With six games on tap this afternoon, we have plenty of players to choose from on this slate. I’ll break down some of my top plays this afternoon to get you ready. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Stephen Strasburg – WAS vs MIA – $13,000 – Strasburg had his best start of the season against this Marlins team earlier in the year. During that start, Strasburg pitched eight innings, allowing no runs on three hits with a 10:2 K:BB ratio. Coming into today, Strasburg is slightly above his career K/9 with a 10.6 after seven starts. While the Marlins own a good wOBA against righties, .329 and a low K% of 18.1%, it’s hard to shy away from this start here. If Strasburg went out the first time against the Marlins and only recored around four or five strikeouts, I’d be a little hesitant here. Since that wasn’t the case, I’m all over Stras.
Jose Quintana – CHW vs. NYY – $10,600 – But Steve, Jake Arrieta is pitching tonight! Did you forget!? I certainly did not. Even though he pithced well against the Pirates last time out, his K:BB ratio over his last couple starts concerns me at his high price tag. Thus, I’m taking Quintana as my other stud. He’s been a force for the White Sox, carrying a 1.38 ERA with a 0.99 WHIP and a K:BB ratio of 42:9. The Yankees continue to struggle against lefties with a .298 wOBA and a 19.6 K%. Quintana hasn’t allowed more than two runs earned runs in a single start this season with at least four strikeouts. This feels like a solid spot for the White Sox starting pitcher.
Matt Andriese – TBR vs. OAK – $7,700 – Honestly, we don’t have a ton of value in terms of pitching on this slate. I’m throwing in Andriese here because I feel like he has some of the best stuff in the value group. He has a fairly tough matchup against Oakland, who own a low .303 wOBA against righties, but they also own a 18.4 K%, which is one of the lowest in the league. This start will make it fairly hard for Andriese to have a solid score on the afternoon, but truly, I’m looking at my other options and not finding much else to choose from.
Jose Altuve (2B) – HOU vs. BOS – $5,500 – Altuve is the most expensive hitter on the slate, and it’s not hard to see why. Coming into this game, Altuve is batting .338 with nine home runs, 23 RBIs, and a 1.064 OPS. Over his last ten, Altuve is averaging 14.5 FPPG going 18-39 with five doubles, two home runs, nine RBIs, three stolen bases and 12 runs. Going up against someone as volatile as Clay Buchholz can always bring opportunities. Even though Clay has been solid against righties this season, owning a .275 wOBA against them, Altuve batting leadoff can set the table of the Astros, especially if Buchholz falters early.
Giancarlo Stanton (OF) – MIA vs WAS – $4,500 – Stanton is a rare breed that consistently hits Strasburg well. In his career, Stanton is 14-35 against Strasburg with seven doubles, three home runs, 10 RBIs and five walks. That comes out to a .400 average with a .857 SLG and 1.332 OPS. In what is perceived as a tough matchup and his high price tag, non-believers of BvP might shy away from this one.
Todd Frazier (3B) – CHW vs NYY – $4,800 – I feel like I’ve been saying that Frazier has been heating up for weeks now, even though his average remains at .217. With that said, Frazier is averaging 11.4 FPPG over his last ten games, going 8-38 with a double, four home runs, 14 RBIs, and seven walks. Even if he doesn’t hit for average, his power makes up for it. He faces off again Ivan Nova, who allows a career .337 wOBA against righties.
Ben Zobrist (2B) – CHC vs. PIT – $5,000 – Zobrist at $5,000 is crazy to me. I don’t mean that in a bad way either, because his production has been extremely solid. Coming into this afternoon, Zobrist is hitting .310 with five home runs, 28 RBIs and a .921 OPS. Zobrist is a switch hitter and owns a .441 wOBA against lefties with an ISO of .267 and an OPS Of 1.044. Hitting in this Cubs lineup continues to benefit Zobrist immensely.
David Ortiz (1B) – BOS vs. HOU – $5,200 – Opposing starting pitcher Colin McHugh has been getting lit up by lefties so far this season. He has posted a .397 wOBA against lefties with a .554 SLG and four home runs allowed. Ortiz currently owns a .453 wOBA against right-handed pitchers with a .379 ISO and 1.105 OPS. Ortiz is part of this killer Red Sox lineup that is mashing everything in sight right now, so getting exposure to this lineup will be key.
Evan Longoria (3B) – TBR vs OAK – $3,800 – Longoria is similar to Todd Frazier at this point – a batter who isn’t really hitting for average but has been getting plenty of extra base hits to make up for it. Coming into tonight, Longoria owns .444 SLG%, upping it to .500 over his last 10. He faces off against Kendall Graveman, who owns a .432 wOBA against righties this season, allowing six home runs to righties in six starts. Longoria, along with the rest of the Rays, aren’t that expensive to stack up either.
Kris Bryant (3B/OF) – CHC vs PIT – $4,800 – Bryant hasn’t hit 30 home runs yet this season, he’s sitting at six so far, but that doesn’t take away from his overall production. Averaging 9.5 FPPG, Bryant is hitting .284 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and a .857 OPS. With his matchup against Locke, who’s allowing a .375 wOBA against righties, Bryant can slot nicely into either your 3B or OF slot.
Mike Napoli (1B) – CLE vs MIN – $3,500 – To say that Napoli is on a hot streak might be an understatement. Over his last 10 games, Napoli is averaging 11.3 FPPG going 12-38 with four doubles, three home runs and 11 RBIs. Even better is his .606 SLG he owns at home. Facing off against Ervin Santana, Napoli owns a .350 wOBA against righties with a .277 ISO.
John Jaso (1B) – PIT vs CHC – $2,800 – So here’s the thing, starting someone against Jake Arrieta is usually not the best of ideas. On the flip side, if Arrieta falters, you’ll have someone at a very low ownership for next to nothing price wise. Arrieta has been fantastic overall, but he’s had less success against lefties than righties. Arrieta owns a .283 wOBA against lefties, compared to his .167 against righties. Jaso owns a .348 wOBA against righties with a .446 SLG. This is simply a punt play that COULD pay off at very low ownership.
Colby Rasmus (OF) – HOU vs BOS – $3,800 – Facing Clay Buchholz will always bring us plenty of opportunities, home runs included. Rasmus has been doing just that with seven bombs on the season. Buchholz owns a .401 wOBA against lefties allowing two of his six home runs to LHB. All of the power from Rasmus has come against righties, hitting all seven of his home runs in that situation. Owning a .341 wOBA against righties, Rasmus could be an essential part of the Astros lineup taking on Buchholz.
Brandon Guyer (OF) – TBR vs OAK – $3,200 – It’s been hard to tell when Guyer will draw a start, but he’s been getting a lot more chances as of late. Usually hitting near the top of the order, Guyer owns a .418 wOBA against righties with a .462 SLG. Going up against Graveman, who as I mentioned is struggling against righties with a .432 wOBA, Guyer could continue his solid production here in this spot.