WATCH: STACK TO CONSIDER NEW YORK YANKEES


Tuesday evening brings us a full 15-game slate of baseball, so let’s jump right into all the information. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Game Notes

Pitcher Favorite

Clayton Kershaw vs. Chicago White Sox ($14,000) – The Dodgers are heavy favorites tonight as they send Clayton Kershaw to the mound to take on the White Sox in interleague action. Kershaw has been pitching like his dominant self lately, posting a .225 wOBA since the beginning of June with a .315 SLG and a K/9 of 12.9. He’ll take on one of the best hitting clubs against left-handed pitching, although those numbers have fallen as of late. Occupying the top wOBA in the league against lefties for the majority of the season, the White Sox have fallen to fifth in that category at .343. It’s still an excellent number, but it’s worth noting their recent struggles.

Highest Total

San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies – 11.5 runs – The Rockies are once again projected at over six runs tonight, checking in at 6.3 to be exact. They’ll be taking on Dinelson Lamet, who continues to show incredible strikeout upside but struggles to shut down opposing offenses. Lamet sports a .395 wOBA in four road starts this season with a .614 SLG, a .357 OBP and an incredible 14.1 K/9. The intriguing aspect is that the Rockies own a relatively high 22 K%, which ranks 13th in the league. While I can’t recommend a pitcher in Coors Field, I think it’s fair to consider Lamet with his strikeout upside in a GPP lineup.

Weather Concerns

A few games tonight have a low chance of rain, but nothing is overly concerning for any of them. As of this afternoon, you shouldn’t have any issues making lineups. As always, make sure to double check before first pitch.

Park Factors

Park Factors are ranked on a scale of 1.000. Anything above 1.000 is favorable towards the hitters. Anything below that mark favors pitchers.

  • Coors Field – San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies – As always, Coors Field is our number one ballpark for hitters on this slate tonight. All offensive categories are favored.
  • Target Field – New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins – Target Field has been an offensive hotspot all season long. Like Coors Field, Target Field favors every offensive category.
  • Minute Maid Park – Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros – The Mariners will be visiting the worst offensive ballpark on the slate tonight when they take on the Astros. No offensive categories are favored here.
  • AT&T Park – Cleveland Indians vs. San Francisco Giants – The Indians will be visiting AT&T Park for some interleague action this week. As you’d expect, no offensive categories get the nod here.


Splits to Start

Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters

Worst vs. LHBOPSAVGBest vs. LHBOPSAVG
Dinelson Lamet1.047.306Brian Johnson.308.154
John Lackey.895.279Tyson Ross.550.156
Junior Guerra.884.311Ty Blach.585.225

Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters

Worst vs. RHBOPSAVGBest vs. RHBOPSAVG
Bartolo Colon1.011.365Dinelson Lamet.517.135
Matt Boyd.910.330Clayton Kershaw.518.176
Brian Johnson.909.297Brad Peacock  .532.176

Batter vs. Pitcher Splits

HitterOpposing SPABFP/AB*
Travis ShawIvan Nova105.1
Lorenzo CainMatt Boyd142.85

*(Fantasy Points Per At Bat)


Lineup Starters

Pitcher to Build Around

Robbie Ray – ARI vs. CIN – $11,200 – Ray is the second most expensive pitcher on this slate tonight but brings a $2,800 discount from Clayton Kershaw. He’ll take on a Reds club that owns the ninth highest K% at home at 22.3. If you haven’t heard, Ray has dominated this season, especially when on the road. In 53.2 road innings, Ray sports a .236 wOBA with a .269 SLG and a 12.2 K/9. His hard hit rate over his last three starts sits at a very friendly 22% en route to averaging 22.3 fantasy points over that span. He’s one of my favorite plays against a Reds team that owns just a .312 wOBA over the last two weeks.

Heavy Hitter to Pay For

Charlie Blackmon – COL vs. SD – $5,600 – I try not to showcase Rockies hitters in these spots because I think it’s fairly obvious they’re in play at Coors. With that being said, I like this spot for Blackmon against Lamet. I do think Lamet has some tremendous upside, but it’s also fair to point out the struggles against lefties. Against lefties, Lamet sports a .423 wOBA with a .682 SLG and seven of his 10 home runs allowed. Blackmon is on a tear once again, averaging 13.9 fantasy points over his last 10 games with four home runs and six RBI.

Save Big by Drafting…

Whit Merrifield – KC vs. DET – $3,800 – It’s not very often that I recommend someone on the Royals, but Matt Boyd and his struggles against righties led me to do it. Boyd is posting a .398 wOBA against righties on the road with a .496 SLG and a .436 OBP. Merrifield, who bats leadoff, owns a .366 wOBA against lefties at Kauffman Stadium with a .512 SLG and a .362 OBP.

Stack Em Up

New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins (Bartolo Colon) – Colon has found a new home with the Twins and is tasked with facing the Yankees at Target Field. To bring you back up to speed, Colon posted a .397 wOBA as a starter through 13 starts before the Braves cut bait with him. Colon was getting walloped with runners in scoring position, posting a .528 wOBA with a .800 SLG. I can’t imagine him shutting down the Yankees this evening, so a Yankees stack seems to make the most sense.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.