Last night, for the most part, was a rough night of fantasy baseball. The Pirates Cubs game getting PPD was a huge blow to a lot of people, myself included. But, the best thing to do, is to let yesterday go and start fresh today. Isn’t that the beauty of daily fantasy? We have a full slate of games today, so let’s jump right into things and as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Heaviest Pitcher Favorites
Masahiro Tanaka vs. Boston Red Sox (-210) – Tanaka comes into tonight as the big favorite according to Vegas. Tanaka is coming off a rough start his last time out against the Rangers where he pitched six innings giving up four runs on nine hits and striking out three. This seems to be fairly typical of Tanaka this season, as he’s almost alternating between good and bad starts. He faces a Red Sox offense that seems to be better on paper than they actually perform. Or maybe that’s just my Boston fan blinders that I have on. The Red Sox are however, one of the toughest team to strike out, as only the Royals are tougher. The price on Tanaka, in my opinion, earns him a start, as he’s the 6th most expensive pitcher on the night. Just be warned, this certainly isn’t the Tanaka we saw last year.
Max Scherzer vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (-200)- Even going up against the good Diamondbacks offense, Scherzer is one of the favorites on the night. In all honesty, why shouldn’t he be? Entering tonight, Scherzer owns a 2.22 ERA to go along with a 0.83 WHIP and a K/9 of 10.3. Unlike the Red Sox, the Diamondbacks strike out quite a lot, as they rank 7th in baseball. Scherzer has been having just the type of season we all expected, as he’s averaging 28.2 fantasy points per start. Of couse, this mean he’s going to cost you a pretty penny. At $13,500, Scherzer is the most expensive pitcher by $1500. Like Kershaw, Scherzer is always someone you’d want to consider getting into your lineup, it’s just a matter of balancing out everyone else. We certainly have a couple of mid tiered pitchers going tonight that you could start with Scherzer to get him in tonight. Just be aware, the Diamondbacks are a good offensive ball club, so I wouldn’t put this start down as “automatic.”
Alex Wood vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-180) – Wood gets an easy assignment tonight as he makes his first start as a Dodger. Traded at the deadline, Wood comes into tonight with a 3.55 ERA to go with a 1.41 WHIP and a K/9 of 6.8. The Phillies overall have been hitting much better as of late, ranking 14th in batting average (huge jump) 24th in runs scored, 26th in OPS and 29th in home runs. Clearly, the batting avearge has gone up a good amount, about they still struggle scoring runs. I expect something similar to happen tonight. Wood, with a relatively high WHIP, will give up a good amount of hits, but the Phillies might not be able to cash in. I 100% think Wood is worth being looked at still, as a pitcher going up against the Phillies at the cost of $7400 is completely manageable. Rostering someone like Scherzer or Chris Sale is certainly going to have you looking to save money somewhere.
Top Overall Game Over/Unders
Seattle Mariners at Colorado Rockies (Coors Field) – 11 Over/Under- This game is going to be quite an interesting one. We have Vidal Nuno coming out of the bullpen to start this one while the Rockies call up Jon Gray to start for them. Nuno has been great out of the bullpen for the Mariners, posting a 2.02 ERA to go with a 1.04 WHIP. Nuno has started 31 games in his career, but I don’t think I’m exactly excited to start him, despite his success in the bullpen this season. Gray enters today’s start with a 4.33 ERA down in Triple-A this season. He owns a 8.7 K/9 and has allowed nine home runs in 124.1 innings pitched. It sounds like the kid has decent stuff but again, I’m not coming close to touching him tonight. Be sure to get some exposure to this one for sure.
Toughest Left/Right Matchups
Toughest Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
Jake Arrieta vs. Pittsburgh Pirates – Arrieta has great numbers across the board. Against lefties, he’s been dominant, posting a .193 avearge against them.
Chris Archer vs. Chicago White Sox- Baseball fans are in for a real treat tonight, as Archer matches up with Chris Sale tonight. This one should be a real pitchers duel. Archer has been fantastic against lefties this season, holding them to a .208 avearge.
Toughest Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
Max Scherzer vs. Arizona Diamondbacks- Scherzer against anyone usually doesn’t end well for the pitcher. If you’re a RHB, it doesn’t end well almost ever. Scherzer is holding them to a .167 avearge.
Shelby Miller vs. San Francisco Giants- Miller is pulling a Scherzer when it comes to right handed batters this season. He’s holding them down to a .186 avearge.
Best Left/Right Matchups
Easiest Pitcher vs. Left Handed Batters.
Jerome Williams vs. LA Dodgers – All season long, I’ve been trying to figure out what Williams does well. I don’t think I have an answer yet, but I at least know he’s not good at getting lefties out. They’re hitting .314 off of him.
Jimmy Nelson vs. Houston Astros – Nelson isn’t really THAT bad against lefties, he’s just the second worst out of the group today. But don’t get me wrong, allowing a .296 avearge isn’t going to win you a Cy Young award either.
Easiest Pitcher vs. Right Handed Batters
Jerome Williams vs. LA Dodgers- Well, if you had money in the “Williams is going to be really good against RHB” pot, I’m sorry to say, you lose. Williams is even worse against righties, as they’re crushing him to a .346 avearge.
Phil Hughes vs. Toronto Blue Jays – I’ve started Hughes twice because I wanted to be contranian and maybe gain a bit of an edge against anyone. In the end, I just looked like this was my first day playing fantasy baseball. Hughes is awful against righties, as they’re hitting .310 against him. Oh, he has the Blue Jays tonight. Ha.
Chris Davis ($4400) – The answer is yes, Davis hit another bomb last night. He’s crushing the ball right now going 8 for his last 26 with five home runs, 15 RBIs, and six runs scored.
Mark Teixeira ($5100) – Someone else who’s hitting the ball quite well is Teixeira. Apparently, he’s like a fine wine and gets better with age. Just please don’t offer me a glass. Tex is 7 for his last 18 with five home runs, nine RBIs, and seven runs scored.
Anthony Rizzo ($4800) – Rizzo was in quite a slump for a little while here, but he looks to be busting out of it in a big way. Rizzo is 10 for his last 24 with four home runs, 11 RBIs, and five runs scored. You certainly have plenty of first basemen to choose from today.
Best Batter vs. Pitcher Matchups
Salvador Perez vs. Justin Verlander – Verlander certainly doesn’t scare many batters anymore, especially if you’re Salvador Perez. Perez is 15-35 against Verlander with eight extra base hits, one of those being a home run, and a 1.120 OPS.
Edwin Encarnacion vs. Phil Hughes – Usually when Hughes starts, nine of the nine hitters in the starting lineup are hitting like, .800 against him. Ok, maybe that’s not true, only eight of the hitters are. Regardless, Encarnacion IS hitting Hughes well, going 14-40 with five extra base hits, one of those being a home run (two after tonight) and a .925 OPS.
Colby Rasmus vs. Yovani Gallardo- You were totally going to start Rasmus already, right? Well he’s some numbers to help justify that start. Rasmus is 7-21 against Gallardo with four extra base hits, two of them being home runs and a 1.196 OPS.
The Diamondbacks and Nationals have a threat of rain tonight. Make sure to watch this one closely. You never know how these situations can turn out, just look at last night.
One Pitcher To Build Lineups Around
Chris Sale (Chris Archer?) ($12000) ($11,700?) – Sale or Archer? Archer or Sale? Both? Big question here tonight is which one to choose. It will be fairly tough to roster a lineup if you choose both Sale and Archer, as that will literally take up just about 50% of your cap space and leave you with exactly $26,300, or $3287 per player. Honestly, either pitcher should be a fine start tonight, however, I do like Sale more because of his slightly higher K/9 and the rate that the Rays strike out. The Rays rank 4th in the league in strikeouts while the White Sox rank 15h. Big difference. The cost difference between the two isn’t a factor, as they have a $300 difference. Like I said, I don’t think you can go wrong with either guy tonight, they both have huge strikeout potentials and they both have favorable matchups. I just think you have slightly more upside with Sale.
Superstar Worth Paying For
Alex Rodriguez ($4800) –Besides the fact that Rodriguez is on a tear lately, I’m going to be “that guy” and pick on the rookie he’s facing. Henry Owens get his first start against the Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Welcome to the bigs, kid. Against lefties, Rodriguez is batting .283 with nine home runs and a 1.065 OPS. Since July 25th, Rodriguez is 10-23 with four home runs, seven walks, 10 runs and seven RBIs. So yeah, he’s hot right now.
Save Big Bucks By Drafting…
Ketel Marte ($2000) – Are you guys getting annoyed with me yet or nah? Third day in a row, Marte is in this spot. But again, you’re getting exposure to the SEA COL game, at minimum price, with a kid that has plenty of upside, has the ability to swipe a bag and is batting lead off. In a game that has a projected run total of 11 tonight, how could you hate on this pick? I promise, he won’t be here tomorrow. Actually, I can’t promise that.