It’s important to note that you should always keep an eye on the news and lineup notes from @DKLive in order to best prepare for each slate. In addition, feel free to get at me on Twitter with any questions — @julianedlow.
1. TEXAS RANGERS
The Rangers are projected for a slate-high 6.3 runs, hosting Reynaldo Lopez ($5,800) and the White Sox. Texas is averaging 5.7 runs per game this season, and have a perfect matchup to exceed that number. Lopez has a 6.31 ERA on the season, and it spikes to 7.28 in his six road starts.
Lopez is on the worst stretch of the year so far, with an 8.88 ERA over the last 30 days, while giving up a home run almost every three innings. The opposition’s scored between seven and 11 runs in four of his last five starts, and this is one of the most difficult spots he’s found himself in all season, with a ballpark working against him as well. Chicago’s bullpen once ranked in the top-10 this season, but he has been slightly below average over the past two weeks, meaning we should continue to see production once Lopez is knocked out of the game — he rarely makes it beyond the sixth inning.
Players to ConsiderShin-Soo Choo ($5,000)
Willie Calhoun ($4,500)
Nomar Mazara ($4,300)
Asdrubal Cabrera ($4,100)
Rougned Odor ($4,000)
Ronald Guzman ($3,700)
2. MINNESOTA TWINS
The Twins were a huge disappointment on Thursday, scoring just one run in the series opener in Kansas City. The bats will look to heat up on Friday, projected for just shy of six runs against Jake Junis ($6,300). Junis has a 5.33 ERA through 15 starts, and he has actually been worse at home. He faced the Twins in his last start and lasted 3 2/3 innings, although he let in just two runs in an eventual 8-6 win.
Minnesota is baseball’s top-ranked offense at 5.76 runs per game, and they’ve been even better on the road, averaging and insane 6.49 runs per game. The Twins have crushed RHP all season, and also have the opportunity to face the Royals’ 22nd-ranked bullpen. This should be a bounce-back spot for these suddenly quiet bats.
Players to ConsiderNelson Cruz ($5,200)
Max Kepler ($5,000)
Jorge Polanco ($4,600)
Eddie Rosario ($4,600)
C.J. Cron ($4,400)
Miguel Sano ($4,200)
3. BOSTON RED SOX
The Red Sox return home to the friendly confines of Fenway Park following an extremely successful road trip, now having scored seven or more runs in five of their last seven games. This offense, now averaging 5.37 runs per game, seems to be rounding into form, yet the bats remain relatively affordable. Boston’s projected for 5.7 runs on Friday, hosting Trent Thornton ($7,100) and the Blue Jays.
Thornton’s been a mediocre starter for Toronto, with a 4.36 ERA in his rookie campaign. The Jays have been letting runs in as a team, though, surrendering 29 total runs to the Angels in their most recent four-game series. The bullpen’s been coming undone for the Jays, and Boston’s bats come at a very fair price for the upside they have.
Players to ConsiderXander Bogaerts ($5,200)
J.D. Martinez ($5,100)
Mookie Betts ($5,000)
Andrew Benintendi ($4,700)
Brock Holt ($4,100)
Jackie Bradley Jr. ($3,800)
4. CHICAGO WHITE SOX
The White Sox are in a strong spot as the visitors in Texas, projected for 5.3 runs against Ariel Jurado ($6,500). Jurado’s having a solid season on the whole, but he has fallen apart in his last three starts, giving up 13 runs in 15 innings — 7.80 ERA. Texas’ 20th-ranked bullpen leaves plenty of upside for Chicago’s offense, as Jurado generally doesn’t pitch deep into games.
While the White Sox rank just 24th offensively, we just saw the 22nd-ranked Indians come into Texas and score 10 runs on two occasions. The bats come at a relatively affordable price here, and the RHB-heavy lineup should actually be a bonus. Jurado has reverse splits, and RHBs are hitting .330 against him with five of his six homers allowed.
Players to ConsiderYoan Moncada ($5,000)
James McCann ($4,800)
Eloy Jimenez ($4,800)
Jose Abreu ($4,700)
Tim Anderson ($4,700)
Leury Garcia ($4,500)
5. SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
The Giants could be a sneaky little stack on this slate when they visit Taylor Clarke ($6,800) and the Diamondbacks. San Francisco’s projected for close to five runs in this one, but the bats always come at an extreme discount because of the park they play in along with their 28th-ranked offense. However, the Giants have been more than a full run better on the road, averaging 4.41 runs per game away from home.
While Clarke did get a win in San Fran back in May, the Diamondbacks still gave up four runs in that outing. Clarke hasn’t been great in his first season in the majors, with a 5.34 ERA and a below average bullpen working behind him. The Giants have proven they can score in the right situations, going for eight runs on Thursday against the Dodgers. With the discount we’re getting on this lineup, there’s a lot of value in stacking here.
Players to ConsiderPablo Sandoval ($4,500) Q
Brandon Belt ($4,000)
Evan Longoria ($3,800)
Joe Panik ($3,400)
Buster Posey ($3,400)
Brandon Crawford ($3,100)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.