A doubleheader in Coors makes for an exciting day of baseball and this slate is certainly exciting in it’s own right. It’s actually incredibly difficult to feel good about any pitching options you focus on and it’ll make it imperative to put a lot of emphasis on being different. My focus is to play the talent levels of the lineups and try to focus less on the upside and more on the downside, so lets find some safer plays to build around.
StudClayton Kershaw, LAD at PHI, $10,700 — This is really just a testament to how much I dislike the other expensive options, but Kershaw represents the best of an underwhelming tier. Not only is he the most skilled of the top group, but he also has the best chance to win his game, which would secure him that extra couple points on top of his performance. Overall, this slate has terrible pitching options, so just bet on talent and move on.
Other Options — James Paxton ($9,300)
ValueMax Fried, ATL at MIL, $7,200 — Although he just got beat up by the lowly Marlins, I like Fried quite a bit at his price against a tough team. The downside is obviously massive, but the Brewers are built up by power LHBs and Fried does pretty well to limit damage from that side of the plate. Let others get scared from his recent performance and use him as your SP2.
Other Options — Jakob Junis ($7,500), Adam Plutko ($7,800)
StudChristian Vazquez, BOS vs. TOR, $4,700 — Of all the expensive options, Vazquez is in the best position to pay off his price tag, and his recent sample of games shows that he is playing at the top of his game. He’s got a .349/.383/.791 slash line with five home runs and four doubles in the last 40 at-bats, and he faces one of the most home-run prone pitchers on the slate, so his upside is way higher than those around him.
Other Options — Chris Iannetta ($4,300)
ValueMartin Maldonado, KC vs. CWS, $2,500 — With so many pitchers in spots to get beat up, we have plenty of value at catcher, but my favorite bat comes against a high-priced pitcher with Maldonado against Lucas Giolito ($11,200). The Royals as a whole are priced way down, but they’ve been fantastic against RHPs over the last month and Maldonado is no exception. He should be priced around $3,500 and I’ll take those savings any day.
Other Options — John Hicks ($2,800)
FIRST BASECarlos Santana, CLE vs. DET, $5,000 — Coming off a 20 DKFP performance, Carlos Slamtana is in full summer effect right now. His last 10 games have three home runs and two doubles on 12 hits and twice as many walks as strikeouts and he gets to face a pitcher with a huge flyball profile. His switch-hitting also keeps him safe against bullpen platooning and his versatility makes him one of my favorite plays on the slate.
Other Options — Josh Bell ($5,300)
ValueTyler White, HOU at LAA, $2,400 — The Astros will go up against Griffin Canning ($9,000), who has good strikeout ability but also gives up a lot of home runs. That’s exactly the kind of pitcher that we want to attack with a cheap one-off bat and White frees up almost as much salary as possible. He’s not very good and doesn’t have a lot of power, but for the price, you get a chance at a cheap home run and that is all that matters here.
Other Options — Joey Votto ($3,400)
StudLourdes Gurriel Jr., TOR at BOS, $5,300 — Although he has cooled off a bit in the last 10 contests, he’s still averaging 8.3 DKFP per game and gets a fantastic matchup with one of the worst pitchers on this slate. His remarkable 2019 turnaround after the minors has him hitting for massive power and I love targeting him for a presumably low-owned home run.
Other Options — Max Muncy ($4,600)
ValueLuis Rengifo, LAA vs. HOU, $3,100 — He’s not the most exciting player on the planet, but something that Rengifo does well is get on base, and he’s doing that at a fantastic clip right now. His batting average sits at .370 over the last 25 at-bats and he will face a bullpen combination from the Astros which should put him in position to get a couple of hits and give you a nice floor for his value.
Other Options — Robel Garcia ($3,100)
StudRafael Devers, BOS vs. TOR, $5,500 — One of the most underrated players of 2019 is Rafael Devers, who should continue to put up gaudy numbers and has a great spot to do so tonight. His 13.9 DKFP over the last 10 games is thanks to a 1.131 OPS and five home runs on 14 hits, and he’s been one of the best in the league when it comes to mashing RHP. He’s my anchor in cash games and a solid GPP option.
Other Options — Nolan Arenado ($5,200)
ValueJung-ho Kang, PIT at STL, $3,400 — Of the last eight hits that Kang has recorded, he has three doubles and three home runs to give him a .741 SLG% and an average of 7.5 DKFP over those games. He’s really been heating up since rejoining the lineup and has raised his 2019 average more than 30 points in the last 10 contests, and his price is still at a point where the upside far outweighs the roster cost.
Other Options — David Bote ($3,300)
StudFrancisco Lindor, CLE vs. DET, $4,900 — Whenever we have a team up against a super home-run prone pitcher that is backed up by a bottom-five bullpen in baseball it’s important to consider their star players. Lindor has certainly been up and down but has two games of 20+ DKFP in the last 10 contests and has another chance to reach that threshold today. He may go under-owned with Coors on the slate which would make things even sweeter.
Other Options — Trevor Story ($5,500)
ValueBrandon Crawford, SF at COL, $3,700 — I don’t even really have words for how cheap Crawford is while playing in Coors and hitting great in his recent games. He has a home run and five doubles in his last 10 contests and has a .405 OBP and is playing in the best possible hitting environment against a AAA pitcher. Just play him.
Other Options — Willy Adames ($3,000)
StudCody Bellinger, LAD at PHI, $5,100 — Bellinger is having one of the best seasons in the league with a .334/.431/.687 slash line and 31 home runs, and he will get to play in a park that is fantastic for offense, against a pitcher that struggles with LHB. Being at the heart of one of my favorite stacks on the day, Bellinger makes for a fantastic anchor in your core and has as much upside as anyone on this slate.
Other Options — Christian Yelich ($5,600), Charlie Blackmon ($5,500)
ValueHarold Castro, DET at CLE, $3,300 — The Tigers have come alive just a bit over the last couple weeks, and it’s got a lot to do with Castro. His 10-game sample of .366/.372/.512 is a bit of an upgrade on his already solid 2019 line and his price doesn’t reflect that. The Indians are putting out an inconsistent pitcher and I think it’s worth it to attack him with a bat like Castro.
Other Options — A.J. Pollock ($3,400)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Multichem) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.