Monday features a 12-game slate of fantasy baseball starting at 7:05 p.m ET. As you prepare, make sure to be following @DKLive for the latest MLB news updates and lineup information. As always, you can reach me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Top PitcherCorey Kluber, CLE vs. CWS – $10,900 – Kluber and the Indians opened up as the big favorites today as they once again take on the White Sox. Kluber recently wiped the floor with this team, pitching eight shutout innings, allowing three runs on eight hits while striking out 11 for 32 DKFP. Overall against this club, he’s averaged 33.4 DKFP in three starts, spanning 21 innings and a K/9 of 12. I think I’ve made it quite clear in the past that I’m not a huge fan of taking Kluber ever, as he’s burned me one too many times. Nonetheless, he’s completely dominated this club, so it’s hard not to like him in this spot at $10,900. The White Sox enter this game with a .301 wOBA over the past two weeks to go with a .169 ISO and a 26.8 K%, which ranks third in the league during that span.
Highest TotalsPHI vs. COL – 11 runs – The Phillies travel to Coors Field for a series starting tonight, with the Rockies opening with a team total of 6.0 runs. They’ll be facing Zach Eflin ($6,900), who has had quite the five-game span. Over those starts, he’s ranged in outcomes from -0.1 to 30 DKFP. The knock against Eflin has been his issue against lefties, as he sports a .353 wOBA with a 4.38 FIP and a 31% hard-hit rate. He hasn’t allowed a ton of home runs, but nine of his 16 have been hit by lefties. The problem is, the Rockies haven’t exactly been hitting the ball well lately, as they sport just a .298 wOBA with a .104 ISO and a 23 K%. I think this is a decent spot for them and I would have some shares of their lefties, but I won’t be going overboard here. As you’d expect, David Dahl ($5,000), Charlie Blackmon ($5,200) and Carlos Gonzalez ($4,300) have been the most productive lefties in these matchups at Coors Field.
Weather ConcernsMIA @ WAS (Nationals Park) – Ugly night of weather ahead as rain is expected all throughout the evening. Depending on how it turns out, they do have the potential to at least get this game in at some point but the outlook isn’t good. This will need another look later tonight.
Park FactorsCoors Field – PHI vs. COL – Coors Field tops our list as the most favorable ballpark for tonight as they host the Phillies. All offensive categories are favored here.
Chase Field – LAD vs. ARI – Chase Field is our second most favorable ballpark for tonight as they host the Dodgers. All offensive categories are favored here.
Angel Stadium – TEX vs. LAA – The Rangers travel to our worst offensive ballpark tonight at Angel Stadium. As you’d expect no offensive categories are favored here.
Busch Stadium – MIL vs. STL – Busch Stadium is our second worst offensive ballpark tonight at the host the Brewers. Like Angel Stadium, no offensive categories are favored here.
Splits to Start
Pitchers vs. Left-Handed Batters
|Worst vs. LHB||OPS||AVG||Best vs. LHB||OPS||AVG|
|Dylan Bundy||.934||.316||Derek Holland||.465||.178|
|James Paxton||.895||.333||Robbie Ray||.481||.131|
|Bryan Mitchell||.871||.274||Jack Flaherty||.589||.189|
Pitchers vs. Right-Handed Batters
|Worst vs. RHB||OPS||AVG||Best vs. RHB||OPS||AVG|
|Bryan Mitchell||.939||.329||Corey Kluber||.575||.244|
|Marco Estrada||.923||.302||Clayton Kershaw||.588||.213|
|Chase Anderson||.785||.239||Jameson Taillon||.606||.222|
Batter vs. Pitcher Splits
|Javier Baez||Jameson Taillon||16||3.87|
|Anthony Rizzo||Jameson Taillon||18||3.16|
|Matt Kemp||Robbie Ray||16||3|
(Fantasy Points Per At Bat)*
Pitcher to Build AroundJack Flaherty – STL vs. MIL – $9,100 – Flaherty faces a Brewers club he’s completely dominated in three starts this season. Through 18 innings, he’s allowed just two runs on 10 hits with a remarkable 29 strikeouts, which is good for K/9 of 14.5. This is a huge game for the Cardinals as they try to fend off the Rockies for the second Wild Card spot in the National League. Because of this, Flaherty DOES carry some risk if this start goes south, he could get an early hook. With that being said, I do like the huge discount we get from Flaherty over Kluber, as this is a slate I’m looking at some heavy bats to pay up for.
Heavy Hitter to Pay ForAndrew Benintendi – BOS vs. BAL – $4,800 – Orioles SP Dylan Bundy ($7,600) simply can’t get left-handed bats out, so this makes this quite an attractive spot for Benintendi. On the year, Bundy has a .397 wOBA with a 5.67 FIP with 17 of his 38 home runs allowed. Then we mix in the fact that Benintendi at home against righties owns a .383 wOBA with a .194 ISO and you have yourself quite the matchup. I think the Red Sox are in a great spot tonight against the extremely volatile Bundy.
Save Big by Drafting…Matt Kemp – LAD vs. ARI – $3,900 – I feel like this is just a perfect storm for Kemp to have a good game here. First, we have Kemp’s numbers on the road against lefties, which are a .342 wOBA with a .244 ISO. THEN we have Ray at home, which hasn’t turned out very well for him. Ray has a .387 wOBA against righties at Chase Field with a 6.01 FIP. AND THEN we have the BvP, baby! Kemp is 7-for-16 lifetime against Ray with two home runs and two doubles. Kemp, anyone?
Stack Em UpHOU vs. TOR (Marco Estrada) – It really says something when you’ve made 27 starts on the year and have the cheapest salary of all the 24 starting pitchers. It’s been a complete cluster for Estrada since the All-Star break, or all season long, however you want to put it. But since the ASB, Estrada has a .376 wOBA with a 6.60 FIP with 12 of his 27 home runs allowed. The Astros feel like an easy team to choose for a stack here.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.