The Contrarian Corner will provide a list of players that can separate your MLB lineups from the rest of the pack. We’ll take a look at those players that will likely be low-owned, who have high-upside for the day. Here is the list of today’s daily fantasy baseball picks in the Contrarian Corner at DraftKings.
Dallas Keuchel ($11,300) – Houston Astros – The two pitcher who should net the highest ownership rates are Jake Arrieta and Francisco Liriano, but sandwiched in between them is the possible AL Cy Young Award winner for this season. Keuchel will be facing an NL team in an NL park, and that means no designated hitter, so chalk that up as a pro for a pitcher who fills the pros column with check marks based on his own excellence. The lefty ace has been great all year, but he’s finishing the year especially strong by totaling a 28.2% strikeout rate, 2.77 FIP, 2.48 xFIP and 2.51 SIERA in the second half. His ability to keep the ball on the ground at the second highest rate (62.3%) among qualified starters will help him navigate the pitfalls of hitter-friendly Chase Field.
Julio Teheran ($7,600) – Atlanta Braves – Teheran is a home underdog tonight and backed by a terrible offense. Those factors will suppress his ownership, but the fact that he’s at home is huge. Teheran has sizable home/road splits. At home, he has totaled a 22.9% strikeout rate, 1.07 WHIP, 3.53 FIP and 3.77 xFIP. His stock will get an even greater boost if the Cardinals opt to rest some regulars in advance of the upcoming playoffs.
Others to Consider – Noah Syndergaard ($10,800)
Kyle Schwarber ($4,400) – Chicago Cubs – On a night with expensive pitching, and lots of it, punting catcher is likely to be popular. Schwarber is the most expensive option at the position, but he’s earned that distinction. He’s raked to the tune of a .287 ISO, .409 wOBA and 162 wRC+ against right-handed pitching in his rookie season. His hitting prowess against righties alone would make him worth the price to use, but facing a below average starter at homer-friendly Great American Ball Park drives his upside through the roof.
Paul Goldschmidt ($5,300) – Arizona Diamondbacks – Goldschmidt will be incredibly low owned tonight. First, he’s expensive. Second, he’s facing Dallas Keuchel. Goldy is one of the premier hitters in the game, though, and he’s a lefty killer. This year, he’s tallied a .263 ISO, .458 wOBA and 191 wRC+ against southpaws. There aren’t many hitters who are within shouting distance of those numbers against lefties.
Dustin Pedroia ($4,300) – Boston Red Sox – Much to the chagrin of gamers last night, Pedoria received the night off against lefty CC Sabathia at Yankee Stadium. He’ll be facing a righty with a reverse platoon split tonight, though, so pick your heads up gamers. Josh Tomlin has yielded a .371 wOBA and .596 slugging to right-handed batters this year, and he’s allowed a .369 wOBA and .534 slugging to them since 2013.
David Freese ($3,600) – Los Angeles Angels – David Wright should be the chalk play at third base with Evan Longoria garnering a substantial percentage of ownership, too. They aren’t the only lefty mashers facing a southpaw, though. Freese’s production is down a bit against lefties this season, but he’s still hitting them at an above average clip, and his ISO north of .200 is eye catching, especially at hitter-friendly Globe Life Park in Arlington.
Brandon Crawford ($3,900) – San Francisco Giants – The ballpark factors aren’t ideal for Crawford, but a matchup with Kyle Kendrick is. Kendrick has surrendered a .418 wOBA and .603 slugging to left-handed batters this year. Crawford has kicked his production against righties up to a previously unseen level ripping 17 homers with a .222 ISO, .342 wOBA and 123 wRC+ this season.
Carlos Gonzalez ($4,400) – Colorado Rockies – Cargo is usually best reserved for usage at home, but he’s on fire of late and facing a righty, Chris Heston, who’s giving to left-handed batters. Heston has allowed a .351 wOBA to lefties this year. Gonzalez has demonstrated he’s capable of punishing righties on the road with a .246 ISO, .345 wOBA and 101 wRC+ under those conditions.
Others to Consider – C.J. Cron ($3,400), Adrian Beltre ($4,400)