Back into a full slate of games on a huge night on DraftKings. Tonight, they have the $500K Sweet Spot contest where once again, someone is going to take home the first prize of $100,000! Let’s get right into things and as always, you can get me on the Ol’ Twitter machine @Sbuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Michael Wacha vs. Chicago White Sox(-144) – Today’s favorite’s from Vegas seems to be picking on all the weak offensive teams tonight. Wacha has been great this season, but limped into the All Star break with a weak performance against the Cubs, giving up five runs on seven hits in six innings pitched. Tonight, SHOULD be a cakewal for Wacha. The American League Phillies are almost dead last in every category. The White Sox rank 24th in batting average, 30th in runs scored and OPS and 28th in home runs. On top of that, Wacha is really low priced today, which almost makes him a must start at $8700. I only wish this game was in St. Louis and not Chicago, can you imagine the White Sox lineup actully getting even worse with the pitcher batting? Strongly consider Wacha when building your lineups.
Brett Anderson vs. Atlanta Braves (-141) Anderson is another pitcher tonight who is at a really cheap price against a relatively weak offense. While the Braves may have a decent rank in batting average at 14th, they have issues scoring runs, as they fall all the way to 22nd in that category. Rounding out the rest, the Braves are 24th in OPS and dead last in home runs. The downfall in my opinion to starting Anderson, is that he doesn’t own a very high K/9 at 6.4, and the Braves are a tough team to strike out, as they rank 22nd. So if you aren’t going to get the strike outs from Anderson, you better be hoping for some clean innings. He won’t be a terrible play tonight, but expect a score in the 14-17 range.
Matt Shoemaker vs. Minnesota Twins (-140) – Finally, we have Shoemaker, who I honestly thought wasn’t starting today seeing how low on the board he was. Shoemaker is priced at $5700 tonight taking on an avearge Twins offense. The Twins are ranked 17th in team batting average, 11th in runs scored, 20th in OPS and 19th in home runs. This is one of those starts that can quite honestly go either way, as both sides have seen their ups and downs this season. If anything, Shoemaker would save you a ton of money to fill with other players, but the risk factor is there. Shoemaker does own a 1.30 WHIP on the year, which isn’t that bad for his price point, so to me, that indicates he might be able to squeek out a decent start. But then again, in his last three starts, hes scored 1.7, 6.2, and 10 against Seattle, Colorado and the New York Yankees. See what I mean about being indecisive? He’s strictly a GPP play, if at all.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 11 Over/Under- You knew this one was coming. These two teams lived up to the hype last night, as they scored a combined 15 runs. Tonight could be more of the same. Matt Harrison gets the start for the Rangers while Kyle Kendrick takes the hill for the Rockies. Harrison is making his second start of the season after getting crushed by the Arizona Diamondbacks. He doesn’t get a easy matchup here tonight either. The Rockies are one of the top offenses in baseball, so just strictly going off of his last start, this could be a rough one for Harrison. Kendrick is cheaper then most of the outfielders you can draft, which is never a good thing. Coming into tonight with a 5.94 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP, you can see why Vegas loves the runs in these games. Honestly, I have nothing positive to say about Kendrick other than the fact that he still shows up to work every five days to “pitch.” As always, make sure you have some exposure in this one, as both sides of the offense should have a field day today.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Carlos Rodon vs. St. Louis Cardinals- Rodon comes into tonight as the toughest against lefties. He’s done a great job at holding them to a .206 avearge in his first year in the majors. Just sucks that he’s on the White Sox. He can’t be happy about that.
Michael Wacha vs. Chicago White Sox- Not to be outdone by his opponent tonight, Wacha is the second best against lefties tonight. If you’re getting some hitters from this game, make sure they don’t bat left! Wacha is holding lefties to a .210 average on the year.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Jacob deGrom vs. Washington Nationals- I’m pretty stoked, deGrom is actually starting a night game! I could be the only one that thinks this, but I feel like deGrom was always playing during the day and I never got to use him. deGrom has held righties to a .175 average on the season.
Jason Hammel vs. Cincinnati Reds- I still can’t believe that Hammel continues to dominate righties! Hammel has been holding them to a sub .200 avearge the entire season it feels like. Entering tonight, they’re hitting .194 against him.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitcher vs. Left Handed Batters.
Nathan Eovaldi vs. Baltimore Orioles- We actully have five pitchers tonight who are allowing a .300+ avearge to lefties. That’s just insane to me. Regardless, Eovaldi is the worst of the worst tonight, and ever time he pitches, as he allows a .350 avearge to lefties. Good job, good effort!
Shane Greene vs. Seattle Mariners – Greene is making his second start since being recalled from the minors, and he’s doing what he does best, lose games. Greene is having a real tough time against lefties, as they continue to crush him to a .349 average. All requests to erase his prior stats when recalled from the minors were politely declined.
Easiest Pitcher vs. Right Handed Batters
Alex Wood vs. LA Dodgers- I thought Wood was a real solid guy. But apprently, he’s a pushover when it comes to facing righties. They’re hitting him to a tune of .302 on the season.
Matt Garza vs. Cleveland Indians – I never understood the fascination with Garza. He was always involved in trade rumors and I was as always so against it. Maybe it was the .292 average when facing righties this season, I just knew it was coming.
Adrian Gonzalez ($3900) – He’s almost a must start for me with how low his price point is. Somebody with 20 home runs shouldn’t be priced this way. Not that I’m complaining at ALL. Gonzalez continues to hit since the All Star break as he’s 9 for his last 16 with three home runs, five RBIs, and five runs scored.
Kole Calhoun ($4400) – So while I somehow make a stink about how Gonzalez is underpriced, Calhoun seems as if he falls perfectly into his price point. He’s been a huge part of the Angels offense and he continues to hit after the break. Calhoun is 6 for his last 13 with three home runs, four RBIs, and five runs scored.
Albert Pujols ($4500) – The resurgence of Pujols is alive and well folks. The man continues to hit. Pujols is 5 for his last 14 with three home runs, four RBIs, and five runs scored.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Billy Butler vs. Mark Buehrle- As the self proclaimed BvP King, I was disappointed that tonight doesn’t feature a lot of good matchups. This one is the best one, which really isn’t that great. Butler is 22-67 against Buehrle with seven extra base hits, three of those being home runs and a .883 OPS.
Michael Bourn vs. Matt Garza- On the surface, this might look like Bourn owns Garza, but looking deeper into it, all the hits Bourn has are singles. Lame. Bourn is 10 singles for 19 at bats against Garza with a 1.076 OPS.
Ben Zobrist vs. Mark Buehrle- This one is ok, but again, this is not the quality matchups I like to showcase in this section. Zobrist is 11-30 against Buehrle with two extra base hits, one of them being a home run and a .875 OPS. I promise, tomorrow will be better.
Two games look to have a chance of thunderstorms from looking at the forecast this morning Make sure to check these prior to first pitch.
Mets @ Nationals
Rays @ Phillies
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Michael Wacha vs. Chicago White Sox ($8700) – Pretty tough to try and make a case for anyone else here tonight. Wacha going up against one of the worst offenses in all of baseball for the low price of $8700? Sign me up. Aside for how low they rank in every offensive category, they don’t strike out a ton, which normally I would have to reconsider my pick as I’m HUGE on strikeout potential. But honestly, the price for Wacha is just so low. Wacha comes into tonight with a K/9 of 7.2, so I don’t think it’s unrealistic to hope for around five strikeouts on the night. Pile that in with how little offensively the White Sox contribute and I think the downside in K’s will be made up for. I will say, even if this doesn’t end up working out like I’d hope, I’d start Wacha 100 times out of 100.
Superstar Worth Paying For…
Prince Fielder($5200) –Fielder, in Coors Field, facing Mr. Home run himself, Kyle Kendrick. Kendrick gives up a TON of home run, 23 in the FIRST HALF. 9 of those home runs have come from a leftie and Fielder is just the guy who can push him into double digits. Fielder is crushing RHP, hitting .377 on the season with eight home runs and a .435 OBP. Once again, and as always, this game has the highest projected run total of the night. If you’re getting exposure to this, as you should, find a spot for Fielder in your lineup.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Billy Butler($3500) – If you want to save some money at the first base position, you can take my BvP advice and lock in Butler for 3500. As I mentioned above, he has a good matchup against Buehrle tonight, who he’s seen some good success over the years. The first base position is always stacked with big names, so occasionally throwing in a name like Butler will almost guarantee you low ownership across the board. He could be a sneaky GPP play tonight.