We have a full slate of games going today once again! Today is split up, as four game are going this afternoon and the rest go tonight. Let’s jump right into everything. As always, you can reach me on the Ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Clayton Kershaw vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-358) – Oh. My. Goodness. Kershaw is by far, the favorite pitcher tonight, according to Vegas. I’ve seen numbers in the high 200’s and thought that was high. This blows any of those away. Kershaw is going to be expensive tonight, at $13,300. You can’t help but look at this matchup though and not want to jump all over it. As I mentioned yesterday with Brett Anderson, the Phillies are indeed hitting a bit better then they have all season, so they’re not totally in the basement anymore in most offensive stats. Still, they’re one of the worst offensive teams in the league overall. Kershaw has had a few less than stellar starts this season, but I don’t think tonight is going to be one of them. Just beware, I’m sure he will be heavily owned tonight.
Gio Gonzalez vs. Cincinnati Reds (-170) – If Max Scherzer can’t shut down the Reds, who can!? Ok, they aren’t THAT good, but the Reds did just hand Scherzer his shortest start this season, going only 4 2/3 innings. Gonzalez is coming into tonight feeling good after a solid start against the Giants, where he pitched seven innings, giving up one run and striking out six. He faces a Reds team that is low on batting average and runs scored but high on home runs, where they’re ranked 6th in the majors. The problem with Gonzalez has been his command, as he owns a 1.43 WHIP on the season. The Reds are a fairly patient team, as they rank 12th in walks this season. Having good command is a huge factor that will make or break this start for Gonzalez.
Trevor Bauer vs. Houston Astros (-145) – This is a tough one to predict in my opinion. He talent level is through the roof, as Bauer can throw a gem against any team on any given night. However, his chances of having a complete meltdown have been seen often this season. Bauer comes into the night with a 3.88 ERA to go along with a 1.23 WHIP and a K/9 of 8.6. Of course, the biggest appeal of going up against the Astros for a pitcher like Bauer, is the strikeout potential. With that being said, the Astros are scoring a ton of runs, as they’re now second in the league in that category, and still rank first in home runs. All while having one of the lowest batting averages in the league, where they rank 24th. The upside with Bauer is there, even more so since he will only cost $7900, but it will be a risky.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
L.A. Angels at Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 11 Over/Under- Projected at a higher run total than last night, the Angels and Rockies duke things out once again tonight. Matt Shoemaker goes for the Angles while Chris Rusin takes the mound for the Rockies. Shoemaker has been having trouble with home runs this season, as he’s now given up 16 on the year. The Rockies are ranked 7th in the league in home runs, which could spell trouble for Shoemaker tonight. Shoemaker has been mediocre at best coming into this tough start tonight. Rusin is a typical Rockies starting pitcher. He’s nothing special and seems to always find his way into trouble. His splits against left and right handed batters make you want to target the Angels tonight, as he’s allowing a .290 avearge to righties and .333 to lefties. As always, this will be a highly targeted game that you should have some exposure to.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Tommy Milone vs. Baltimore Orioles- Milone kicks us off here with his work against left handed batters. He’s holding them to a .153 average on the season.
Trevor Bauer vs. Houston Astros- Bauer has good splits, it’s just a matter of if he can hold off the implosion tonight. Lefties are only hitting .197 against him.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Jacob deGrom vs. San Francisco Giants – Is it just me, or does it seem like deGrom always gets saddled with the early slate of games? I feel as though I never have him rostered. It’s too bad, as he’s holding right handed batters to a .182 avearge.
Chris Archer vs. Kansas City Royals- Ah yes, my boy Archer is taking the mound tonight for the Rays. He continue he’s fantastic season, holding righties to a .187 average.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitcher vs. Left Handed Batters.
Chris Rusin vs. L.A. Angels – This game tonight should feature a ton of runs. Rusin and his split against lefties will certainly help that cause, as they’re hitting .333 against him.
Julio Teheran vs. Milwaukee Brewers- This has been a real disappointing season for Teheran. One of his issues this season, has been his struggles with lefties. They’re hitting .316 against him this year.
Easiest Pitcher vs. Right Handed Batters
Drew Hutchison vs. Chicago White Sox – Hutchison may be the worst against righties tonight, but at least he’s getting an easy matchup against the White Sox. Righties are hitting .330 against him this season.
C.C. Sabathia vs. Oakland A’s – Sabathia continues to get knocked around by right handed batters this season. They continue to pound him to a .329 average.
Adam Lind ($4300) – A Brewers player makes the list that doesn’t have the last name Braun and Parra! Lind is 10 for his last 28 with four home runs, 1o RBIs, and seven runs scored.
Kole Calhoun ($5400) – Boy, do these prices sky rocket once a player walks into Coors Field. Calhoun is 8 for his last 23 with two home runs, 10 RBIs, and seven runs scored.
Josh Donaldson ($4900) – Donaldson is always hot, in a non attractive way. But really, it feels like he’s been locked in the entire season. He’s 10 for his last 30 with three home runs, nine RBIs, and six runs scored.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Josh Donaldson vs. John Danks – Shockingly, we have a couple of players that have good numbers against John Danks tonight. I couldn’t believe players can actually hit Danks and his electric stuff. Donaldson is 6-11 against Danks with four extra base hits, two of them being home runs, and a 1.856 OPS.
Joey Votto vs. Gio Gonzalez -Votto has enjoyed the small sample of Gonzalez that he’s gotten in his career. Votto comes into tonight 5-12 against Gonzalez with three extra base hits, two of them being home runs, and a 1.533 OPS.
Dioner Navarro vs. John Danks – Navarro has been having a tough time finding his way into the lineup, so if he’s in tonight, don’t forget about these numbers. Navarro is 8-21 against Danks with five extra base hits, three of them being home runs, and a 1.321 OPS.
Once again, we have a few games with a chance of rain and thunderstorms. Make sure to monitor these ones closely.
A’s at Yankees
Reds at Nationals
Padres at Pirates
Angels at Rockies
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Clayton Kershaw ($13,300) – Anyone who reads my articles on the regular (sorry about your life choices) knows that I’m not a big fan of going with the obvious choice for who to take for a pitcher. But tonight is one of those nights where I wouldn’t feel like I’m giving the proper pitcher if I didn’t showcase Kershaw here. I tried to make a case for Chris Archer tonight, but the Royals are the hardest team in the league to strikeout. Granted, the Philles aren’t the easiest either, but I truly can’t see them doing much of anything against Kershaw tonight. With the game at Dodger Stadium, the little power the Phillies have is basically washed away. Kershaw is of course expensive tonight, so you’ll have to get a bit creative with your second pitcher tonight if you want to balance your team, but I think we have a couple of solid picks tonight that you could roll with. Kershaw it is folks, sorry for an anti-climatic pick.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Josh Donaldson ($4900) – With these picks I’m throwing out today, anyone of you can write these articles. I get it, why wouldn’t you start Donaldson on any given night. At least with tonight, I have some numbers that can make you more intrigued than normal. As I mentioned earlier, Donaldson has crushed Danks in the short time they’ve seen each other, going 6-11 with four extra base hits, two home runs and a 1.856 OPS. Danks is giving up a ton of home runs this season, as he averages 1.4 per start this year, which is higher than his career avearge. Danks .313 average allowed against a RHB is the cherry on top tonight. Super obvious, I get it. Let’s just call it a gentle reminder. How’s that?
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Seth Smith ($3,300) – Maybe this won’t make up for my two obvious choices, but here, here’s a pick you weren’t thinking about. I’m throwing some BvP knowledge your way so get ready for it. Smith has great numbers against Anibal Sanchez this afternoon, as he’s 6-17 with three extra base hits, two of them being home runs and a 1.186 OPS.