Today’s Cheat Sheet will feature the unique slate of games that are set for Labor Day. Therefore, this article will cover the entire day of games. As always, you can find me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Game Notes

Biggest Favorites

WAS (-365) vs ATL – Max Scherzer- Max Scherzer and the Nationals are the HUGE favorites today as they take on the Braves. Scherzer just faced this Braves team on August 20th, where he pitched 6.1 innings allowing four runs on six hits with a 6:3 K:BB ratio for just 16.8 fantasy points. Scherzer has faced this team three times already and has come back with less than ideal results. All together, Scherzer has gone 19.1 innings allowing 10 runs on 15 hits with a 19:8 K:BB ratio. His K/9 at 8.8 against the Braves is also a disappointment, as it stands at 11.2 on the season. I’m a bit inclined to leave Scherzer on the board, as his $13,700 salary is the most expensive on the day and is $900 higher than Chris Sale, who is second at $12,600.

Highest Totals

SFG vs. COL – 12 runs – – A 12 run projected total is lined up for Coors Field today. Matt Moore takes on Chad Bettis in this afternoon game. Since his trade to the Giants, Moore is allowing a .245 wOBA with a minuscule .256 wOBA and a .276 OBP. Out of his 36 hits that Moore has allowed, only eight have gone for extra bases. He’s been extremely solid, but trusting him at Coors Field is a bit of a stretch.

As for Chad Bettis, he faces a Giants team that has not hit well in the second half of the season, owning a .304 wOBA since the All-Star break with a .317 OBP and a .384 SLG. Bettis, in a not so surprising admission, has not been great at home this season. The owner of a .353 wOBA with a .361 OBP at Coors, Bettis has at least kept the ball in the park. Only five of his 20 total home runs have come at Coors Field, although doubles are a different story. With right-handed batters hitting well against Bettis at home with a .381 wOBA against him, Bettis is a tough sell today.

Weather Concerns

No rain in the forecast for today/tonight!

Park Factors

Park Factors are rated on a scale of 1.000. Anything at or above 1.000 favors hitters, anything below it favors pitchers.

  • Coors Field – SFG vs COL – As always, whenever a series takes place at Coors Field, it’s the number one ballpark on our list. All offensive categories are favored here.
  • Progressive Field – HOU vs CLE – Progressive Field is home to our second most favorable ballpark tonight. Hosting the Houston Astros, all offensive categories except triples get the nod here.
  • Dodger Stadium – ARZ vs LAD – Dodger Stadium is always dwelling near the bottom of the barrel for offensive categories. In a shock to no one, all categories favor pitchers.
  • Tropicana Field – BAL vs TBR – Tropicana Field is a frequent visitor to this list with it’s unfavorable conditions.


Splits to Start

Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters

Worst vs LHBOPSAVGBest vs LHBOPSAVG
Ubaldo Jimenez.999.333Chris Sale.555.189
Jered Weaver.888.311Cole Hamels.555.199
Edwin Jackson.839.286Mike Clevinger.572.183

Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters

Worst vs RHBOPSAVGBest vs RHBOPSAVG
Jose Berrios1.136.338Max Scherzer.470.179
Edwin Jackson.896.302Kyle Hendricks.546.191
Jered Weaver.893.311Kenta Maeda.600.220

Batter vs. Pitcher Splits

BatterOpposing SPABFP/AB
Jake LambKenta Maeda104.2
Victor MartinezChris Sale422.78
Jose AbreuJustin Verlander272.66

  • Jake Lamb has had no issues when facing Maeda in their 10 matchups this season. Lamb has gone 6-10 with three doubles, a home run and three RBIs.
  • I’ve showcased this matchup every time it’s happened this season and today is no different. Victor Martinez has gone 19-42 off of Chris Sale with three doubles, four home runs, nine RBIs and four walks.
  • Finally we have Jose Abreu against Justin Verlander. Abreu has been visiting extra base city against Verlander, going 10-27 with a double, four home runs and four RBIs.


Lineup Starters

Pitcher to Build Around

Drew Pomeranz – BOS vs SDP – $12,000 – Returning to San Diego tonight, you have to love the strikeout potential in this game for Pomeranz. He faces his former team that currently own a 25.6 K% against lefties, which ranks third in the MLB. With this game taking place at Petco Park, Pomeranz will also be throwing in a very pitcher friendly stadium, which makes this game even more attractive for him. He’s a tad bit more expensive than I’d like him to be, but I think he’s in a prime spot.

Heavy Hitter to Pay For

Joey Votto – CIN vs. NYM (Bartolo Colon) – $5,400 – Votto is very expensive today, but I love his matchup at home against Bartolo Colon. When playing at the Great American Ballpark against a right-handed pitcher, Votto owns a .410 wOBA with a .438 OBP and a .547 SLG. Votto has hit 10 of his 22 home runs in these situations, and for an added bonus, on the road against lefties, Colon is allowing a .345 wOBA with a .500 SLG.

Save Big by Drafting…

Jose Abreu – CHW vs. DET (Justin Verlander) – $3,700 – This isn’t the most ideal matchup, but I think it certainly has some potential to be impactful as Abreu should be low owned. He’s been on a complete tear as of late, averaging 12.9 FPPG over his last ten games going 16-44 with a double, five home runs and 15 RBIs. Abreu has had some past success against Verlander and he’s been hitting well at home.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on.  Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.