With a short five game (potentially four if the Cubs/Phillies see rain) slate on tap, we certainly have to make our targets count. I break down some of my favorites for this afternoon to help you build those lineups. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24
Drew Pomeranz – SDP vs. ATL – $11,700 – I mean at this point, any pitcher going up against the Braves should be considered a stud at this point. Pomeranz gets the overall nod of approval from me today, as he comes into this game sporting a 2.22 ERA with a 1.05 WHIP while averaging 22.5 FPPG. This will be the first time this season Pomeranz faces the Braves, a team that is dead last in wOBA, SLG, and ISO against lefties. With the Braves also striking out at a decent clip now, owning a 23.2 K%, which is ranked 9th, this is a fantastic spot for Pomeranz. With such a short game slate and rain threatening the Cubs and Phillies game, Pomeranz could realistically be up to 90% owned across the board this afternoon.
Archie Bradley – ARZ vs. TBR – $7,700 – Bradley may not have the most attractive overall numbers, but he has most certainly shown flashes of brilliance this season, most notably his last two starts. In those two games taking on the Cubs and Padres, Bradley pitched 13.1 innings allowing four runs on eight hits with a 19:4 K:BB ratio. With an impending matchup against the Rays today, Bradley most certainly has the potential to have another game like these past two. The Rays own a .309 wOBA against righties, ranked 19th in the league, with a 25.3 K%, which ranks second. Bradley certainly has the ability to rack up some strikeouts, as seen in his previous two starts, so this spot for him could be another good one. I’m not a big fan of this taking place at Chase Field, but on such a short slate, I’m willing to look past it.
Paul Goldschmidt (1B) – ARZ vs. TBR – $5,000 – Not that Goldy is finally starting to heat up at the plate, it makes picking another first baseman tough to do. Averaging 11.4 FPPG over his last 10 games, Goldy has gone 12-33 over that span with four doubles, two home runs, seven RBIs with a 7:10 K:BB ratio. Facing Jake Odorizzi today, who owns a .333 wOBA against righties with seven of his nine home runs allowed, Goldy is in a prime spot to keep that streak going. Odorizzi has really struggled against righties on the road with a .354 wOBA, and playing at Chase Field is not going to help that today.
Miguel Cabrera (1B) – DET vs. TOR – $4,100 – Cabrera has been going through some extreme peaks and valleys this season, as he’s in a bit of a cooling off period once again. However, if there is ever a place where I will always consider taking Cabrera, it’s at home. He’s been absolutely raking at Comerica Park, owning an overall wOBA of .483 with a .704 SLG and a .455 OBP. Against righties at home, Cabrera sits at a .614 wOBA with a .958 SLG and a .532 OBP. He faces off against R.A. Dickey today, but at this point, the pitcher almost doesn’t matter for Cabrera at Comerica.
Ben Zobrist (2B) – CHC vs. PHI – $4,300 – Rain is having me worry about this game today, but if they can squeeze it in, Zobrist will be one of my top options. The switch hitter faces off against Vincent Velasquez, whom this Cubs team touched up for seven runs in just 4.2 innings just a week and a half ago. Zobrist owns a .397 wOBA against righties this season, improving to .420 on the road. He’s a nice option at second base, which is quite thin this afternoon, so be prepared for his ownership to be high.
Evan Longoria (3B) – TBR vs. ARZ – $5,200 – Yes, I do really like Bradley in this spot for today, but that doesn’t mean I can completely ignore what Longoria has been doing at the plate lately. Averaging a whopping 15.5 FPPG over his last 10, Longoria is 17-38 over that span with three doubles, six home runs, 14 RBIs and a 8:5 K:BB ratio. Bradley has been great against righties so far this season, holding them to a .263 wOBA and a .356 SLG. However, I feel as though the hot streak may end up prevailing in this matchup with how hot Longoria is hitting. He’s the most expensive hitter on the slate today but one that could be worth paying those big bucks for.
. . . he continues to hit the ball extremely well”
Victor Martinez (1B) – DET vs. TOR – $4,000 – It’s so easy to leave Martinez on the board simply because if you’re making a Tigers stack, you’ll want to include Miguel Cabrera. The tough part is, you could really make a case for Martinez, as he continues to hit the ball extremely well. Against righties this season, Martinez owns a .401 wOBA with a .567 SLG and an ISO of .213. Dickey has been great on the road this season, but guys like Martinez and Cabrera are seeing the ball really well right now.
Josh Donaldson (3B) – TOR vs. DET – $4,200 – I’m not thrilled with this matchup for Donaldson, even with Jordan Zimmermann coming back to Earth after his scorching hot month of April. While Zimmermann hasn’t been cruising as much as he was in the beginning of the season, he isn’t giving up many home runs, with six total on the season. If anyone can add to that total though, it will be Donaldson. With 10 of his 13 home runs coming against righties and a .343 wOBA, Donaldson is certainly someone to consider.
Cameron Maybin (OF) – DET vs. TOR – $3,600 – I keep waiting for Maybin to cool off, but it’s just not happening. Hitting .419 on the season, Maybin has been fantastic since the Tigers acquired him. Hitting leadoff, Maybin owns a .359 wOBA against righties with a .418 OBP. Besides setting the table for the Tigers hitters, Maybin has also stole a few bases in 21 games, with four to his name this season. At $3,600, Maybin continues to be one of the top value plays each day.
Corey Dickerson (OF) – TBR vs. ARZ – $3,600 – Well, Corey Dickerson has certainly shown that maybe his numbers were just a bit inflated by Coors Field, don’t you think? Hitting a measly .192 on the season, Dickerson is essentially been a player to start on the road and on the road only. Averaging 7.4 FPPG on the road compared to his 3.5 at home, Dickerson does own seven of his nine home runs on the road this season. Again, I feel like Bradley is in line for a good game here today, but getting some decent pop from a left-handed batter, who Bradley is struggling against, is not a bad idea. Bradley is allowing a .363 wOBA to lefties with a .467 SLG.
David Peralta (OF) – ARZ vs. TBR – $3,500 – After spending just about a month on the disabled list, Peralta joined back up with the Diamondbacks on Monday. Peralta is always one of my favorite value plays on any particular night, as he’s capable of doing it all and stuffing the stat sheet. Before going down with injury, Peralta owned a .391 wOBA at home against righties with a with three of his four home runs.