Friday afternoon brings us a five-game slate starting at 1:05 p.m. ET. With plenty of information to divulge in, let’s get to it. As always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Max Scherzer – WAS vs. PHI – $13,000 – Scherzer is by far the most expensive pitcher on this slate, as he’ll run you $4,100 more than Vince Velasquez, who is the second-most expensive. Scherzer faced these Phillies five times last season averaging 28.7 FPPG as he pitched 35.2 innings, allowing eight runs and a 44:9 K:BB ratio. The Phillies do look a bit different with the additions of Michael Saunders and Howie Kendrick, so this isn’t the cakewalk it once was. Nonetheless, Scherzer is my top option for this slate, as he averaged 24.4 FPPG in 19 road starts last season.
Other Options – Michael Fulmer ($8,400)
Ivan Nova – PIT vs. ATL – $7,000 – Nova won’t blow you away with his overall numbers, but he was a solid addition to the Pirates’ rotation at the trade deadline last season. In the second half of the season, Nova allowed a .312 wOBA to opposing hitters with a .433 SLG, a .299 OBP and a K/9 of 7.2. The Braves do have some bats in that lineup but continue to scuffle at the plate, even with the likes of Matt Kemp and Freddie Freeman. I think Nova is a nice value play for this afternoon as he pitches at home.
Other Options – Matt Cain ($5,500)
Buster Posey – SFG vs. SD – $3,900 – Posey will face off against Luis Perdomo at Petco Park today. Perdomo has a nasty sinker, but that’s about all his arsenal holds. Last season, Perdomo got lit up at home, especially against righties to the tune of a .418 wOBA with a .584 SLG and a .421 OBP. Posey hit better at home than on the road, but you can’t ignore those numbers that Perdomo allowed.
Other Options Yasmani Grandal ($4,600)
Matt Wieters – WAS vs. PHI – $3,100 – The switch-hitting catcher continues to be dirt cheap so far this season. He’s still got some pop in his bat after hitting 17 home runs with the Orioles last season. Wieters hit 14 of his 17 home runs off of right-handed pitching last season and faces a pitcher that allowed 21 homers in 2016.
Other Options – James McCann ($2,700)
Miguel Cabrera – DET vs. BOS – $4,700 – Cabrera will have a matchup against Steven Wright this afternoon at home. As I’ve mentioned before, Cabrera has thrived against righties at home, ending 2016 with a .437 wOBA with a .653 SLG and a .410 OBP. Wright was fantastic in the first half of 2016 but completely fell apart in the second. Depending on which Wright shows up, that will decide the production of Miggy today.
Other Options – Mark Reynolds ($4,200)
Brandon Belt – SFG vs. SD – $3,800 – Just as Perdomo struggled against righties last season, he had the same issue with lefties as well. Earning a .366 wOBA against them with a .504 SLG and allowing 15 of his 23 total home runs on the year slots Belt in as a nice value play. Belt had a .391 wOBA and a .506 SLG against righties on the road last year.
Other Options – Ryan Zimmerman ($3,300)
Logan Forsythe – LAD vs. COL – $4,900 – The first series at Coors Field in the 2017 season has arrived. Forsythe will be matched up against Kyle Freeland, a left-handed rookie making his MLB debut. Forsythe owned a .330 wOBA against lefties last season. The Coors Field effect certainly helps him out here today.
Other Options – DJ LeMahieu ($4,500), Daniel Murphy ($4,400)
Ryan Schimpf – SD vs. SFG – $3,600 – Adding a player from the Padres isn’t exactly the most exciting part of your day, but I think Schimpf can bring some value. He faces Matt Cain, who allowed a .391 wOBA to lefties on the road last season with a .531 SLG and a .382 OBP. Schimpf has some power and hit six of his 20 home runs against righties at home.
Other Options – Dustin Pedroia ($3,600)
Nolan Arenado – COL vs. LAD – $5,400 – Arenado at home is always an option you have to consider. Last season against lefties at Coors Field, he managed a .429 wOBA with a .635 SLG and a .420 OBP. He’s the second-most expensive hitter on this slate today, but he brings so much to the table when hitting at home.
Other Options – Justin Turner ($4,900)
Freddy Galvis – PHI vs. WAS – $3,100 – Galvis isn’t an overly impressive hitter, but he did show he still had some pop, hitting 20 home runs on the season last year. Scherzer did have issues with the long ball last season, allowing 31 on the year and 14 of those on the road against a lefty. If you’re looking for a deep punt play, Galvis could be an option.
Other Options – Ryan Zimmerman ($3,300)
Trevor Story – COL vs. LAD – $5,000 – Story was fantastic against left-handed pitching in his rookie year. Against lefties at Coors Field, Story owned a .450 wOBA with a .694 SLG and a .407 OBP.
Other Options – Corey Seager ($5,500)
Eduardo Nunez – SFG vs. SD – $3,800 – Nunez can do a little bit of everything, which makes him a valuable asset of a daily basis. With his mix of power and speed, Nunez can easily stuff the stat sheet, which explains why he averaged 8.4 FPPG last season.
Other Options – Brandon Crawford ($3,500)
Bryce Harper – WAS vs. PHI – $4,800 – I like the prospect that Harper may be lower owned than normal, as only $300 separates him and three players playing in Coors Field this afternoon. He faces Vincent Velasquez, who struggled against lefties last season on the road. I’m looking to see some of that at home today against Harper.
Other Options – Carlos Gonzalez ($5,000)
Travis Jankowski – SD vs. SFG – ($3,000) – Grabbing the Padres lead off hitter for only $3,000 is a value in my eyes. His numbers from last year don’t blow you away, but Jankowski hit righties well, ending up with a .326 wOBA with a .368 OBP. I think you can do worse at a higher salary than Jankowski.
Other Options – Michael Saunders ($3,300)
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