Monday evening’s MLB main slate is just seven games, but we have some really strong spots to stack. Here are the offenses with the most upside.
It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
1. CHICAGO CUBSThe Cubs are projected for 6.1 runs, hosting Julio Teheran ($8,100) and the Braves. Teheran’s been solid this season, with a 3.65 ERA in nine road starts. He pitched five innings allowing just one run to the Cubs earlier in the season, but that was down in Atlanta. Conditions at Wrigley Field look like we should have some strong wind blowing out of the ballpark, leading to a spike in home runs.
The Cubs have picked up their scoring output at home recently, scoring five or more in three of their last five games, including seven runs a piece in two of those outings. Between Teheran and Atlanta’s fifth-ranked bullpen, the Cubs don’t have an easy matchup here. But the ballpark conditions, combined with the affordability of these bats has them in a tremendous spot.
Players to ConsiderAnthony Rizzo ($4,600)
Kris Bryant ($4,500)
Javier Baez ($4,300)
Kyle Schwarber ($3,900)
Jason Heyward ($3,500)
Carlos Gonzalez ($2,700)
2. NEW YORK YANKEESThe Yankees have a slate-high 6.5-run projection, and are a safer options than the Cubs. However, the significantly higher price tag on these bats makes them a little less valuable. On pure upside, the Yankees are in the strongest position on the slate, at home against Aaron Sanchez ($4,500) and the Blue Jays. Sanchez has a 6.08 ERA on the road this season, and Toronto’s bullpen ranks below average.
The real story here is that the Yankees finally are healthy, and have rolled out the lineup we expected to see all season for just a few days in a row now. This lineup has by far the highest ceiling in baseball, particularly against subpar pitching. Already averaging 5.52 runs per game, this lineup’s avenging 7.17 runs per game over its last six games. Expect more of the same for this entire series against the Jays.
Players to ConsiderGary Sanchez ($5,600)
DJ LeMahieu ($5,100)
Giancarlo Stanton ($4,500)
Aaron Hicks ($3,900)
(Seriously, all nine bats are in play here)
EDITOR’S NOTE: Encarnacion and Judge are not in the starting lineup tonight.
3. CLEVELAND INDIANSKeep an eye on weather concerns in Cleveland, but the Indians are in a strong spot against Brad Keller ($6,000) and the Royals. While Keller did defeat the Indians earlier in the year, he did so in Kansas City, where he’s been a much better pitcher. Keller’s ERA drops to 4.85 on the road, and he’s backed up by the 22nd-ranked bullpen in baseball.
The Indians have had a little resurgence on offense, scoring seven or more runs in five of their last eight games. While the season-long numbers are still ugly, this is one of the hotter offenses right now, but the slow start to the season’s held salaries in check. With a 5.7-run projection, the Indians are too cheap.
Players to ConsiderOscar Mercado ($5,100)
Carlos Santana ($5,100)
Francisco Lindor ($4,900)
Jason Kipnis ($4,000)
Tyler Naquin ($3,600)
Jake Bauers ($3,600)
4. PHILADELPHIA PHILLIESAfter a tough sweep at the hands of the Marlins over the weekend, the Phillies need to start making up some ground. Fortunately the Mets are in the headlines for all the wrong reasons yet again, as they head to Philly for a big series in the division. The Mets will send to the mound Steven Matz ($6,700), who hasn’t been good on the road, or against the Phillies this season.
Matz has a 6.21 ERA in his road starts, and has given up nine runs in six innings in his two starts against the Phillies. The Mets bullpen, which was the reason for Sunday’s clubhouse altercations after another late collapse, has been a dumpster fire all season, and is only getting worse. Philly’s been a significantly better offense at home this season, and is projected for 5.4 runs in this one. This is a high-upside spot, with the potential to take advantage of the Mets when they’re down.
Players to ConsiderScott Kingery ($4,800)
Bryce Harper ($4,500)
Rhys Hoskins ($4,500)
Jay Bruce ($4,400)
J.T. Realmuto ($3,900)
Jean Segura ($3,900)
5. ATLANTA BRAVESJon Lester ($7,600) will be on the mound for the Cubs, who’ve also seemed to turn things around in the bullpen. Like the Braves pitching, I don’t have too many bad things to say about the Cubs. Lester gave up just two runs in six innings in his lone start against Atlanta this season, although they were both on solo home runs.
While Lester’s been much better at home (2.76 ERA), he hasn’t been good over the last month (6.44 ERA). The Braves are projected for 5.5 runs in this game, and have the power from the right side of the plate to take advantage of the wind and get some balls to fly out of the park. This is another example of taking advantage of a situation on a short slate, when options become more limited.
Players to ConsiderFreddie Freeman ($5,400)
Austin Riley ($5,300)
Ronald Acuna Jr. ($4,800)
Josh Donaldson ($4,300)
Nick Markakis ($3,600)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.