Odorizzi ($8,800) who has to face a dangerous Indians lineup. We’ve seen him coming back down to Earth a bit in the second half, where he has a .360 wOBA with a 5.00 xFIP and five of his 15 home runs allowed. Lefties have given him trouble all throughout the season, so it makes sense to save some salary with Kipnis. He’s been flexing in the second half and already has a .213 ISO with four home runs, eight doubles and 21 (not a typo) RBI through 25 games.
Other Option — Kolten Wong ($3,600)
StudMiguel Sano, MIN vs. CLE, $5,000 — Third base isn’t great if I’m being perfectly honest. We have some guys in “good” spots but nothing I’m clamoring the pay up for. Sano is the likely option for me in his matchup against Plutko. If we’re being perfectly honest, Sano against righties at home isn’t his strongest split, but he does still have a .247 ISO. I think this is a position you can pay down in unless you’re taking Sano or Alex Bregman ($5,400).
Other Option — Alex Bregman ($5,400)
ValueJose Ramirez, CLE vs. MIN, $4,300 — Ramirez should be way more expensive than he is, so he’s a value for me at $4,300. Entering this game, he’s averaging 11.7 DKFP over his past 10 games and has that lefty advantage against Odorizzi. He’s been mashing the ball as of late and already surpassed his home run total through 85 game in the first half. Ramirez has nine through 28 games after hitting seven in the first half.
Other Option — J.D. Davis ($3,800)
StudFernando Tatis Jr., SDP vs. COL, $5,600 — Talk about someone who is crushing the ball lately, Tatis Jr has at least 19 DKFP in four straight games and a home run in three of them. Tonight, he’ll be facing Chi Chi Gonzalez ($5,500) who struggles with home runs and his command. At home against righties, Tatis Jr. has a .403 wOBA with a .302 ISO and 10 of his 22 home runs on the season. Again, a lot to pay up for, but he’s been a fantasy beast as of late.
Other Option — Jorge Polanco ($4,700)
ValueLeury Garcia, CWS vs. OAK, $3,900 — Not much in the depths of the shortstop position on this slate. Garcia is somewhat intriguing in his matchup against Tanner Roark ($8,200). Lefties have given him the most trouble and he enters this game with a .397 wOBA, a 5.87 xFIP and 10 of his 15 home runs against them. While Garcia is not exactly a power bat you’re looking to target, he does bat leadoff and can get on base in this spot. For $3,900, he’s a viable option to save some salary and potentially at low ownership.
Other Option — Jose Iglesias ($3,500)
StudYordan Alvarez, HOU vs. BAL, $5,800 — If you can only get one Astros bat in your lineup, Alvarez would be the one to go for. I don’t think I have to hype him up to you but I love that Brooks struggles against lefties and has given up nine of his 15 home runs to them. On the road against righties, Alvarez has a .456 wOBA with a .321 ISO with four of his 14 home runs on the season. He’s my favorite bat to pay the premium for tonight.
Other Options — Michael Brantley ($5,200), Bryan Reynolds ($4,400)
ValueYasiel Puig, CLE vs. MIN, $4,000 — I love that Puig remains cheap all while batting cleanup for the Indians. With all the lefties in front of him (hopefully) getting on base, Puig has a great chance for some RBI opportunities. Since joining the Indians, Puig has averaged 8.4 DKFP through nine games and has posted double-digit fantasy points in five.
Other Options — A.J. Pollock ($3,800) Khris Davis ($3,600)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.