Tuesday always brings us a solid slate of games. With some big name pitchers on deck for today and some big time stacks to be considered, I’ll get you ready for this awesome slate of games. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
WAS (-250) vs. PHI – Max Scherzer – Scherzer is the not so surprising favorite for tonight as he takes on the Phillies. This will be the fourth time that Scherzer has faced this team where he’s pitched 21 innings, allowing six runs on 17 hits with a 25:7 K:BB ratio for an average of 26.3 FPPG. He’s been completely locked in as of late, and his second-half stats have been fantastic. During that span of 54.1 innings, Scherzer owns a .243 wOBA with a 0.87 WHIP and a K/9 of 10.4. Scherzer is a cash game lock in my opinion.
LAD vs. COL – 11 runs – Believe it or not, we actually have three games on this slate tonight that is projected for double-digit runs. Besides this one, we have Toronto and Baltimore at 10 runs and Chicago White Sox and Detroit as well. But, as always, Coors Field gets the nod for the highest. Rich Hill takes on Tyler Anderson tonight in what should be an interesting contest. Hill is making his second start for the Dodgers after pitching six innings against the Giants, allowing no runs on five hits with a 3:0 K:BB ratio. Coors Field can turn any pitcher into a mess on the mound, so I’m a bit worried about the $7,000 price tag for Hill. This isn’t very expensive to begin with, but for a Coors Field game, that’s a bit more than I’d like to invest in a pitcher here. For what it’s worth, no one on the Rockies has faced Hill before with the exception of Mark Reynolds, who is 0-3.
As always, Anderson becomes an intriguing option at home because of how well he’s pitched here. At just $5,500 against a Dodgers team that owns just a .287 wOBA against lefties with a .306 OBP and a .344 SLG, you have to believe he’s extremely valuable tonight. Anderson is averaging 16.7 FPPG at home this season in 10 starts with a K/9 of 8.4. You better believe that Anderson will be finding his way into my lineups tonight.
PIT @ CHC (Wrigley Field) – Rain will be rearing its ugly head all night, especially around first pitch. Keep an eye on this one.
Park Factors are rated on a scale of 1.000. Anything at or above 1.000 favors hitters, anything below it favors pitchers.
- Coors Field – LAD vs COL – Ah yes, we’re back at Coors Field for some more offensive explosions. As always, Coors is in favor of every offensive category for hitters here.
- Progressive Field – MIN vs CLE – Progressive Field has been a hot spot for offense all this season, and tonight should be no different. Coming into tonight, all offensive categories are favored here except triples.
- Minute Maid Park – OAK vs HOU – Minute Maid Park is our worst offensive ballpark for hitters tonight with only triples favored here.
- Citizens Bank Park – WAS vs PHI – Citizens Bank Park continues to be a black hole for offense this season. Coming into tonight, only home runs and triples are favored here.
Splits to Start
Pitchers vs. Left Handed Batters
|Worst vs LHB||OPS||AVG||Best vs LHB||OPS||AVG|
|Ubaldo Jimenez||.972||.328||Rich Hill||.439||.183|
|Tim Adleman||.936||.291||Cole Hamels||.534||.186|
|Wily Peralta||.931||.321||Tyler Anderson||.559||.227|
Pitchers vs. Right Handed Batters
|Worst vs RHB||OPS||AVG||Best vs RHB||OPS||AVG|
|Wily Peralta||.950||.342||Max Scherzer||.483||.157|
|Jered Weaver||.900||.313||Kyle Hendricks||.564||.197|
|Edwin Jackson||.887||.294||Johnny Cueto||.581||.217|
Batter vs. Pitcher Splits
|Michael Saunders||Ubaldo Jimenez||16||3.75|
|Steve Pearce||J.A. Happ||25||3.6|
|Matt Carpenter||Wily Peralta||38||2.81|
- If you love living the BvP life, this is certainly a good night for it. We start off with Michael Saunders taking on Ubaldo Jimenez. Saunders has gone 7-16 with three home runs, seven RBIs and two walks.
- Next we have Steve Pearce taking on J.A. Happ. Pearce is going 9-25 off Happ with two doubles, four home runs, 11 RBIs and three walks.
- Finally, we have Matt Carpenter taking on Wily Peralta. Carpenter is 18-38 off Peralta with five doubles, three home runs, seven RBIs and four walks.
Pitcher to Build Around
Julio Teheran – ATL vs SDP – $9,800 – Focusing more on the SP2 tonight, as names like Max Scherzer and Drew Pomeranz are some of the more obvious choices tonight (although I’m a bit unsure about Pomeranz at home). Aside from Tyler Anderson, I think Teheran is another solid SP2 tonight and someone that may very well be overlooked. Looking at his game log, Teheran hasn’t reached double-digit fantasy points in three straight starts now and has been extremely disappointing. However, I’m encouraged that he’s still getting plenty of swings and misses; inducing 24 in his past two starts since returning from injury. Against a Padres team that struggles against right-handed pitching, owning a .294 wOBA with a .294 OBP and a .346 SLG, I think this is a fantastic bounce back spot for Teheran. Oh, did I mention the 25 K% against righties for the Padres that ranks second in the league?
Heavy Hitter to Pay For
Brian Dozier – MIN vs. CLE (Josh Tomlin) – $4,700 – You may not even realize it, but Dozier has hit 30 bombs on the season and is in a really good spot to add to that total tonight. The Twins face off against Josh Tomlin, who is allowing two home runs per nine innings this season and has allowed one in all but two games this season. Against righties at home, Tomlin is allowing a .412 wOBA with a .627 SLG with 12 of his total 34 home runs this season. Dozier is very expensive tonight, which I think may drive down his popularity.
Save Big by Drafting…
Franklin Gutierrez – SEA vs. TEX (Cole Hamels) – $3,100 – A potential sneaky play for tonight is Gutierrez taking on Cole Hamels. Hamels has been having a lot of issues at home against right-handed bats, where he owns a .362 wOBA with a .458 SLG with nine of his 19 total home runs allowed. Gutierrez hasn’t been hitting well lately, but he does own a .400 wOBA against lefties on the road.
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