With some big names on the pitching side of things tonight, we have plenty of information to get to. I’ll take you through everything you need to know in this edition of the MLB Cheat Sheet. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
LAD (-193) vs. COL – Kenta Maeda – The Dodgers and Maeda get the nod for the favorite on this night slate going up against the Rockies. Maeda is a tough one to figure out, as his overall numbers look great, but I think when you dig a bit deeper they aren’t as attractive. Sure, Maeda owns a 2.84 ERA with a 1.07 WHIP and is averaging 17.4 FPPG, so what’s the problem? First and foremost, Maeda doesn’t go deep into games at all. Reaching the seventh inning only once this season, Maeda is basically a sixth inning max pitcher. It’s not because they’re trying to preserve him either, he averages 91 pitches per start. Maeda does have some strikeout potential, owning a 7.9 K/9 on the season, but he hasn’t exceeded seven strikeouts in his past five starts. All in all, the roster spot will make sense for Maeda tonight, as his low $7,700 price tag against a Rockies team that owns a .307 wOBA and a 21.9 K% away from Coors Field does bring some value, just don’t expect a high score here.
STL (-175) vs. CIN –Jamie Garcia – I think any team that is facing off against Alfredo Simon would have to be considered a favorite. Hell, I’d even think the Braves could be one (maybe). Nonetheless, the Reds still continue to struggle at the plate (besides Jay Bruce) and are right in the middle of the league in offensive categories against lefties. Jaime Garcia will take the mound tonight having been scuffling in his past few starts. After a 32.8 points performance against the Angels on May 11th, Garcia has only scored double digit fantasy points in one of his prior four starts. I don’t know how much I’d be trusting Garcia tonight, although his $6,700 price tag does bring some value in this matchup. With opposing Simon, he certainly could grab a W on the night, even if he pitches poorly.
No rain concerns on this slate for tonight; however, we do have a couple of games with wind issues.
KCR @ BAL 15mph wind blowing from left to right field.
BOS @ SFG 15mph blowing out to straight away center field.
Park Factors are rated on a scale of 1.000. If an offensive category has a rating of 1.000 or higher, it favors the hitters. Anything below 1.000 favors pitching.
- Globe Life Park – HOU vs TEX – Maybe it’s because I write these articles everyday, but I feel like the Rangers have been home for a LONG time. Coming into this game, Globe Life Park favors hitters in every category except walks this season.
- Yankee Stadium – LAA vs NYY – Currently ranked 6th overall this season, Yankee Stadium favors hitters in every offensive category except triples.
- Dodger Stadium – COL vs LAD – Dodger Stadium currently ranks as the second worst stadium in all of baseball this season. Of all the offensive categories, the only one that favors hitters is, oh right, nothing.
- U.S. Cellular Field – WAS vs CHW – U.S. Cellular currently ranks 25th overall in 2016 for hitters but ranks 2nd on our list. It currently favors hitters in home runs, triples and walks.
Splits to Start
Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
|Worst vs LHB||OPS||AVG||Best vs. LHB||OPS||AVG|
|Alfredo Simon||1.049||.364||Madison Bumgarner||.474||.164|
|Jesse Hahn||1.042||.345||Jaime Garcia||.523||.235|
|Max Scherzer||.913||.276||Wei-Yin Chen||.545||.243|
Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
|Worst vs RHB||OPS||AVG||Best vs. RHB||OPS||AVG|
|Chase Anderson||.980||.328||Max Scherzer||.480||.152|
|Alfredo Simon||.939||.314||Doug Fister||.504||.171|
|Jered Weaver||.852||.328||Noah Syndergaard||.507||.211|
Batter vs. Pitcher Splits
|Alex Rodriguez||Jered Weaver||29||3.44|
|Colby Rasmus||Yu Darvis||15||2.93|
|Joey Votto||Jaime Garcia||25||2.14|
- Alex Rodriguez has dominated his time against Jered Weaver, I mean I’d hope so with that 54 mph fastball (that could be wrong). A-Rod is 11-29 with two doubles, five home runs, eight RBIs and six walks.
- Next up is Colby Rasmus taking on Yu Darvish. Rasmus has gone 7-15 with a double, triple, home run and three RBIs.
- We cap off the BvP for tonight with Joey Votto taking on Jaime Garcia. Votto is 12-35 with three doubles, a home run, six RBIs and seven walks.
Pitcher to Build Around
Yu Darvish – TEX vs. HOU – $11,000 You’d think after taking Cole Hamels against the Astros last night I would have learned my lesson, as Hamels managed to get 14.35 points in his start last night. Hamels certainly didn’t help himself either, issuing five free passes. I think it’s a bit unfair to put Darvish and Hamels in the same category here, so I’m sticking with Darvish in this spot. He’s looked great in his first two starts back in the majors facing two legitimate teams in the Pirates and Mariners, averaging 20.7 FPPG in them. With the extremely high K potential for Darvish in this start, as the Astros owns the third highest K% in the league against righties at 25.1%, I think Darvish has the best matchup amongst the top priced pitchers tonight.
Heavy Hitter to Pay For
Kole Calhoun – LAA vs NYY (Nathan Eovaldi) – $4,500 – If you want someone who is swinging quite the hot stick right now, Calhoun would be your guy. He has a fantastic matchup tonight facing Nathan Eovaldi, who REALLY struggles against lefties. On the season, Eovaldi owns a .368 wOBA against opposing lefties with a .520 SLG. With this game taking place at Yankee Stadium, it gets even worse for Eovaldi, as those numbers jump up to a .395 wOBA with a .612 SLG. All this is great new for Calhoun, who owns a .420 wOBA against righties on the road with a .548 SLG. Whew.
Save Big by Drafting…
Danny Espinosa – WAS vs CHW (James Shields) – $3,200 – When you look at the overall numbers for Espinoa, it’s not very pretty. Batting .196 with eight home runs, with 23 RBIs and a .637 OPS, it’s pretty puke worth honestly. But I do sit up a bit more in my chair when I see the eight home runs; the good hitting Espinosa is showcasing right now and the impending matchup with James Shields. Against righties, Espinosa owns a .279 wOBA, but has six home runs. Shields is certainly no stranger to allowing them either as he’s given up nine this season. I totally get that this isn’t the most attractive pick I could give out, but I love the prospect of a bomb here from ol’ Danny boy.
Stack Em Up
CIN vs. STL (Jaime Garcia) – Surprised? I get it, I’m an unpredictable guy, enjoy it. I do like this stack though because of how poorly Garcia has been pitching as of late. On top of that, Garcia has some poor numbers against a lot of these players on this Reds team. The Reds are a stack that I don’t expect many to be on, but I certainly think they’ll be able to produce something here against Garcia. Taking this stack will be a bit more expensive than you’d expect, but I think with some of the big names pitching tonight like Scherzer, Bumgarner and Syndergaard, this stack will be VERY overlooked. Hopefully you can reap the benefits.