Scottie Scheffler

The RSM Classic should be another tournament where we take a chance on a longshot. As a refresher, the first two days of the tournament will have a split field on both the Plantation course and the Seaside course at the Sea Island Resort Golf Club. Since 2013, the winner’s average odds have been +8400 with Kevin Kisner being the shortest at +1800 and Will McKenzie being the longest at +25000.

Here are my favorite bets heading into the tournament:

Best Score – Round 2: Mark Hubbard (+105) over Fabian Gomez (+110)

Both Gomez and Hubbard shot a 4-under in round one and now get to tee it up on the Plantation Course, which means they’ll get to fire at two more Par 5s in round two. It’ll be hard to fade Gomez, as he managed to hit 72% of greens-in-regulation on Thursday, but Hubbard has been much better in Par-5 scoring average, ranking sixth over his last 24 rounds, while Gomez ranks 64th over the same timeframe. It should be fairly close, but Hubbard’s long-term success on the Par 5s as well as his strong iron play gives him the nod for Friday’s round.

Scottie Scheffler to Win +3500

Scheffler has two solid finishing leading up to the RSM and, like mentioned earlier in the preview article, he’s made all of his cuts since his first official start as a PGA professional. The swing season has seen Brendon Todd win in back-to-back starts as well as Joaquin Niemann and Lanto Griffin claim victory for the first time in their respective careers. Scheffler has the game but just needs to put four solid rounds together this week in order to get into contention.

Brian Harman to Win +5500 | Top-5 +1100

I’m going back to Harman this week even though he finished with a meager T72 last week in Mayakoba. A lot of the same parameters from last week should apply here; Harman plays well on shorter courses and historically has been good with his irons. It didn’t amount to much in Mexico, but he should find comfort at a course where he’s performed well at, recording a top-five in 2017 and a top-10 back in 2013.

Joel Dahmen +8500 to Win | Top-5 +1400

Dahmen finished with a top-six last week in Mayakoba, which was his best finish since the Shriners Open. Over his past 12 rounds, Dahmen ranks inside the top-30 in SG: Approach-the-Green and 22nd in Par 4 Efficiency 400 to 450 yards. He’s gained strokes with his irons in five of his past six tournaments and should be good value this week.

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