Coors Field, Yankees taking on the Orioles and a few high-priced pitching options. There are plenty of ways to go about attacking tonight’s mega 15-game slate, and these are some of my favorite plays.
EDITOR’S NOTE: Jeff Hoffman will start in place of Jon Gray (ankle) in tonight’s game vs the Diamondbacks.
EDITOR’S NOTE: Tonight’s game between the Astros and White Sox has been removed from the main slate due to doubleheader scheduling changes.Other Options — Clayton Kershaw ($11,800), Chris Sale ($10,700)
ValueMax Fried, ATL vs. NYM, $6,700 — With the Mets surging, the Braves find themselves starting a high-leverage series against their division rival. Fried comes into tonight in good form, averaging 21.4 DKFP in his past four starts. Despite the good run, he’s $500 cheaper than his first game of this recent stretch. The Mets hit left-handed pitching well, but Fried scored 20.1 DKFP in his most recent home start against them.
Other Options — Eric Lauer ($6,200), Yusei Kikuchi ($5,300)
StudGary Sanchez, NYY vs. BAL, $4,300 — Recently returned from the IL, we get a slight discount from the normal pricing on Sanchez. Even though he’s had an up-and-down season, he has more power upside than any other catcher in baseball and is the catcher I consider most likely to homer on any given slate. In 80 games, he leads all catchers with 25 homers. Sanchez could have been looking at a 50-homer season if not for injuries forcing him to miss games. Other Options — Wilson Ramos ($4,300), Yasmani Grandal ($4,200)
ValueTom Murphy, SEA at DET, $3,300 — Even though Matt Boyd ($10,300) is having a nice fantasy season, he’s been prone to allowing runs. He’s given up at least four runs in seven of his past 10 starts. Murphy isn’t an everyday player for the Mariners, but he’s crushed lefties when given the chance to start. He has a 150 wRC+ against left-handed pitching.
Other Options — Yan Gomes ($3,000), Austin Hedges ($2,800)
FIRST BASEPaul Goldschmidt, STL at KC, $4,400 — Goldy is back! The slow start to the season is well behind him and he is back to mashing as the Cardinals push to make the playoffs. In his past three games, he’s averaging 17 DKFP, and he’s hit 10 of his 26 homers in the 27 games since the All-Star break. It looks like it took Goldschmidt a couple months to get comfortable playing for a new team. Other Options — Peter Alonso ($5,200), Anthony Rizzo ($4,600)
ValueDaniel Murphy, COL vs. ARI, $4,200 — Playing at Coors Field, this is an incredibly cheap price for Murphy. Even though Zac Gallen ($7,000) is one of the top young arms in baseball, the Rockies have one of the highest implied totals on the slate. They are an offense to have exposure to, and Murphy is relatively cheap in the middle of the order.
Other Options — Miguel Cabrera ($3,700), Justin Smoak ($3,200)
EDITOR’S NOTE: Tonight’s game between the Astros and White Sox has been removed from the main slate due to doubleheader scheduling changes.Other Options — Ketel Marte ($5,700), Eduardo Escobar ($5,500)
ValueRyan McMahon, COL vs. ARI, $4,300 — There aren’t many days we can make relatively cheap Rockies stacks, but tonight is one of those days. McMahon homered last night and, like most Rockies, he’s a much better hitter at home than on the road. He has a .302/.366/.503 slash line in Colorado.
Other Options — Kolten Wong ($3,700), Brian Dozier ($3,400)
StudAnthony Rendon, WAS vs. CIN, $5,100 — Alex Wood ($8,200) has missed almost the entire season with a back injury, and he looked pretty rusty in his first few starts. He has a 5.65 ERA and his average fastball velocity is down from 90.55 mph last season to 90.04 mph this season. Nobody in the Nationals’ lineup hits left-handed pitching better than Rendon, making him a strong target as Wood is not yet in top form. Other Options — Nolan Arenado ($5,300), Alex Bregman ($5,300)
ValueTommy Edman, STL at KC, $4,200 — Edman appears to have found a home hitting near the top of the Cardinals’ lineup. When the offense was struggling, they bumped him up in the order, providing an immediate jolt to the offense. Edman has three straight multi-hit games, averaging 13 DKFP during his streak.
Other Options — Matt Chapman ($3,900), Matt Carpenter ($3,800)
StudGleyber Torres, NYY vs. BAL, $4,400 — Do you know who will roster Torres tonight? Everybody. Me, you and probably the mothers of the Orioles’ pitchers. It has become clear Baltimore does not have a good scouting report on Torres. After homering three times during yesterday’s doubleheader, he’s hit 13 homers against the O’s. This is half of his 26 homers for the season. Maybe the Orioles will start to walk him or, more likely, he will keep hitting dongs. He is much too cheap for this matchup. Other Options — Trevor Story ($5,600), Trea Turner ($4,900)
ValueManny Machado, SD vs. TB, $4,100 — For sure, the Padres thought they would get a bit more out of Machado when they signed him to an offseason mega deal. A dip in walk rate and a big uptick in strikeouts has hurt his OBP and value. Against lefties, he’s seeing the ball much better and has a 12.9% walk rate. Machado’s 204 wRC+ against southpaws is among the best in baseball.
Other Options — Bo Bichette ($4,100), Paul DeJong ($4,100)
StudMike Trout, LAA vs. PIT, $5,800 — There should never be a conversation about who is the best player in baseball. Trout is listed at -670 odds to win the AL MVP, and it’s so ordinary for him that we aren’t even talking about how great of a season he’s having. He’s on pace for his first ever 50-homer season and has a great game just about every night. He’s reached base in 20 consecutive games. Other Options — Charlie Blackmon ($5,600), George Springer ($5,300)
ValueAaron Judge, NYY vs. BAL, $4,400 — It seems like every hitter in the Yankees’ lineup is destroying the baseball. That is, everybody with the exception of Judge, the best hitter on the team. He’s making plenty of hard contact, but he’s been unlucky as of late. There is no better spot to get his bat going than against the Orioles, who seem incapable of getting outs or holding the Yankees to less than eight runs.
Other Options — Adam Eaton ($4,000), Justin Upton ($4,000)
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.