Hard to believe we’ve entered the final month of the regular season. Time has truly flown by. As we play the last few days of regular season baseball, make sure to keep a close eye on lineups that come out in the next few days. A lot of hitters will be getting rest, which could open up some pitching matchups you might usually skip over. Let’s jump right into things and as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
This section is to showcase who the Vegas favorites are on the night. Not my own personal choices.
Patrick Corbin vs. Colorado Rockies(-193) – Corbin comes into tonight’s start as the favorite pitcher, according to Vegas. With a 3.28 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and a K/9 of 8.2, Corbin could end up being quite the sneaky play tonight. That is of course, if you don’t read this Cheat Sheet. I’ve said it over and over again, the Rockies are atrocious when it comes to facing a left handed pitcher this season. They’re no longer the worst against lefties, but they’re close. With a .291 wOBA against lefties, which ranks 26th in the league, they’ve certainly had their struggles. It also doesn’t help that they have a 22.4 K% against lefties, which ranks the 6th highest in the league. Corbin has been pitching well enough that I think he could be a nice play tonight against a team that is historically struggling as these left handed pitchers. If anything, he will be a nice addition to give you some wiggle room with your salary cap. I’m always all about that.
Stephen Strasburg vs. Atlanta Braves (-183) – Strasburg against the Braves, count me in. The Braves have the worst wOBA in the league in the second half of the season, coming in at a whopping .288! Guys, cmon, you get paid to do this, can’t you at least do something productive? One thing is for sure though, they do keep the strikeouts down, as they have the fourth lowest K% during the second half at 18.1%. With that being said, you can’t keep Strasburg left off your team. Even with his price as high as it is, $11,000, he’s worth the price of admission. In his last three starts, against other weak offenses, Strasburg owns scores of 48.8, 33.6,and 39.6. Who cares if it’s only against the Marlins and Phillies, these teams are on the same level as the Braves. I also spy with my little eye, a couple of pitchers going tonight that could be on the high scoring end. I won’t completely give the answer away, but his name rhymes with Hitch Gill.
CC Sabathia vs. Boston Red Sox (-175) – Nope, sorry Vegas, don’t agree. Sabathia going up against the Red Sox is not an ideal matchup by any means, at least in my opinion. He’s an extremely solid September, I can’t deny that. He owns a 1.04 ERA in three September starts. However, on the other end of the spectrum, the Red Sox have hit left handed pitching extremely well, owing a .327 wOBA on the year with a low 20.1 K%. Sabathia is certainly a few cry from the “elite” left handed pitchers in the game, so I wouldn’t chalk this one up to an easy matchup for the big left handed pitcher. His price certainly makes him somewhat enticing, as $6,400 on the night is always attractive, I just don’t see it. Also, with as well as Rich Hill has been pitching, even though he certainly can’t sustain that level of production, I’d give the edge to Hill before I do Sabathia.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Josh Tomlin vs. Minnesota Twins- Tomlin sure knows how to get those left handed pitchers to sit back down. If only he was that efficient against righties. On the season, Tomlin owns a .173 wOBA.
CC Sabathia vs. Boston Red Sox- The downfall to the Sox lineup tonight for Sabathia, is that they don’t showcase a lot of lefties. Which is too bad, because Sabathia has been money against then, with a .229 wOBA.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Rich Hill vs. New York Yankees- Hill has only made three starts on the season, but wow, have they been impressive or what? He certainly won’t be able to sustain this type of production, but no use in wasting it away. Ride it while you can! Hill owns a .158 wOBA against righties.
Jose Fernandez vs. Tampa Bay Rays – Fernandez is just doing what he does best, get batters out. On the short season for the young Marlins ace, Fernandez owns a .188 wOBA against righties.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitcher vs. Left Handed Batters.
John Lamb vs. Chicago Cubs – This is about as bad as it gets, folks. Lamb, for as good as he is striking batters out, CANNOT get out a left handed batter. Lamb owns a .510 wOBA against them. .510! This is not a test! .510!
David Hale vs. Arizona Diamondbacks- Ah yes, A Rockies pitcher who struggles against a particular type of pitcher. How many times have you read that this season. Add Hale to the list, with his .369 wOBA against lefties.
Easiest Pitcher vs. Right Handed Batters.
CC Sabathia vs. Boston Red Sox- Well, good luck against the Red Sox tonight! Sabathia has been getting crushed by righties, with a .370 wOBA on the yea.
Josh Tomlin vs. Minnesota Twins- Didn’t we just talk about both of these guys and how good they were against left handed batters? Doesn’t stay the same for righties, as Tomlin owns a .369 wOBA against them.
Francisco Lindor SS ($400) – Lindor has been solid whenever he’s been in the lineup for the Indians. Lately, it’s been no exception, as he’s been doing it all. Lindor is 11-28 with two home runs, seven RBIs, six runs scored and three stolen bases.
Matt Duffy 2B ($3900) – Duffy is usually a nice cheaper option at second base who can certainly provide you with some pop and the occasional stolen base. Duffy has been showing all of that off lately during this hot streak. Duffy is 11-31 with two home runs, five RBIs, six runs scored and three stolen bases.
Aaron Altherr 1B ($4200) – Altherr is essentially doing his tryout to be a part of the 2016 Phillies outfield. Altherr is certainly picking the right time to start and heat up. He’s 8-21 with two home runs, seven RBIs, six runs scored and two stolen bases.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Freddie Freeman vs. Stephen Strasburg- Freeman is someone who’s really had the number of Strasburg his entire career. Coming into today, Freeman is 12-28 against Strasburg with five extra base hits, three of them being home runs, and a 1.321 OPS.
Adrian Gonzalez vs. Tim Hudson- This certainly isn’t your Dad’s Tim Hudson, as the age as certainly caught up to him. This afternoon, he faces off against Adrian Gonzalez, who’s gone 11-33 against him with three extra base hits, two of them being home runs, and a .917 OPS.
Torii Hunter vs. Trevor Bauer- A short sample size here, but Hunter has hit Bauer really well during that span. Hunter has gone 6-14 against Bauer with four extra base hits, two of them being home runs, and a 1.467 OPS.
Each day gets better and better! We have only two games with the potential for rain tonight
Mets at Phillies
Nationals at Braves
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Stephen Strasburg ($11,000) – I bet you guys didn’t see this one coming. I won’t go crazy with explaining why I like this pick, as I think I did a bang up job on that earlier in the article. But just to revisit it, I truly don’t think you have a better chance of reaching the high 20’s low 30’s in points tonight with anyone other than Strasburg. Even with the Braves having such a low K%, it’s completely logical that Stras can grab some of the high strikeout totals. Perfect example is his recent start against Miami, who has the second to last lowest K% in the league. Strasburg was able to grab 10 strikeouts in that one. I mean, you get what I’m saying? He will be in every single one of my lineups tonight. If he happens to go down in flames tonight, I’ll be with you.
Superstar Worth Paying For
Mike Trout ($5000) –Trout has locked back into a hot streak, isn’t absurdly expensive, and faces a left handed pitcher tonight in Derek Holland. On the season, Trout owns a .437 wOBA against left handed pitching with an ISO of .294. Holland is really struggling against right handed hitters this season, as he himself owns a .365 wOBA when facing them. Trout, as I mentioned, seems to be locked back in at the plate. Trout has put up points in 13 straight games now, with six of them being in double digits. Time to jump back on the Trout bandwagon.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Adam Lind ($3700) –Lind is a bitttttt expensive to be in the saving big bucks section, but I like his matchup this afternoon and wanted to make all of you aware. Lind faces Ian Kennedy, who allows a .349 wOBA against left handed batters. Lind on the other hand, owns a .381 wOBA against right handed pitching with a nice ISO of .216. With 20 home runs on the season and Kennedy certainly not being a stranger to giving up some, Lind should be a fine play on the nice. For a good amount of power like that and to be under $4,000, I like my chances.