As we start to get into the warmer months we are going to see a massive boost in what is already the biggest offensive year in modern baseball history. It’s going to result in a lot of good pitchers having underwhelming results and it’s going to make worse pitchers pay the price even more for being bad. It should have some fun implications on the value options for DFS and we may need to look to be more volatile than safe moving forward. Let’s find some high upside options in this article.
StudMax Scherzer, WAS at DET, $12,300 — Scherzer is mighty expensive, but he’s worth every penny of the salary as the best SP with the best matchup on the slate. He’s strung together five straight starts of 30-plus DKFP and has scored less than 15 fantasy points just once this season. The matchup is fantastic and Scherzer is a phenomenal way to start a build.
Other Options — Gerrit Cole ($11,900)
ValueZach Davies, MIL vs. PIT, $5,900 — Davis has been really bad recently, but this is a $7K-plus pitcher that is priced down based on recent starts and a perceived tough matchup. The Pirates are significantly better against LHP and strike out quite a bit more to righties, giving Davies a bit of a ceiling boost. He’s underpriced which makes him a good value on the day.
Other Options — Gabriel Ynoa ($4,200)
Editor’s Note: Grandal is not in the lineup for today’s game.
Other Options — Willson Contreras ($5,500)
ValueDanny Jansen, TOR vs. KC, $2,600 — Jansen, like most cheaper catchers, is wildly inconsistent in his abilities. He has a lot of zero fantasy point outcomes and a lot of double-digit ones, and not much in between. He has kicked that inconsistency lately though and has four games of at least three DKFP in the past five contests (all in a row) and the matchup doesn’t scare anyone. He’s a solid option for under $3,000.
Other Options — John Hicks ($2,000)
FIRST BASEHowie Kendrick, WAS at DET, $5,300 — The Nationals face off against one of the most home run-prone pitchers on the slate and Kendrick and company are all in play in all formats. Kendrick specifically is a reborn hitter in the 2019 juiced ball revolution, with 12 home runs and a .958 OPS (7.8 DKFP per game) and it’s all based on improved contact overall. Seven of his past 15 games have been 10-plus DKFP performances and I like him to land there again today.
Other Options — Josh Bell ($5,600)
ValueJesus Aguilar, MIL vs. PIT, $3,300 — It’s been an odd season for Aguilar but we have to assume that he will get it together at the plate eventually. At this point the issue is plate appearances as he hasn’t been starting, but with a LHP on the mound for the Pirates he will get the nod in a terrific matchup with a weak bullpen arm in a great park. He has just seven hits over his past 15 games, but one was a home run, so it’s definitely an outcome!
Other Options — Renato Nunez ($3,600)
StudMike Moustakas, MIL vs. PIT, $5,100 — People don’t like to play Moustakas against a LHP because they assume that it’s a bad split for him, but he’s been great against both hands in 2019 and deserves consideration. His 23 home runs and .919 OPS on the season are both top-tier marks for his position and he has just one game with zero fantasy points in the past 10. He should be a relatively low-owned part of a stack with a high implied run total.
Other Options — Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($5,400)
ValueBrian Dozier, WAS at DET, $3,600 — Another strong part of a solid Nationals stack, Dozier is one of the cheaper sources of power available on the slate. He’s not near as strong against RHP but it shouldn’t matter against Jordan Zimmermann ($5,400) who is generous with flyballs to both side of the plate. Dozier has a lot of upside for his price as he has been heating up and helps you fit the bigger bats in whatever stack you like.
Other Options — Jonathan Schoop ($3,500)
StudAlex Bregman, HOU vs. SEA, $4,900 — With the Astros at full strength, it’s time to start considering them one of the best stacks in the league again. Bregman has been alright during the issues with attrition, but his chances for runs and RBI have been lacking with just two RBI and six runs scored in the past 10 games. With a full strength batting order and one of the best matchups for upside on the slate, I love Bregman as a spot to build around.
Other Options — Anthony Rendon ($5,000)
ValueBrandon Drury, TOR vs. KC, $2,700 — The thing here, of course, is that Drury is kind of bad at baseball. He doesn’t have any games over 10 DKFP in the recent sample, but his price has plummeted and he’s now in punt territory. With the Blue Jays kind of heating up as a team he’s had more consistent points in the past five contests and we can hope for 5-10 DKFP for his basement salary.
Other Options — Jeimer Candelario ($2,600)
StudFrancisco Lindor, CLE at BAL, $5,500 — With eight games over the past 15 ending with 10-plus DKFP, Lindor is dripping with event-based upside and is a valuable play in all formats. Up against a converted bullpen arm for the Orioles that will eventually cede to the worst bullpen in baseball, Lindor should have ample opportunity for not only home runs but steals as well as he is on pace for 25-plus for the second straight year. He’s a superb option and should be prioritized.
Other Options — Javier Baez ($5,400)
Editor’s Note: Baez is not in the lineup for today’s game.
ValueHumberto Arteaga, KC at TOR, $2,000 — Up against a pitcher that has surrendered 30 runs over his past five starts, a minimum-priced hitter is an absolute steal and just as valuable as Lindor as a stud option. This isn’t just some low-ceiling punt either, Arteaga has four of his nine starts ending with seven or more fantasy points and his contact skills are paired with decent speed for steals. He’s a great play if you need salary.
Other Options — J.T. Riddle ($3,300)
StudGeorge Springer, HOU vs. SEA, $5,700 — As noted with Bregman, the Astros are now back to full strength and Springer took no time getting back to being an on-base monster. His first five games back have had 38 total DKFP with no zero point outcomes, which included a home run so we don’t have to worry about the injury he suffered sapping power. He’s got my favorite matchup on the slate and is viable in all contests.
Other Options — Christian Yelich ($5,800), Starling Marte ($5,300)
ValueStevie Wilkerson, BAL vs. CLE, $3,300 — I’m honestly not a fan of the cheap options at outfield and suggest getting your savings at other positions, but Wilkerson is a decent option if you need to go lower. His 5.5 DKFP average in 2019 is met with decent power (six home runs) and he has kind of picked things up lately. He’s a switch hitter so he’s immune to platoon switching and with a couple good performance in his recent sample he’s a decent source of salary relief.
Other Options — Jon Jay ($3,000)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Multichem) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.