Tuesday’s 12-game slate has a lot of spots with high projected run totals. Here are my top-five offenses to target for stacking purposes.
It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
EDITOR’S NOTE: Tonight’s game between the White Sox and Royals has been removed from the main slate due to scheduling issues.
1. COLORADO ROCKIES
We’ll need to watch out for weather at Coors Field, but the Rockies are in the best spot on this slate if we get a full game here. Colorado scored just four runs in the series opener against Arizona but had scored at least five runs in each of the seven previous games, which includes road games. The Rockies are averaging over six runs per game at Coors, and have a favorable matchup against Merrill Kelly ($5,800).
Kelly’s been a completely different pitcher on the road this season, as his 2.64 ERA at home jumps all the way to a 7.66 ERA on the road. Kelly has relatively even splits in his young career, so we can trust bats from both sides of the plate. With the Rockies projected for 6.5 runs, this is the most difficult matchup of Kelly’s career.
Players to ConsiderNolan Arenado ($5,900)
Trevor Story ($5,500)
Daniel Murphy ($4,500)
Raimel Tapia ($4,300)
David Dahl ($4,200)
2. PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
The Phillies are projected for 5.3 runs at home, which is almost exactly what they’ve averaged in Philly this season. The matchup against Adam Wainwright ($6,700) is a good one, to begin with, but is enhanced with the Cardinals playing away from home. Wainwright has a 6.75 ERA in five road starts, giving up home runs at almost twice the rate he does in St. Louis.
The Phillies are coming off just one run in their series finale against the Brewers on Sunday but scored 22 total runs in their previous three games. Some key members of Philly’s lineup have had success against Wainwright in the past, with Bryce Harper ($4,300) and Jean Segura ($4,700) both hitting .450 or better.
Players to ConsiderRhys Hoskins ($4,800)
J.T. Realmuto ($4,800)
Andrew McCutchen ($4,700)
Jean Segura ($4,700)
Bryce Harper ($4,300)
3. OAKLAND ATHLETICS
The Angels will send Nick Tropeano ($7,400) to the mound in Oakland after using an opener, where the A’s are projected for over five runs. Tropeano will be making his season debut, after returning from missing the entire 2017 season to post a 4.74 ERA in 14 starts last season.
Tropeano’s pretty inexperienced, and the Angels bullpen has been on a downfall over the last month. A top-10 bullpen early in the season, Los Angeles’ pen now ranks 19th in the majors. Oakland scored eight runs in the first game of the series on Monday, which marked its seventh straight game of five or more runs. Look for this offense to stay hot against a rusty pitcher, with a struggling bullpen behind him.
Players to ConsiderMatt Chapman ($4,300)
Marcus Semien ($4,000)
Matt Olson ($4,000)
Make Canha ($4,000)
Robbie Grossman ($3,800)
Stephen Piscotty ($3,700)
4. HOUSTON ASTROS
The Astros don’t have an easy matchup against Jon Lester ($7,500), but even with some major injuries, these bats are just too cheap. The Astros began the series against the Cubs by scoring six runs at home, where they’re averaging 5.25 runs per game. The ‘Stros are projected for just under five runs in this one, but with no bats over $4,800, and some extremely cheap bats in the order, this could be a spot to find some value.
While Lester has allowed 14 earned runs in 47 innings this season, that doesn’t tell the full story — 20 total runs have crossed the plate while he’s been on the mound. The Cubs have stepped up in the bullpen to become a top-10 unit, but these Houston bats have a great chance to get to Lester early, especially the RHBs.
Players to ConsiderAlex Bregman ($4,800)
Michael Brantley ($4,300)
Yuli Gurriel ($3,200)
Jack Mayfield ($2,000)
5. SEATTLE MARINERS
Seattle’s offense has fallen off since its hot start and also has been more productive on the road. However, this matchup against Jesse Chavez ($5,000) and the Rangers is too good to pass up, even at home. Chavis has appeared in 23 games this season, but only started twice. He has a 4.55 ERA, and actually faced Seattle twice already, although only for 2 2/3 innings.
The Mariners managed six runs against Texas in the first game of the series, and will essentially be facing the bullpen in this game (it’d be surprising if Chavez lasts two innings). The Rangers bullpen ranks just 25th in baseball, and has a 4.96 ERA this season. Look for Seattle to continue to success it had to open the series.
Players to ConsiderDan Vogelbach ($5,200)
Edwin Encarnacion ($4,600)
Domingo Santana ($4,600)
Omar Narvaez ($4,400)
Kyle Seager ($3,700)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.