Monday’s fantasy baseball slate give us nine games with a few potential pitching duels on it. Nonetheless, we still have some high-powered offenses, along with more sneaky stacks to consider. Here’s what stands out.
It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
1. BOSTON RED SOX
Boston’s offense finally has come to life, bringing its average up to five runs per game on the season. The Red Sox arguably have been baseball’s hottest offense over the past week, averaging 7.9 runs per game in the past seven games.
Baltimore LHP John Means ($7,500) has been a pleasant surprise this season, posting a 2.81 ERA in eight outings — four of them starts. He only allowed one run in five innings against Boston this season, but it still turned into a 4-0 loss for the Orioles. With the way the Red Sox are rolling on offense right now, we can expect more of a 2018-type of production at Camden Yards. When Means faced this offense last season, he got blasted for five runs, failing to make it out of the fourth inning of an eventual 19-3 loss. With a 5.4-run projection, Boston has the most upside on this slate if you can afford the bats.
Players to ConsiderMookie Betts ($5,500)
J.D. Martinez ($5,100)
Andrew Benintendi ($4,900)
Michael Chavis ($4,900)
Xander Bogaerts ($4,800)
Steve Pearce ($3,600)
2. HOUSTON ASTROS
The Astros heated up in a pair of victories against the Angels over the weekend, dropping 24 total runs in two games. Houston now has scored 10 or more runs in three of its past five games and averages 5.4 runs at home this season. The ‘Stros are projected for 5.1 runs at home tonight but get a favorable matchup against Royals RHP Jake Junis ($7,300).
Junis has been having a below-average year by his standards and has a 5.12 ERA through his first seven starts. He’s been really strong against the Rays this season, beating them in each of his past two starts (his two best of the season). If you take Tampa out of the equation, Junis has a 6.26 ERA. In a limited sample, the Astros have smashed Junis, with bats going 17-for-41 (.415) against him . He gave up six runs in 5 1/3 innings against Houston last season.
Players to ConsiderGeorge Springer ($5,700)
Alex Bregman ($5,000)
Michael Brantley ($4,900)
Carlos Correa ($4,700)
Jose Altuve ($4,400)
Josh Reddick ($3,900)
3. BALTIMORE ORIOLES
The Red Sox are going with a bullpen game here in Baltimore, as Josh Smith ($4,000) will get the nod to start. Smith’s pitched only one inning in the majors this season and has started just two games in his past 59 appearances since the beginning of 2016. Smith has a 5.26 ERA for his career and failed as a starter as a rookie back in 2015. Smith started seven of his nine appearances in 2015 but racked up a 6.89 ERA.
Smith should only last a few innings in this one, but the Orioles will have a chance to get to him. Boston’s bullpen is much improved of late, so that will cap Baltimore’s upside. The O’s still are projected for 4.2 runs, though, and average 4.4 at home. If anything, this is a nice place to find value bats to pair with your pricey Boston bats and stack the full game.
Players to ConsiderTrey Mancini ($4,900)
Dwight Smith Jr. ($4,900)
Jonathan Villar ($4,600)
Renato Nunez ($4,000)
Rio Ruiz ($3,400)
Chris Davis ($3,100)
4. ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
The Cardinals are coming off a tough road trip but had a slight bounce-back offensively towards the end, scoring five runs in each of their past two losses. Now they’ll return home, where they’re averaging 5.7 runs per game, to face RHP Vince Velasquez ($8,800) and the Phillies.
Velasquez has been solid through six outings (five starts), with a 2.73 ERA, but he hasn’t faced many tough lineups yet. He should be due for some regression, as his 4.48 career ERA suggests. Meanwhile, the Cards have been smashing pitchers from either side of the plate at home, which has them projected for 4.7 runs. On a slate without as many viable stacking options, the upside St. Louis has shown at home is worth targeting.
Players to ConsiderMarcell Ozuna ($5,000)
Paul DeJong ($4,900)
Paul Goldschmidt ($4,300)
Jose Martinez ($4,300)
Kolten Wong ($4,100)
Matt Carpenter ($3,800)
5. TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa’s been sliding off a little bit from an offensive perspective, and I’m concerned about targeting it at home. The Rays are averaging five runs per game away from home, and doing far less damage in Tampa — just four runs per game. But they have a solid matchup against RHP Merrill Kelly ($7,800) and the Diamondbacks, so it’s worth pursuing their 4.5-run projection on this slate.
Kelly’s made the first six starts of his career this season, and while he’s been good at home in half of them (2.95 ERA), he’s struggled during the three on the road (4.32). Both sides of the dish are hitting Kelly pretty evenly, so let’s see if the Rays finally can get some momentum going at home.
Players to ConsiderBrandon Lowe ($4,800)
Tommy Pham ($4,500)
Yandy Diaz ($4,400)
Ji-Man Choi ($4,000)
Kevin Kiermaier ($4,000)
Nate Lowe ($3,600)
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