Saturday’s slate is wild. Coors Field carries a ridiculous 13.5 projected total, Kyle Freeland is back in the majors (so ridiculous) and a couple of stacks will fly under the radar because of the attention other games will garner. So how do we navigate this slate? Let me show you! As always, you can follow me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
StudCharlie Morton, TB vs. BAL, $11,800 — He’s the most expensive pitcher on this slate but fam, I don’t care. He’s going against the Orioles, who carry one of the highest K% in the league against righties at 24.1%. When he faced this club earlier this season, Morton held them to one run on four hits through seven inning with 12 strikeouts and 38.8 DKFP. Oh, did I mention that was two starts ago? We have A LOT to pay up for on this slate but I think finding a way to get Morton in will be well worth it.
Other Option — Patrick Corbin ($11,400)
ValueWade Miley, HOU vs. TEX, $8,000 — The Rangers have a 4.5 team total for tonight against Miley and the Astros. Personally, I think it’s a tad bit too high for a team who against lefties has just a .299 wOBA with a .163 ISO and the highest K% in the league at 28.6. Miley has seen his share of bumps in the road as of late but I just don’t see the Rangers going out and smashing him with their track record against lefties. Not to mention, Miley held them to just two runs on two hits with seven strikeouts earlier this season at Minute Maid Park. At $8,000, I’ll happily take my chances with Miley here.
Other Option — Wade LeBlanc ($5,800), John Means ($8,400)
StudOmar Narvaez, SEA vs. LAA, $4,400 — Matt Harvey ($4,600) is scheduled to return for this game, which is great news for a Mariners team that was no-hit last night. Harvey and his struggles against lefties will also return, as he’s allowing a .393 wOBA with a 5.28 xFIP and five of his 11 home runs. If you want to pay up at catcher, Narvaez would be the way I’d go.
Other Option — Christian Vazquez ($4,800)
ValueRobinson Chirinos, HOU vs. TEX, $3,300 — A really cheap price for Chirinos, who draws a matchup against Mike Minor ($9,700). The reason he’s so cheap is because of his recent struggles, averaging just 2.5 DKFP over his last 10 games. Still, he owns a .363 wOBA and a .200 ISO against lefties this season. You’re going to need to save at a couple of positions tonight and this is a great place to do so.
Other Option — Brian McCann ($3,300)
StudDaniel Murphy, COL vs. CIN, $4,300 — I don’t think you have to pay much at first base tonight. I think the mid-tier options will do just fine on this slate. Murphy is in a great spot in what is expected to be an absolute slug fest at Coors Field. Tanner Roark ($6,200) and his inability to get out lefties will be on the mound for the Reds. He’ll bring his .388 wOBA, 6.07 xFIP and nine of the 10 home runs he’s allowed to the best hitting park in the league. Murphy it is.
Other Option — Rhys Hoskins ($4,100)
ValueJake Bauers, CLE vs. MIN, $3,600 — If you want to go even deeper at this position, I think Bauers is a good way to save some salary. He draws a matchup against Jake Odorizzi ($7,700) who is being activated off the IL (which is always a big no-no from me in terms of rostering said pitcher). Granted, it was only a blister issue, but that’s besides the point. Against lefties, Odorizzi has a .425 wOBA and a 3.77 xFIP on the road.
Other Option — Jake Lamb ($3,600)
StudKetel Marte, ARI vs. STL, $4,500 — One stack that could go overlooked is the Diamondbacks. They’ll be facing Dakota Hudson ($6,800) who is really struggling against lefties. On the year, Hudson has allowed .391 wOBA with a 5.21 xFIP and nine of his 13 total home runs. Marte is arguably the D-Backs’ best hitter and has a .376 wOBA, a .257 ISO and 21 home runs.
Other Option — Ozzie Albies ($4,200)
ValueJose Altuve, HOU vs. TEX, $3,600 — I’m not trying to target against Minor a lot on this slate, but the Astros bring a lot of value here. Just last night, Altuve was $4,400 and now gets a salary drop of $800 for this game. His best hitting has come against lefties this year, where he sports a .444 wOBA with a .353 ISO and five of his 11 home runs. Minor has been good, don’t get me wrong but again, we need to save some salary for other positions.
Other Option — Ryan McMahon ($4,000)
StudEugenio Suarez, CIN vs. COL, $5,300 — Playing someone like Suarez is exactly why we were looking to save at other position. Aside from averaging 11 DKFP over his last 10 games, Suarez has a fantastic matchup against the returning Kyle Freeland ($5,000). Despite him pitching very poorly in the minors, Freeland is back and prime for another beating. Against lefties, Suarez has posted a .410 wOBA with a .282 ISO. Huge spot for him and the Reds this evening.
Other Option — Rafael Devers ($5,600)
ValueMaikel Franco, PHI vs. WAS, $3,300 — Some positions are worth paying down for and I don’t think this is one of them to do that at. However, you’ll get some REALLY good ownership if you do decide to do that. I’m not crazy about Franco in this spot, but he does have a .338 wOBA and a .214 ISO with two home runs at home against lefties. He’s facing Patrick Corbin ($11,400), who will be a tough matchup but he’s also no stranger to giving up home runs to righties on the road. Total punt play here but at least it has SOME upside.
Other Option — Jake Lamb ($3,600)
StudTrevor Story, COL vs. CIN, $5,200 — Once upon a time, Story was essentially reserved when facing lefties. Sure, you could use him against righties but his numbers were heavily weighted against lefties. Not anymore. At home, Story boasts a .451 wOBA, a .364 ISO and nine of his 19 home runs against righties at home. Roark has been much worse against lefties but I have zero issue using Story in what is expected to be a very high-scoring affair.
Other Option — Francisco Lindor ($4,900)
ValueChris Taylor, LAD vs. BOS, $3,900 — I don’t go out of my way to target against Chris Sale ($10,500), but I think Taylor is an option. He’ll likely be in the leadoff spot with the lefty on the mound and his .378 wOBA and .284 ISO is a big reason why. We’ve seen Sale struggle as of late and Taylor continue to post some good, consistent fantasy production. Again, ownership here will be key as Taylor will be next to nothing.
Other Option — Sean Rodriguez ($3,200)
StudDavid Dahl, COL vs. CIN, $4,500 — Dahl is one of my favorite plays against Roark. I don’t think Dahl gets enough recognition for how well he’s hitting, especially at home. In these matchups, Dahl has .421 wOBA with a .267 ISO and six of his 13 home runs on the season. He’s not overly expensive either, which is both surprising and a bit shocking. With how badly Roark has struggled against lefties, Dahl feels like a must in this matchup.
Other Options — Yordan Alvarez ($4,700), Juan Soto ($4,600), Ronald Acuna Jr. ($4,700)
ValueRyan Braun, MIL vs. SF, $3,800 — I like this spot for Braun at a really cheap salary no less. Against lefties at home, Braun is posting an impressive .385 wOBA with a .262 ISO and three home runs. His matchup isn’t the easiest one against Madison Bumgarner ($9,000) we’ve seen him struggle on the road this season. In fact, MadBum has a .364 wOBA with a 4.51 xFIP and seven of his 17 home runs allowed against righties on the road.
Other Options — Phillip Ervin ($4,300), Lorenzo Cain ($3,600)
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.