The Contrarian Corner will provide a list of players that can separate your MLB lineups from the rest of the pack. We’ll take a look at those players that will likely be low-owned, who have high-upside for the day. Here is the list of today’s daily fantasy baseball picks in the Contrarian Corner at DraftKings.
R.A. Dickey ($7,000) – Toronto Blue Jays – Dickey’s 2012 National League Cy Young Award winning campaign feels as if it happened a decade ago. He’s off to a wretched start this year with a 5.00 ERA that might be a big lucky according to his 5.74 FIP and 5.29 xFIP. Of course, those things are going to drive his ownership down, and that’s good if you’re looking to be contrarian. For all his faults this year, Dickey has still been able to consistently pile up innings totaling 45.0 in seven starts and pitching six or more innings in six of his seven starts. If Dickey’s knuckler is dancing tonight, he’ll have a chance to tally a bunch of strikeouts against an Astros team that has the second highest strikeout rate against righties this year.
Carlos Rodon ($5,600) – Chicago White Sox – Rodon wasn’t perfect in his first start allowing two earned runs on four hits and four walks in six innings, but he earned a win and struck out eight. He tallied 12 whiffs on 108 pitches in that contest, according to Brooks Baseball, with five coming on his blazing heater (95.61 mph average velocity on the fourseam fastball that start)and six on his wipe-out slider. Tonight, he faces an Athletics team that ranks 29th in wRC+ against southpaws this year. His price will result in a little higher ownership than most of my contrarian touts, but his upside is immense.
Others to Consider – Clay Buchholz ($6,800), Jake Odorizzi ($7,900)
Wilin Rosario ($3,100) – Colorado Rockies – Facing Clayton Kershaw is sure to keep Rosario’s ownership low, but if he’s in the lineup, his power upside and excellence against southpaws is worth some bullets in GPPs at his bargain bin price. Since 2012, Rosario owns a .307 ISO, .425 wOBA and 156 wRC+ against lefties.
Joey Votto ($3,900) – Cincinnati Reds – Madison Bumgarner is lights out against left-handed batters, but Votto is one of the best hitters in the game and is excellent against his same-handed counterparts. Since 2012, he owns a .374 wOBA and 136 wRC+ with a 24.7% line drive rate and zero, yes, zero infield flyballs. As a left-handed batter, he’ll hit with a park factor of 145 for homes at Great American Ballpark. His price is a steal if you’re willing to roll the dice against Bumgarner.
Joe Panik ($3,900) – San Francisco – Power is far from Panik’s calling card with just three homers in 415 plate appearances in the majors, but the previously cited park factor for homers awarded to lefties at Great American Ballpark is nice nonetheless. Panik has other sexier names priced near him such as Dustin Pedroia and Robinson Cano, and the latter duo figures to have much higher ownership. What the duo doesn’t have, however, is a matchup with Jason Marquis. Marquis has allowed a .374 wOBA to lefties since 2012, making for quite the dreamy matchup for the two-hole hitter for the Giants.
Jimmy Paredes ($4,400) – Baltimore Orioles – Paredes has seemingly come out of nowhere. The switch-hitter did little as a member of the Astros or Royals to indicate he’s capable of this kind of excellence. He actually began flashing studliness last year in 55 plate appearances with the Orioles ripping two homers, steal two bases and totaling a 129 wRC+. This year he’s been better than that, but add it all up and he has seven homers in just 147 plate appearances as an O. His plate discipline is lackluster, however, look no further than teammate Adam Jones for an example of a hitter who can make an aggressive approach work. He has a cake matchup with Jered Weaver at home, and his power makes him an enticing play at third base or in the outfield.
Troy Tulowitzki ($3,600) – Colorado Rockies – Tulo’s price tag will net him some ownership, even in a tough matchup with Kershaw. That ownership rate is nowhere near what it would be against any other lefty, though, and that — along with his otherworldly production against lefties — makes him a strong tourney play. Since 2012, he’s annihilated southpaws to the tune of a .260 ISO, .427 wOBA and 159 wRC+.
Kyle Blanks ($4,100) – Texas Rangers – Blanks is one of my favorite plays of the night. The lack of name recognition with him will make him a minimally owned player, but one who possesses big power. Injuries have limited him to 173 plate appearances against lefties in the majors since 2012, but he’s made the most of them totaling a hearty .225 ISO, .388 wOBA and 153 wRC+. He’s regularly hit in a cushy lineup spot, fifth, for the Rangers, and Bruce Chen is awful against righties allowing a .336 wOBA to them since 2012.
Others to Consider – Delino DeShields ($3,700), Todd Frazier ($4,400)