Fantasy Baseball Cheat Sheet: May 15 MLB Slate Breakdown

Tuesday brings along a loaded 14-game MLB slate with a handful of weather concerns, so keep an eye on that while building our fantasy baseball lineups. Let’s get into all the information you’ll need for tonight and as always, you can reach me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.

Game Notes

Top Pitcher

Eduardo Rodriguez, BOS vs. OAK, $9,200 — Rodriguez, in my opinion, is surprisingly the largest favorite on this 14-game slate as he takes on the Athletics. He’s having a decent season thus far, averaging 17.7 DKFP with an 11.3 K/9. This A’s club has been good against lefties, sporting a .332 wOBA (14th) with a .168 ISO (15th). The strikeout potential is high here, as the A’s own a 23 K% (13th). I worry the situation considering how well the A’s hit on the road, and if Rodriguez isn’t on, he can get knocked around easily, especially at Fenway Park. He also owns a massive jump in salary, as he’s gone from $6,700 in his previous start to $9,200 tonight. I think Rodriguez is best suited for GPPs, as the matchup is too risky for cash games.

Highest Totals

OAK vs. BOS, 10 runs — This game also sports one of the highest combined run totals, as the Red Sox opened with a 5.5 total. Since this morning, that total has jumped up to 5.8 runs against Daniel Mengden. Of his eight starts, he’s pitched just two on the road, where he’s allowed nine runs on 13 hits through just 7 1/3 innings with 6:1 K:BB ratio. Mengden has been having a rough go against righties especially, with a .386 wOBA and a 40.3 percent hard-hit rate thus far. With the Red Sox a more right-handed-heavy lineup, this could be a short night for the A’s starter.

PHI vs. BAL, 9.5 runs — This game opened with a 9.5 total but has since jumped up to 10, as the Phillies owned a 5.4 projection this morning. This is due to Andrew Cashner on the mound and the troubles he’s had this season. At Camden Yards, Cashner owns a .362 wOBA with six of his 10 home runs allowed. Over his past three starts, Cashner has not scored double-digit fantasy points, allowing 14 runs on 19 hits in 14 2/3 innings during that span. The Phillies should be able to handle Cashner in this spot, and they likely will be popular stack option on the evening as long as the weather holds up.

Weather Concerns

PHI vs. BAL (Camden Yards) — It looks like this game will start on time, but a huge line of storms will move through later on. This game is going to be risky and worth checking closer to game time.

CHW vs. PIT (PNC Park) — Rain in the forecast here as well but clears up as the night goes on. This looks like it will be a delay at the most, but they should be able to fit this one in.

NYY vs. WAS (Nationals Park) — Same as the other games, with heavier rains moving in as the night progresses. This game has a legitimate chance of being postponed, but they could try and squeeze it in due to the interleague matchup.

OAK vs. BOS (Fenway Park) — Boston is under a severe thunderstorm watch as storms are expected to roll in throughout the afternoon. It does clear out as the night progresses, so I feel as though they would wait it out to fit this game in.

CHC vs. ATL (SunTrust Park) — Rain starting right around first pitch, which will make for a messy night of baseball. Tough to really figure out how this one will play out, so it’s best to check out closer to first pitch.

Park Factors

Chase Field (MIL vs. ARI) — Chase Field checks in as our most favorable ballpark on the night. With the Diamondbacks hosting the Brewers, all offensive categories are favored here.

Fenway Park (OAK vs. BOS) — Fenway Park will be our second-most favorable ballpark if they can fit this game in due to rain. All offensive categories except home runs are favored here.

Citi Field (TOR vs. NYM) — Citi Field is our least favorable ballpark tonight as the Mets host the Blue Jays. As you’d expect, no offensive categories get the nod here.

Angel Stadium (HOU vs. LAA) — Angel Stadium is our second-worst ballpark for hitters tonight as the Astros are in town. Like Citi Field, no offensive categories favor hitters.

Splits to Start

Pitchers vs. Left-Handed Batters

Josh Tomlin1.232.400Francisco Liriano.312.081
Jaime Garcia.939.265Daniel Mengden.467.186
Andrew Cashner.909.267Gerrit Cole.475.163

Pitchers vs. Right-Handed Batters

Josh Tomlin1.011.286Gerrit Cole.459.149
Daniel Mengden.917.320Reynaldo Lopez.528.169
Mike Leake.912.292Alex Wood.559.195

Batter vs. Pitcher Splits

HitterOpposing SPABFP/AB*
Odubel HerreraAndrew Cashner142.71
Shin-Soo ChooMike Leake172.47
Victor MartinezJosh Tomlin292.27

*(Fantasy Points Per At Bat)

Lineup Starters

Pitcher to Build Around

Noah Syndergaard, NYM vs. TOR, $10,800 — The disadvantage for the Blue Jays in interleague action is they’ll be without a DH tonight, and they will play at Citi Field. They’ll have to take on Syndergaard, who sports a 10.4 K/9 on the season and a .320 wOBA with just a 25 hard-hit rate at home. The Blue Jays have been struggling at the plate of late and striking out a ton, owning a 28 K% over their past seven games. With Thor priced at $10,800, I think he’s more than worth paying up for in this matchup.

Heavy Hitter to Pay For

Jose Ramirez, CLE vs. DET, $5,100 — For someone that’s heading into this game averaging 16.1 DKFP over his past 10 games, Ramirez feels like a bargain at $5,100. Ramirez is 14-for-39 with five doubles, six home runs and 12 RBI in that 10-game span. He’ll take on Francisco Liriano, who owns a .333 wOBA with a 32 percent hard-hit rate against righties this year. With this being one of the safer weather games on the night, Ramirez should be a fine play.

Save Big by Drafting…

Asdrubal Cabrera, NYM vs. TOR, $3,900 — Targeting against Jaime Garcia is going to be a move I’ll be implementing on this slate. He enters this game with a .385 wOBA against righties with four of his eight home runs allowed and a 40.3 percent hard-hit rate. Cabrera has been one of the best hitters this season for the Mets, sporting a .364 wOBA against lefties with a .143 ISO and a 35.5 percent hard-hit rate.

Stack Em Up

CLE vs. DET (Francisco Liriano) — Liriano is always one bad inning away from a complete meltdown and has been shaky with his command. He sports a 4.4 BB/9 heading into this matchup and overall owns a 29:20 K:BB ratio. While his overall numbers look good, he’s had a soft schedule thus far, facing the Royals three times, Orioles twice, Rangers and Indians. I think with all the hot-hitting Indians this time around, Liriano won’t allow just two runs on three hits through six innings again.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.