A short three-game slate will start off our day of baseball this afternoon. Let’s jump right into the information, and, as always, you can get me on the ol’ Twitter machine @SBuchanan24.
Jose Quintana – CWS vs. KC – $10,500 – In the sample size that is the 2017 baseball season, the Royals currently rank as one of the worst-hitting teams in the majors. Facing left-handed pitching drives these numbers down even further, as they own a team .237 wOBA with a .264 OBP and a .256 SLG. Regarding strikeouts, the Royals are amongst one of the highest in the MLB with a 22.2 K%. Quintana has certainly had his fair share of struggles thus far, but you have to like his chances against what is currently the worst offense in the league.
Other Options – Lance McCullers ($10,300).
Nate Karns – KC vs. CWS – $8,000 – Aside from Quintana and McCullers, the other four choices at pitcher are quite abysmal. I’m not a huge fan of Karns and his abilities, but I suppose he’s the best of the worst on this slate. For what it’s worth, Karns isn’t allowing many hard hit balls this season, allowing just a 25% hard hit rate. He’s also inducing a ton of ground balls, allowing no more than four fly balls in any of his starts this season. At the end of the day, he’s a risky play in all formats, even against this weak White Sox offense.
Other Options – Rookie Davis ($4,400)
Evan Gattis – HOU vs. CLE – $4,600 – Pitching at home was a bit of a tough spot for Trevor Bauer last season, so his matchup against the Astros today could bring back old memories. Bauer allowed a .330 wOBA to righties at home with a .336 OBP with 8 of his 20 total home. Gattis has plenty of power against righties, ending 2016 with a .258 ISO and a .488 SLG.
Other Options Brian McCann – ($4,100)
Manny Pina – MIL vs. CIN – $3,000 – Both Pina and Jeff Bandy have been hitting the ball extremely well thus far, so whoever gets the start is an option. Pina currently owns a .474 wOBA against righties with a .667 SLG and a .448 OBP.
Other Options – Jeff Bandy ($2,900)
Joey Votto – CIN vs. MIL – $5,100 – Votto against Wily Peralta is certainly a matchup I want to exploit on this short three-game slate. Peralta is coming off a 2016 season which saw him allow a .413 wOBA against lefties at home with a .619 SLG and a .374 OBP with seven of his 19 total home runs. Votto was naturally a force in these matchups last season with a .438 wOBA and a .599 SLG with 11 home runs.
Other Options – Eric Thames ($5,000)
Yuli Gurriel – HOU vs. CLE – $4,000 – Gurriel has been hitting right-handed pitching well in the early going of the season. He’ll enter today with a .498 wOBA to go with a .676 SLG and a .487 OBP. It’s a tiny sample size, but Gurriel should be left on the board on the majority of rosters today with the like of Thames and Votto likely dominating ownership.
Other Options – Jose Abreu ($4,300)
Jose Ramirez – CLE vs. HOU – $4,400 – With Jose Altuve’s status currently up in the air, Ramirez slides in as my favorite second baseman for this afternoon. Ramirez has been hitting righties well with some pop, sporting a .368 wOBA and a .182 ISO thus far. McCullers has been pitching well but he has allowed four home runs in early going.
Other Options – Jonathan Villar ($4,800)
Scotter Gennett – CIN vs. MIL – $4,200 – Once again we’re jumping on the left-handed batter against Peralta matchup at Miller Park. As I mentioned, Peralta allowed a .413 wOBA against lefties at home last season with a .619 SLG. Gennett enters this game with a .356 wOBA against righties and a .541 SLG.
Other Options – Tyler Saladino ($3,500).
Todd Frazier – CWS vs. KC – $4,500 – If you’re not rolling with Karns today, Frazier could be your “Hail Mary” pick of the day. His overall numbers are atrocious so far this season, but if anyone can crack a home run off Karns today, it’s Frazier. Karns has already given up five home runs this season after allowing 11 all of last season when he was healthy. Frazier hit 15 home runs at home last season against a right-handed pitcher with a .231 ISO.
Other Options – Alex Bregman ($4,700)
Travis Shaw – MIL vs. CIN – $3,900 – Shaw seems to be transitioning to his new home at Miller Park quite well, owning a .400 wOBA against righties with a .600 SLG and a .359 OBP. Facing Rookie Davis who has shown shaky control in his two starts this season, Shaw could do some damage here today.
Other Options – Marwin Gonzalez ($3,600)
Francisco Lindor – CLE vs. HOU – $4,900 – Even against a pitcher I like today, it’s hard to ignore what Lindor has been doing at the plate so far this season. Averaging 10.7 FPPG, Lindor currently owns a .425 wOBA against righties with a .674 SLG and a .380 OBP.
Other Options – Carlos Correra ($5,400)
Zack Cozart – CIN vs. MIL – $4,000 – It feels as if Cozart is always producing at the plate without many people taking notice. Averaging 8.8 FPPG so far, Cozart owns a .509 wOBA against righties thus far with a .717 SLG and a .518 OBP. Quite the numbers for someone who will only run you for $4,000 this afternoon.
Other Options – Tim Anderson ($3,700)
Ryan Braun – MIL vs. CIN – $5,300 – Braun has been seeing and hitting the ball well so far this season as he posts some awesome numbers. Averaging 10.4 FPPG, Braun has done a bit of everything hitting six home runs with 14 RBIs and four stolen bases. The owner of a .361 wOBA against righties thus far with a .528 SLG, Braun should be one of the top options in the outfield today.
Other Options – Adam Duvall ($4,600)
Scott Schebler – CIN vs. MIL – ($4,200) – Schebler may be on the verge of going on a hot streak if his past two games are any indication. He’s four for his last nine with a double, a home run and six RBIs. Getting Peralta at home as a left-handed batter certainly tips the scales in his direction and his price isn’t overly high either.
Other Options – Domingo Santana ($4,100), Josh Reddick ($4,300)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.