Wednesday brings us a nice five game slate that contains a game at Coors Field. With Stephen Strasburg taking the mound, does he stifle this potent Rockies lineup at home? I’ll get you set for today, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Chris Archer – TBR vs. SDP – $10,600 – This one feels like a no brainer, as we have the strikeout happy Padres against Chris Archer at home. I’ve mentioned before that I essentially don’t even touch Archer when he’s on the road, but at Tropicana Field is most certainly a spot I want to take him. Archer is averaging 21.9 FPPG at home this season with a 2.91 ERA, a 1.14 WHIP and a K/9 of 10.7. The Padres continue to strikeout at an alarming rate with a 24.2 K% against right-handed pitching, which ranks third in the league. Archer should be a fine play this afternoon in the comfort of Tropicana Field.
J.A. Happ – TOR vs. NYY – $10,900 – At first glance, this looks like it should be a great spot for Happ. He’ll face the new look New York Yankees tonight at Yankee Stadium, a team that has struggled against lefties all season long. On top of that, Happ has been tremendous on the mound this season, averaging 21.6 FPPG over his last five starts. On the other hand, I am worried about the lack of strikeout potential here, as the Yankees own a 17.4 K% against lefties, which ranks the third lowest in the league. In his three starts prior against the Yankees this season, Happ owns a 12:8 K:BB ratio, but hasn’t given up much offense with just three runs on 14 hits in 19 innings. I expect another game of sorts as indicated by his past performances.
Ivan Nova – PIT vs. SFG – $6,300 – This is the most I’ve talked about Ivan Nova the entire season, as I wrote up about him in his last start against the Giants as well. Nova will once against face off against San Francisco at AT&T Park this afternoon at the super low price of $6,300. In his last start against the Giants, Nova went seven innings allowing one run on six hits with a 7:2 K:BB ratio. The Giants have been one of the worst hitting clubs since the All-Star break, owning a .293 wOBA with a .312 OBP, a .357 SLG and a 20.3 K%. I think Nova is going to flourish in the National League and the park switch from the American League to the National League is going to benefit him immensely, especially in this start. It’s tough to beat the value of his start this afternoon.
Trea Turner (2B/OF) – WAS vs. COL – $5,600 – Turner is on an absolute tear right now and looks to continue that trend today against Jon Gray at Coors Field. Averaging 12.6 FPPG over his last 10 games, Turner owns a .417 wOBA on the road against righties with a .564 SLG and a .415 OBP. Batting lead off for the Nationals, he’s certainly someone I want on my roster this afternoon.
Matt Carpenter (2B/3B) – STL vs. HOU – $4,600 – Carpenter has been a bit shaky since his return to the lineup, but the Cardinals leadoff man is in a great spot today against Doug Fister. On the season, Fister is allowing a .364 wOBA to lefties with a .505 SLG and 13 of his 17 home runs. Carpenter owns a .451 wOBA against righties on the road with a .684 SLG and an impressive .431 OBP.
Gregory Polanco (OF)- PIT vs SFG – $5,200 – Matt Cain has been brutal against left-handed batters this season; so naturally, Polanco is good fit for today. Cain is allowing a .387 wOBA to lefties at home with a .521 SLG. Polanco owns a .332 wOBA on the road with a .468 SLG. I think Polanco could be a nice play today, as all the high priced players being taken today will be at Coors Field, potentially leaving Polanco underowned.
Brandon Moss (1B) – STL vs. HOU – $4,900 – On the road against righties has been the strength of Moss this season. Granted, traveling to Minute Maid Park isn’t exactly your most ideal landing spot, but nonetheless, Moss has done some damage in these games. On the season, Moss owns a .461 wOBA against righties on the road with a .717 SLG and a .414 OBP to go with 11 of his 21 home runs. As I mentioned, Fister is allowing a .337 wOBA to lefties at home.
Brandon Belt (1B) – SFG vs. PIT – $4,000 – I most certainly like Nova taking on the Giants at home today, but if I wanted to target someone on the Giants, Belt would be my guy. Averaging just under eight fantasy points per game at home, Belt owns a .343 wOBA against righties at home with a .386 OBP. He doesn’t have a ton of power here, hitting just three of his 14 home runs against lefties at home, but he gets on base at a decent clip and will likely be low owned.
Charlie Blackmon (OF) – COL vs. WAS – $5,700 – Strasburg has fantastic numbers against essentially this entire Rockies lineup. With that being said, we can’t deny the tear that Blackmon is on right now. Blackmon has hit eight home runs in his past 10 games to go with 11 RBI. No one is hotter than he is right now; he’s just in a really bad spot.
Josh Donaldson (3B) – TOR vs NYY – $5,000 – We can’t have a game the Blue Jays are playing in without talking about Josh Donaldson, right? Donaldson is hitting .299 at home with 14 of his 28 home runs, averaging 10.4 FPPG. After allowing just four home runs in the first three months of the season, Sabathia has given up 10 since July 1st and is allowing a .350 wOBA since the All-Star break.
Hunter Pence (OF) – SFG vs. PIT – $3,300 – It’s hard to get a good sample size in any season for Hunter Pence, as it feels like he spends more time on the DL than actually on the field. Nonetheless, in his short time healthy this season, Pence owns a .370 wOBA at home this season against righties, with a .479 SLG. He’s cheap enough to be a viable option in your outfield and someone I’m expecting to be less than 10% owned.
Marwin Gonzalez (1B/2B) – HOU vs. STL – $3,200 – If this was the first half of the season, I wouldn’t be looking at really any hitters against Carlos Martinez. However, he’s been having some serious issues since that time, allowing a .340 wOBA. Gonzalez is an intriguing option as he boasts some power, although it’s only come in spurts. Since seeing regular at-bats again since August 8th, Gonzalez is averaging 7.3 FPPG in that span. He’s a bit of a stretch in my opinion, but Martinez has been that bad lately.
Daniel Descalso (1B/SS) – COL vs. WAS – $3,100 A pure salary play, Descalso is only going to run you for $3,100 tonight against Stephen Strasburg. Descalso is having a nice season, batting .292 with three home runs, 27 RBIs and an .802 OPS. He’s hit well at home against righties, with a .348 wOBA, but again, taking on Strasburg is no easy task.
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