Dinos-v-Bears

It’s baseball season! No, MLB isn’t starting yet, but we have action from Korea. The KBO season is underway and we have DFS action. In addition to classic contests on DraftKings, we also have a Showdown contest. The scoring works the same as our normal MLB contests, but the players are different. For the Saturday slate, we’ll take a look at the Eagles taking on the Heroes.

Set your lineups here: KBO Showdown $1.5K Rally Cap (NCD vs DOO)

Note: All salaries will be Flex prices unless noted as Captain’s Pick prices.


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SHOWDOWN STRATEGY

NC Dinos

After a couple strong starts to open his season, Mike Wright ($16,500 CP/$11,000) makes his third start of the season. Even though a matchup against the Bears isn’t ideal, the Dinos are favored in this game and Wright is averaging 18.5 DKFP. I think he’s pretty likely to be the highest scoring fantasy player in this game, so he’s my top choice for the Captain’s spot. Not only is his production through two starts encouraging, but the Dinos have let Wright work fairly deep into games. Most pitchers have been handled cautiously to open the season and Wright is averaging nearly 100 pitches per game.

Coming into the season, Aaron Altherr ($10,000) was a player I had pegged to have a ton of power success in the KBO. In the MLB, he flashed great power, but was never able to carve out a consistent role due to his strikeout rate. In a league without many strikeouts like the KBO, I thought this issue could be fixed, allowing his power to shine. Instead, he’s striking out as much as ever, whiffing 12 times this season while drawing just one walk. Altherr did homer yesterday, but I don’t really want to roster him until he starts making contact consistently or his price comes down.

Sung Bum Na ($7,600) has been a bit too cheap in all formats this season. He missed almost all of last season with a leg injury, leading to him opening the season at close to min price. There was some concern that Na would take time to rebound, but those worries were put to rest when he homered on Opening Day. Since then, Na has continued to rake. He’s averaging 10.6 DKFP and has hit four homers this season.

An injury to keep an eye on, Eui Ji Yang ($9,200) has battled a hamstring injury over the past week. This has led to him being in and out of the lineup. If playing, he makes for a fine option. If he is unable to play, we can expect another start from Jin Sung Kang ($4,600). If this is the case, he makes for an excellent value play at a really cheap price. In limited plate appearances this season, Kang has hit three homers and is batting .467. Even though these numbers will regress, his price tag is much too cheap for this kind of production.


Doosan Bears

Of the two starting pitchers in this game, Young Ha Lee ($9,600) is the weaker option. Overall, he’s been solid. Lee has a 2.38 ERA and averages 12.1 DKFP. This makes him a viable option, although I don’t think he’s a must play. The Dinos have been the best team in the KBO thus far, putting Lee in a brutally tough matchup. He also doesn’t have a ton of strikeout upside since he only has six total strikeouts in his first couple of starts. Play him if he fits into lineups, but don’t go out of your way to jam him in as an underdog against a potent offense.

While Jose Fernandez ($10,800) is having a great season and is the top fantasy hitter in this game, his price tag is pretty steep. Rostering him could come with the opportunity cost of not being able to roster a starting pitcher in this contest. Instead, I am going to look to roster some of the upside bats that are a bit cheaper in this contest. In this vain, one player that stands out is Jae Il Oh ($8,200). The Bears’ slugging first baseman is averaging 12.9 DKFP and has a .404 batting average. Considering that he’s reached base in every game this season and has double-digit DKFP in six of his past seven games, he should be a bit more expensive.

As a bargain bin bit, we can’t do much better in this contest than Joo Hwan Choi ($4,400). Nearly min price, Choi has at least a dozen DKFP in three of his past five games and has at least 5.0 DKFP in five straight games. Overall, he’s averaging 8.7 DKFP and is yet to be held off the stat sheet in a game this season.

Another hot bat to consider for cheap, Kyoung Min Hur ($6,200) has been one the most productive third basemen in the KBO. He comes into this slate with seven hits in his past three games, averaging 16.3 DKFP over this stretch. Kur has scored at least 5.0 DKFP in six of his past seven games.


THE OUTCOME

At his point, it’s hard to pick against the Dinos. The Bears have historically been the powerhouse of the KBO, but the Dinos are off to a 10-1 start. The have the best record in the league and a three-game lead over the Bears in the standings. No matter who wins, this should be a great game since these two teams appear to be the cream of the crop. The Dinos are slight favorites for good reason and should have the starting pitching advantage.

Final Score: Dinos 5, Bears 4 


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.