It’s the final week to play regular season MLB DFS. Make those lineups and win some money before time runs out!
StudJack Flaherty, STL at ARI, $9,800 — I am not sure how Flaherty isn’t more expensive in this spot. Arguably, he’s been the best pitcher in baseball since the All-Star break. In his last 10 starts, he’s given up a total of 10 earned runs, lowering his ERA to 1.05 in the second half of the season. The matchup is fairly simple since the Diamondbacks have an 87 wRC+ against right-handed pitching.
Other Options — Max Scherzer ($11,000), Noah Syndergaard ($9,000)
ValueMadison Bumgarner, SF vs. COL, $8,200 — It’s been an up and down season for Bumgarner. Even though he’s been inconsistent, most of his struggles have been on the road. At home, he has a 2.80 ERA and he’s facing one of the worst road offenses in baseball. The Rockies have a 74 wRC+ away from home and Bumgarner scored 31.9 DKFP the last time he pitched against them in San Francisco.
Other Options — Homer Bailey ($8,400), Jeff Hoffman ($4,800)
StudChristian Vazquez, BOS at TEX, $4,600 — Playing in Texas, the Red Sox hitters get a nice park boost. Boston has the highest implied total on the slate against Edinson Volquez. He’s missed most of the season with an elbow injury and he’s returned with slightly lower velocity. His average fastball velocity is at 93.52 mph, the lowest mark of his career. This puts all the Boston hitters in a strong spot and Vazquez is averaging 13.4 DKFP in his last seven games.
Other Options — Willson Contreras ($4,400), Robinson Chirinos ($4,000)
ValueMeibrys Viloria, KC vs. ATL, $2,200 — As of now, I don’t see any really appealing cheap catchers. For this reason, I think it makes sense to pick the cheapest guy off the bench. Viloria is not exactly a masher although he does have an RBI base hit in each of his last two starts. If he can do that again tonight, it would be more than an acceptable outcome for his price.
Other Options — Danny Jansen ($3,100), Kevin Plawecki ($2,900)
FIRST BASECarlos Santana, CLE at CHW, $4,900 — A switch-hitter, Santana is significantly stronger hitting from the right side of the plate. This is good news for tonight since he’s facing Hector Santiago, a weak lefty. He has a 5.65 ERA and Santana has a 162 wRC+ against left-handed pitching.
Other Options — Cody Bellinger ($5,400), Matt Olson ($4,900)
ValueFreddie Freeman, ATL at KC, $4,400 — This is about as cheap as we ever see Freeman priced. The LvL matchup may seem like a deterrent, however Freeman hits lefties well and Duffy is a reverse splits pitcher. His wOBA is .21 points higher against lefties than righties.
Other Options — Joc Pederson ($4,100), Justin Smoak ($3,600)
StudCavan Biggio, TOR vs. BAL, $4,900 — I can’t stop playing this guy until he cools off. Once again, Biggio reached base last night. It was his 24th consecutive game getting on base and he hit a homer to boot. Biggio is averaging 17.1 DKFP in his last seven games. The Blue Jays scored 11 runs last night and are in another good matchup against Dylan Bundy tonight.
Other Options — Jose Altuve ($4,700), Ozzie Albies ($4,500)
ValueGavin Lux, LAD at SD, $3,800 — One of the top prospects in baseball, Lux’s career is off to a great start. He has a 109 wRC+ and he’s actually done his best hitting on the road. Lux has hit both his homers away from home and Lux has a 206 wRC+ on the road. It seems like every player that has gotten called up through the Dodgers’ organization in the last couple seasons has become a star.
Other Options — Hanser Alberto ($3,500), Robinson Cano ($3,400)
StudRafael Devers, BOS at TEX, $5,500 — As mentioned earlier, the Red Sox are a team to target. After slumping at the start of September, Devers is hitting the ball well again. He’s scored at least 8.0 DKFP in five of his last six games and looks poised to have a strong final week of what has been a breakout season. Devers has a career-high 31 homers and a 130 wRC+.
Other Options — Alex Bregman ($5,100), Yuli Gurriel ($4,600)
ValueMatt Chapman, OAK at LAA, $4,200 — Chapman has had a lot of success against left-handed pitching this season. He has a 130 wRC+ against southpaws, a big reason why he has his first season with 30-plus homers. This should play well against Dillon Peters since he’s allowing a .389 wOBA to right-handed hitters.
Other Options — Josh Donaldson ($4,200), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ($3,800)
StudFrancisco Lindor, CLE at CHW, $5,000 — There is a sense of urgency in all of the Indians’ games in the last week of the season. Cleveland is currently 0.5 games back of the last Wild Card spot in the AL and Lindor has picked up his game with the team clawing for a playoff spot. He’s averaging 11.5 DKFP in the last four games and he’s had past success against Santiago. He has a .300 batting average in 20 at bats against the lefty.
Other Options — Marcus Semien ($5,200), Jonathan Villar ($4,600)
ValueAmed Rosario, NYM vs. MIA, $3,800 — Rosario is in the middle of a good power stretch. He’s homered three times in the last six games, including a grand slam last night. During this stretch, he’s averaging 11.3 DKFP.
Other Options — Elvis Andrus ($3,900), Manny Machado ($3,700)
StudMookie Betts, BOS at TEX, $5,700 — Since the Red Sox have the highest implied total on the slate, this should be a spot where Betts goes off. He has a 140 wRC+ against right-handed pitching and Volquez is giving up a .472 wOBA to right-handed hitters.
Other Options — Ronald Acuna ($5,300), J.D. Martinez ($4,900)
ValueGiancarlo Stanton, NYY at TB, $4,400 — Stanton remains priced down even though he’s hit pretty well since coming off the IL. Stanton has reached base in all four games since his return and he’s averaging 9.0 DKFP even though he played limiting innings in his first couple games. Overall, the season is a huge disappointment for Stanton due to injuries, but he’s healthy now and has plenty of upside for the last few games of the season.
Other Options — Brandon Nimmo ($4,000), Adam Eaton ($3,800)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.