The Rockies came through yesterday as they put up 6 runs against the Padres. I was surprised that the Giants put up 9 runs against the Dodgers, but Kazmir simply did not perform, giving up 7 runs in 4 innings. We have another nice slate tonight with 6 games, so let’s look at some of the best stacking options.
Projected Team Total: 4.75 Runs
The Cubs will play in their home opener tonight and have the highest projected run total on the evening. Wrigley can be a park where power rules, but historically it has been more neutral. Finnegan started the season hot with 9 strikeouts in six innings against the Phillies. He is a lefty who had an OPS of .695 against RHB and an OPS of .765 against LHB last season. He also comes into tonight with a 1.242 WHIP. With all of this said, it is Opening Day at Wrigley and the Cubs have a team handedness wOBA of .316. Guys like Dexter Fowler (coming off of rest), Jason Heyward, Ben Zobrist, and Anthony Rizzo should all be considered in a matchup that should produce some fireworks.
Projected Team Total: 4.73 Runs
The Astros are 2-4 and not necessarily looking like the World Series favorite many predicted. They are playing at Minute Maid Park tonight, which should help out their righties like Carlos Correa, Jose Altuve, and Carlos Gomez. Chris Young had a boring opener, giving up 3 runs and producing only 4 strikeouts. Young allowed an OPS of .542 against RHB and .732 against LHB. The Astros have a team handedness wOBA of .324 and a team ISO of .188. Both number are good and everything looks to be in their favor tonight. I like a stack of Carlos Correa, Colby Rasmus and Carlos Gomez tonight.
Projected Team Total: 4.6 Runs
I honestly feel like the Nationals play the Braves every game. Norris was one of my guys with the Orioles last season. During his 1st go against the Nats, he held them scoreless until the 7th inning. He had an OPS of .890 against RHB and .899 against LHB last season. Nationals Park is pretty neutral and doesn’t really favor either side. I expect Norris to show his true colors today, and I think Bryce Harper will use his .703 SLG% to hit one deep. Stack up Anthony Rendon, Bryce Harper, Ryan Zimmerman, and Michael Taylor for the Nats.
Projected Team Total: 4.13 Runs
I just can’t quit the Mariners when it comes to stacking. This game is projected at 7.5 runs, with the Mariners -165 favorites. Lewis has struggled against the Mariners and is 5-6 lifetime. He gave up 2 homers in their first meeting, and tonight shouldn’t be any different. The Mariners have a team handedness wOBA of .312. With a barrage of lefties in the lineup, the Mariners should crank Lewis’ .992 OPS against LHB this season. I love Nori Aoki, Kyle Seager, Robinson Cano, and Seth Smith tonight.
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Projected Team Total: 4.2 Runs
Marlins Park is definitely a pitcher’s park, but Cosart just isn’t that good (ding ding, contrarian). He is coming off of a health issue last season and claims to be good to go now. Last season he had a 1.42 WHIP and averaged 6 strikeouts per game. He had a .781 OPS against RHB and a .742 OPS against LHB last season. Curtis Granderson, Lucas Duda, and Neil Walker all boast positive handedness wOBA and even have the potential to pop a homer (or two). I wouldn’t be surprised to see some left-handed bombs this evening.
Projected Team Total: 4.2 Runs
With everybody on the Astros in this one, why not hop off and ride the Royal train? The total in this one is projected at 9 runs, which makes it the highest on the night. McHugh got run out of Yankee Stadium in his first start and posted a WHIP of 1.32 last season. I think this game will be one for the hitters, as Mike Moustakas, Eric Hosmer, and Kendrys Morales are all in play. Look for the Royals to capitalize on a .319 team handedness wOBA tonight.