MLB-Value-Picks

There are nine games on Monday’s fantasy baseball slate as the MLB starts the first full work week in May. All nine games are the start of a new series, including some unusual matchups like the Diamondbacks visiting the Rays and just one divisional series as the Orioles host the Red Sox.

As you put together your team from the 18 lineups on the board Monday, make sure to consider these five value plays, who offer solid upside but still are available at affordable salaries. I think they’re set up to out-perform their price based on their form, matchup and expected opportunity.

SP JHOULYS CHACIN, MIL vs. WAS, $6,900

Chacin and the Brewers catch the Nationals at a good time since Washington’s lineup has been depleted by injuries. Juan Soto (back), Anthony Redon (elbow), Ryan Zimmerman (foot) and Trea Turner (finger) are all on IL, and the Nationals’ makeshift lineup has managed just 21 runs over the past seven games while hitting .215.

The Brewers gave Chacin their Opening Day nod but he has been very inconsistent over his seven starts and enters this outing 3-3 with a 5.24 ERA. However, he did look sharp in his most recent outing, going six scoreless innings against the Rockies, and he has been much better at home than on the road. In his three home starts, he is 2-0 with a 2.76 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 16 1/3 innings. He doesn’t typically pile up Ks but should offer solid innings and decent production as he goes head-to-head with Max Scherzer ($10,000).


SP MARTÍN PÉREZ, MIN at TOR, $6,600

Pérez developed a cutter this offseason and bumped up his velocity with some mechanical changes. The results have been apparent in his first four starts of the year. He has allowed more than one run in just one of those four starts and has picked up wins in each of his past three outings while lowering his ERA to 3.41 with a 1.40 WHIP.

In his most recent start, Pérez shut down the Astros, earning 32.4 DKFP by going eight shutout innings with four hits allowed and seven strikeouts. He and the Twins start their week with a series in Toronto against the Blue Jays, who have scored the sixth-fewest runs in the Majors this season and just 16 runs in their past six games while hitting .211 as a team.


OF FRAMIL REYES, SD vs. NYM, $3,600

Reyes has settled into the second spot in the Padres’ order nicely, hitting .364 with five home runs and a 1.120 OPS when hitting second in the lineup. Over the past week, he has gone 11-for-29 (.379) with two doubles, three homers and a 1.126 OPS.

Last season, Reyes flashed most of his power against lefties but has hit all nine home runs off of right-handed pitching this season. He gets a tough matchup against righty Jacob deGrom ($10,200) in the late game tonight, but he’s swinging a hot enough bat that he’s still my favorite bargain OF play on the slate.


1B/3B MARTÍN PRADO, MIA at CHC, $3,300

Prado usually moves up to the second spot in the Marlins’ batting order when they take on a lefty like Cole Hamels ($9,000), who they face Monday. Miami’s lineup has been underwhelming for most of the season but there is still some potential value in the right matchup.

Prado is one of the few veterans in the lineup and has hit .288 overall but has had better success against lefties. He is 8-for-24 (.333) with a .763 OPS against lefties this season and also has a solid track record against Hamels. In their previous meetings, Prado has gone 23-for-72 (.319) with five doubles, two homers and a .819 OPS against the veteran southpaw.


2B/OF STEVIE WILKERSON, BAL VS. BOS, $2,900

Wilkerson was out of the Orioles’ lineup Sunday but likely will return as the O’s go up against Josh Smith ($4,000) and the Red Sox. Wilkerson has gone 10-for-36 (.278) in his 11 games since being called up and has hit safely in each of his past eight starts. In his four games this month, Wilkerson is 6-for-15 (.400) with a double, a home run and four RBI.

If you need to save salary, Wilkerson is a nice option who costs under $3K. He has a solid matchup against Smith and what mostly should be a bullpen day for Boston. The 27-year-old isn’t viewed as a long-term prospect but is getting enough playing time and chipping in enough hits to be a bargain option.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Z.Thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on.  Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.