We’re back to a full night slate of games tonight, as all 30 teams will be in action. We’re going to try and cure you of your pitching hangover from last night, as most of the “obvious” picks didn’t have as great of a night as expected. Yes, I’m looking at you Michael Pineda. As always, you can follow me on Twitter @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
CC Sabathia vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-224) – I mean, I don’t even know if I can trust this anymore! Sabathia is the favorite tonight as he takes on the Phillies. However, for the second night in a row, which completely boggles my mind, the Phillies have knocked around a quality starting pitcher. For a team that’s last in almost every offensive category, they sure have held their own against the likes of Michael Pineda and Michael Wacha. Maybe it’s just a Michael thing. Regardless, Sabathia has had his share of struggles this year against right handed batters. It might not be crazy to say I don’t think I trust Sabathia tonight.
Madison Bumgarner vs. San Diego Padres (-209) – Besides, when you have someone like Bumgarner going tonight, why are you going to worry about Sabathia? Bumgarner comes into tonight as the second most expensive pitcher other then David Price. Bumgarner has gone eight innings in three consecustive starts and faces this Padres team for the third time this season. Both starts ended with mixed results, as Bumgarner last only three innings giving up five runs on ten hits in thier first meeting. Their second encounter was much better as Bumgarner went 7.1 innings giving up no runs on two hits and striking out six.
Chris Archer vs. Toronto Blue Jays (-160) – Going up against the Blue Jays would be a tough matchup for anyone, but Vegas is still liking Archer in this one. Archer has been nothing less then spectacular this season, as he comes into tonight with a 2.18 ERA to go along with 116 strikeouts in 95 innings pitched. Toronto is of course one of the best offensive clubs in the league, as they rank first in runs scored and team OPS. Archer has regressed a bit in his last two starts, as he’s only scored 16.2 and 9.3 points on DraftKings, but he’s always a solid option to start. Just have your expections in check for tonight as it won’t be easy for him against these Blue Jays.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 10.5 Over/Under- As expected, Coors Field is the owner of the highest run total for the night. Chase Anderson goes up against Kyle Kendrick in this one. Both pitchers are facing really good offensive clubs, this these games should have no problem exceeding their run totals tonight and for the rest of the series.
Oakland A’s at Texas Rangers (Ballpark at Arlington) – 9.5 Over/Under- I was surprised at this game having such a high run total, as both starting pitchers have been great this season. Jesse Chavez goes up against Chi Chi Gonzalez in this one. Chavez comes into tonight with a 2.52 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP, as he’s been dominating the American League this year. Gonzalez, who is only making his fifth start this season, owns a 0.90 ERA with a 1.00 WHIP, and is coming off a 8.1 inning victory of the Dodgers. If you’re thinking these pitchers are due for a regression, by all means. Personally, I don’t see this game blowing up for runs like it’s predicted. Then again, who can predict half of these outcomes we’ve had in game this season. #baseball.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Madison Bumgarner vs. San Diego Padres – Bumgarner comes into his start tonight with the best average against left handed batters. They’re only hitting .170 this season. His K/9 sits at 8.5.
CC Sabathia vs. Philadelphia Phillies – If you read my cheat sheet articles on a regular basis, I think you’ll know the drill here with Sabathia. He’s excellent against left handed batters and absolutely awful against right handers. Against lefties, they’re only hitting .192 off of Sabathia. His K/9 is at 8 this season.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Chi Chi Gonzalez vs. Oakland A’s – Gonzalez has passed the Steve Buchanan requirements to be featured in this section, which entails starting in at least three games on the season. Against right handed batters, Gonzalez is holding them to a microscopic .096 average. Just be aware however, that Gonzalez also has a K/9 of 3. Yes, 3.
Jason Hammel vs. L.A. Dodgers – Hammel continues to give right handed batters trouble this season. They’re only hitting .196 against Hammel this season. His K/9 is at 9.2 this season.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Sean O’Sullivan vs. New York Yankees – I don’t care that O’Sullivan had a great start his last time out, he still only lasted five innings. Plus, he’s awful against left handed batters, as they’re hitting .330 off of him. I have full confidence his start tonight will be a train wreck.
Jeremy Guthrie vs. Seattle Mariners – Guthrie comes into tonight with lefties hitting .325 off of him. His K/9 is a sad 4.2 on the season.
Easiest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
CC Sabathia vs. Philadelphia Phillies– The season of CC Sabathia, folks. Righties have been crushing him this season to a .335 average. These damn Phillies are becoming so hard to predict, I’m not even going to try.
Jose Urena vs. St. Louis Cardinals- The Marlins rookie has been having some issues with right handed batters this season, as they’re hitting .323 off of him.
Albert Pujols ($4400) – Pujols has it turned on right now, as he’s been on a complete tear. He’s 7 for his last 23 with five home runs, 13 RBIs, and nine runs scored. His price makes him a steal for the production he’s been giving as of late.
Mookie Betts ($4800) – Betts was a single shy from hitting for the cycle the other night, as he is also now on a really good run for the Red Sox. He’s 15 for his last 27 with two home runs, six RBIs, a stolen base and eight runs scored.
Brett Gardner ($4600) – Gardner really seems to be enjoying his time at the top of the Yankess order, as he continues to fill in for Jacoby Ellsbury. He’s 14 for his last 30 with three home runs, eight RBIs, and eight runs scored.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Adam LaRoche vs. Mike Pelfrey – LaRoche has been getting some off days when the White Sox have been playing in National League parks, so don’t let that scare you of him, as he should in tonight as the DH. Against Pelfey, he’s 11-16 with a home run, a .762 OBP and a 1.762 OPS.
Anthony Rendon vs. Alex Wood – Rendon loves when he sees Alex Wood on the mound. Rendon is 8-13 against Wood with a home run, a .643 OBP and a 1.489 OPS.
Dustin Ackley vs. Jeremy Guthrie – I wanted to include this one in here because Nelson Cruz left with an injury last night, so if he can’t go, Ackley can slide right into the lineup with his good numbers against Guthrie. Ackley is 6-10 against Guthrie with five extra base hits and a 2.136 OPS. Yup.
The following game have at least a 50% chance or more of thunderstorms at some point during the game. Check the weather closer to game time.
Phillies at Yankees
Braves at Nationals
Orioles at Red Sox (good chance of a delayed start)
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Carlos Martinez ($8300) – First off, give me a little bit of love for saying to look at Joe Blanton as your second starter last night. I don’t normally pat myself on the back but god damn, pairing him with Kershaw last night was pure brillance. Maybe not brilliance, just a short slate of games. Anyways, I like Martinez a lot tonight because he has an excellent chance at a good game here and his price point is truly low for someone with his stuff. Miami hits the most groundballs out of any team in the majors and are 10th in the league in strikeouts, two factors that I like a lot for Martinez. Add on the fact that Miami is really struggling to score some runs, as they’re 24th in the league in that category and I think you have a perfect storm here. His price point is fantastic and will allow me to roster a Bumgarner or Price and still have some wiggle room for some solid hitters.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Brett Gardner ($4600) – Second day in a row where I’ve gone a bit cheaper in this section, but I like his matchup tonight. He goes up against Sean O’Sullivan, who is allowing left handed batters to hit him for a .330 average this season. Gardner has been hitting really well at the top of the Yankee lineup and can really get things going if he can get on base. With a good amount of premium pitching going today, you wont be able to roster a lot of expensive hitters, so Gardner might be the perfect price point to get good production at a not so crazy cost.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Dustin Ackley ($2700) – I’m dropping the old BvP stat as my reason for starting Ackley tonight. As I mentioned, I really like the spot Ackley is in with the possibility that Cruz could be rested tonight and the majorety of people, mainly people who don’t read this article, wouldn’t even think about rostering Ackley. But this is why you’re the smart group of people and they aren’t. It’s not the biggest sample he has against Guthrie, but it’s a good one. Give me Ackley for 2700 all day.