Saturday evening brings us a 10-game slate that features a number of good stacking options against some really poor pitching. How can we navigate through all these options? Lucky for you, I took quite the dive into this slate. Let’s take a look at some of my favorite options and as always, feel free to reach out on Twitter @SBuchanan24.
StudMike Clevinger, CLE vs. KC, $11,400 — I think the case could be made to use Gerrit Cole ($12,000) in this spot against a Cardinals team with a 23.2 K% against righties. But I think Clevinger will draw the lower ownership and is in just as good of a matchup against the Royals. He’s faced this team once already and shut them out through six innings, allowing just four hits and striking out nine for 33.1 DKFP. Aside from two bad starts this season, Clevinger has been dominant the rest of the way and this Kansas City lineup doesn’t scare at all.
Other Option — Anthony DeSclafani ($9,200)
ValueSteven Matz, NYM vs. PIT, $6,900 — This is an easy value play on this slate. Not only is Matz pitching his best baseball at Citi Field but he takes on one of the worst offenses in the league against left-handed pitching. Entering this game, the Pirates sport the lowest wOBA in the league against lefties at .288 a .144 ISO and a 22 K%. Matz would be a Cy Young candidate if they only counted his home starts, as he has a .296 wOBA with a 3.53 xFIP and only three of his 19 home runs allowed.
Other Option — Daniel Ponce de Leon ($8,500)
StudYasmani Grandal, MIL vs. CHC, $4,300 — I like this spot a lot for the Brewers, who will see Jon Lester ($9,000) at Miller Park. Against lefties at home, Grandal has a .373 wOBA with a .283 ISO and four home runs. Lester has struggled much more on the road than he has at home and brings with him a .339 wOBA and a 4.81 xFIP away from Wrigley Field.
Other Option — Mitch Garver ($5,400)
ValueBrian McCann, ATL vs. PHI, $3,700 — Another stack to consider for tonight will be the Braves going up against Zach Eflin ($8,100). When a team is going against him, you certainly want exposure to the lefties they have in that lineup. McCann is cheap and will face Eflin with his .358 wOBA, 5.28 xFIP against lefties. Oh, it doesn’t hurt that 12 of the 18 home runs Eflin has allowed have come from lefties either.
Other Option — James McCann ($3,900)
FIRST BASEFreddie Freeman, ATL vs. PHI, $5,200 — For the same reasons I’m rostering McCann, I’ll be taking Freeman as well. The numbers Eflin has against lefties are really worth targeting against so Freeman makes plenty of sense. On the road against righties, Freeman sports a .434 wOBA with a .291 ISO and 10 of his 25 home runs on the season. He’s well worth paying up for tonight.
Other Option — Matt Olson ($4,500)
ValueJake Bauers, CLE vs. KC, $3,300 — Bauers is dirt cheap and in a good matchup against Glenn Sparkman ($6,200). Over his last five games, Bauers is averaging 7.6 DKFP with three doubles and two RBI. Now he’ll draw against Sparkman, who against lefties has a .367 wOBA with a 6.14 xFIP with 12 of his 16 home runs allowed on the season. Quite the numbers to target against for someone that will only cost you $3,300.
Other Option — Joey Votto ($3,900)
StudKeston Hiura, MIL vs. CHC, $5,200 — Hiura has been making his presence felt in the major leagues and especially of late. For someone you may not even be familiar with, he’s entering his game averaging 13 DKFP over his last 10 games with two home runs, five doubles, a triple and eight RBI in that span. As I mentioned, I like this spot for the Brewers against Lester and it doesn’t hurt that Hiura has a .384 wOBA and a .207 ISO against lefties.
Other Option — Jeff McNeil ($4,600)
ValueRobinson Cano, NYM vs. PIT, $3,700— We saw that game where Cano hit three home runs and everyone was all up in arms about Cano. As you’d expect, he’s been quiet since that game because quite frankly, he’s not hitting that well overall. However, I do think he has some value today against Trevor Williams ($7,400), who has really struggled of late. Against lefties, Williams has a .384 wOBAw with a 5.27 xFIP and five of the 13 home runs he’s allowed.
Other Option– Scooter Gennett ($3,300)
StudMiguel Sano, MIN vs. CWS, $5,100 — One of my favorite stacks on this slate will be taking the Twins against Ivan Nova ($4,900). The appeal here (aside from Nova being a disaster) is that this game takes place in Chicago, where Nova has a .359 wOBA, a 4.92 xFIP and 11 of his 23 home runs allowed. Sano has a .374 wOBA with a .365 ISO and seven of his 17 home runs against righties on the road. If they have a Twins uniform on tonight, I’m interested.
Other Option — Jose Ramirez ($4,600)
ValueMaikel Franco, PHI vs. ATL, $3,600 — Not a ton of value at third base on this slate. I think this is one of the positions you do pay up for and not try to get too cute with a cheap option. Franco is the lowest I’d go here in his matchup against Max Fried ($7,800), who is coming off the injured list after dealing with a blister on his finger. Franco has a .373 wOBA and a .324 ISO against lefties at Citizens Bank Park, making him an intriguing cheap play.
Other Option — Todd Frazier ($3,900)
StudJavier Baez, CHC vs. MIL, $5,100 — I’m very interested in some of the power right-handed bats on the Cubs going up against Chase Anderson ($7,900). He is sporting a .366 wOBA with a 4.73 xFIP and eight of his 11 home runs allowed against righties. Baez is smashing the ball lately and is averaging 10.5 DKFP over his last 10 games with three doubles, three home runs and five RBI over that span.
Other Option — Manny Machado ($4,700)
ValueJean Segura, PHI vs. ATL, $4,000 — Segura is actually my favorite play at shortstop in his matchup against Fried. I don’t think it’s really talked about enough just how good he’s been against left-handed pitching this season. Against them at home, Segura has a .432 wOBA with a .382 ISO with three of his 11 home runs on the season. Priced at $4,000, it makes plenty of sense to pay down at shortstop.
Other Option — Jonathan Villar ($3,700)
StudMax Kepler, MIN vs. CWS, $5,100 — Kepler has jumped back over the $5,000 range in terms of salary but I don’t mind paying up for him here against Nova. While I mentioned how bad he’s been at home, lefties have been the ones that have given him the most trouble. Nova has a .408 wOBA, a 5.37 xFIP and seven home runs allowed against lefties at Guaranteed Rate Park. With Kepler hitting for power lately and averaging 11 DKFP over his last 10 games, he’s one of my favorite plays on this slate.
Other Options — Eddie Rosario ($5,000), Ryan Braun ($4,400)
ValueMichael Conforto, NYM vs. PIT, $4,200 — Outfield is a bit tough to find some really good value, so Conforto at $4,200 is going to have to do. As I mentioned earlier, I really like this matchup for the Mets lefties going up against Williams. At home, Conforto has a .405 wOBA with a .297 ISO and seven of his 18 home runs when facing right-handed pitching. For someone who is usually priced much higher, this feels like quite the bargain in this matchup.
Other Options — Lorenzo Cain ($4,000) Justin Upton ($3,900)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.